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US Congress has truly prodigious re-election rate: 80-90% in the House since 1964, and ~80% in the Senate with exception of 1970s (when it hit a "low" of 55%-65%)

While there are a lot of different factors contributing to this incumbent advantage, it is frequently stated that gerrymandering [1] contributes significantly to it.

Is there any sort of data/research available which quantifies just how much of an impact does gerrymandering have on re-election rates compared to other factors?

I'm fine if the data is specific to US Congress (slightly preferred), or US in general, or some other locale.


Gallup charts of re-election rates


NOTES:

  • [1] Gerrymandering is defined on Wikipedia as "a practice that attempts to establish a political advantage for a particular party or group by manipulating geographic boundaries to create partisan or incumbent-protected districts".

    In plain terms, you adjust the district so that (in terms of reelections) the incumbent has a higher percentage of his partisans in the new district than in the old one, and higher than percentage of opponents. This makes the district safer for the incumbent and increases the chances of winning re-election.

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The main place where I've heard complaints about gerrymamdering is Northern Ireland. – TRiG Jan 27 at 0:05
I do not think that gerrymandering necessarily helps incumbents. Often times a district that had a "Safe" seat for the party in power in the election will be adjusted to include areas that are politically hostile to the incumbant. Case in point Bobby Schilling had his district taken from primarily a rural conservative district and adjusted to append 2 strongly democrat urban areas made continuous only by land completely occupied by Interstate 74. – Chad Apr 24 at 18:33

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