Timeline for What is preventing China from destroying Hong Kong pro-democracy movement?
Current License: CC BY-SA 4.0
6 events
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Sep 25, 2019 at 13:17 | comment | added | Jan | I kind of disagree with a number of points in this analysis. None of them would be significant enough for a vote in and of itself but together I feel they warrant a downvote. | |
Sep 24, 2019 at 18:49 | comment | added | dolphin_of_france | @hazmv: the thing to remember is. Hong Kong isn't Xi's only problem. He has started a trade war with the US, which is causing significant hardship among the country's monied elites. He is cracking down hard on party rivals with his anti-corruption campaign, which has made him many implacable enemies in his own Party. And he is trying to impose his will on all segments of society via technology (social credit), which has clearly made many unhappy. Politically, he has doused himself with gasoline, and now he is playing with matches in Hong Kong. He has made a lot of bad moves. | |
Sep 24, 2019 at 18:36 | comment | added | dolphin_of_france | At this time, Arab Spring is unlikely. But a palace coup is much much more likely. And from the perspective of most CCP members, a palace coup against Xi on the backs of the protests is the ideal solution to their #1 problem, Xi. In fact, the Chinese civilization is the master of coups. The condition for one is forming rapidly. And to most senior CCP members, this gambit opens up many possibilities for them. | |
Sep 24, 2019 at 18:16 | comment | added | hszmv | Hong Kong is mostly peaceful protest and the police are still arresting violent protestors. Open armed rebellion is not yet occurring and the protestors are generally finding favor of international as opposed to the Chinese army response. Winnie the Pooh is likely aware of this and figures the fact that it's being handled by the local government rather than the national government is political fiction enough for other countries to remember the part of Princess Bride about "starting a land war in Asia". China's famed censorship does not mean leaders don't know PR. They're well aware of it. | |
Sep 24, 2019 at 17:56 | comment | added | dolphin_of_france | what is strange about this analysis is... what do you think makes the Xi's CCP thinks they actually have that kind of time to wait a year or two? | |
Sep 24, 2019 at 17:44 | history | answered | hszmv | CC BY-SA 4.0 |