You gain nothing if you vote where your vote counts most, and the candidate you vote for doesn't get elected. Probably.
- Is the predicted outcome in one of your countries particularly close? Your vote might help to make the difference.
- Are there "first past the fencepost" or "threshold" voting systems that would make your vote likely to be irrelevant?
- Do you feel a special affinity towards any one party or candidate, and do you want her or him to be elected?
- Do you dislike any one party or candidate, and would you use your vote 'tactically' to keep that candidate out?