Timeline for Are there any methods that compensate for phenomenons such as Shy Tory factor and Bradley effect?
Current License: CC BY-SA 3.0
6 events
| when toggle format | what | by | license | comment | |
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| Jul 26, 2021 at 11:15 | comment | added | Mobeer | It's not necessary for the "shy Tory" to outright lie - they only have to refuse to answer. | |
| Mar 23, 2017 at 14:42 | vote | accept | Alexei | ||
| Mar 19, 2017 at 11:40 | history | edited | Brythan | CC BY-SA 3.0 |
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| Mar 19, 2017 at 7:23 | comment | added | Alexei | @Brythan - Thanks for the elaborate answer. It makes me understand the recent elections in USA. However, my question is more about ways to circumvent these problems and obtain better predictions. Of course, Carpetsmoker is right about not being able to obtain the exact winner, since we are talking about statistics (other rules apply, not the binary logic ones). | |
| Mar 19, 2017 at 5:06 | comment | added | user11249 | All of this is based on a misunderstanding of how statistics work. The polls said there was a ~80% chance of Clinton winning. That means there's a ~20% chance of Trump winning. Every once in a while the improbable thing will happen. People want simple "yes-no" answers to these sort of questions, but polling (or indeed, life in general) simply doesn't work that way. | |
| Mar 19, 2017 at 2:42 | history | answered | Brythan | CC BY-SA 3.0 |