If you look at his 5 Stages of Fascism though:
- Intellectual exploration, where disillusionment with popular democracy manifests itself in discussions of lost national vigor
- Rooting, where a fascist movement, aided by political deadlock and polarization, becomes a player on the national stage
- Arrival to power, where conservatives seeking to control rising leftist opposition invite fascists to share power
- Exercise of power, where the movement and its charismatic leader control the state in balance with state institutions such as the police and traditional elites such as the clergy and business magnates.
- Radicalization or entropy, where the state either becomes increasingly radical, as did Nazi Germany, or slips into traditional authoritarian rule, as did Fascist Italy. (Summary version from Wikipedia)
You you might realize that these are not focusing on a individual personality traits or mark out individuals as culprits, but that they describe societal developments.
(Wikipedia summary of the 5 stages used for comparision)
Not sure the U.S. passed that stage long ago, as that sounds like the plot of a lot of 80s action movies, of a country in decline and the willingness of an individual to take matters into his own hands and shoot everyone up... Or whether one might want to pick a more recent inception such as the tea party movement sawing distrust in public institutions creating some kind of gridlock or profiting from one and already championing some of the religious and neo-conservative themes present in thatpresentin what the Trumpist crowd is built upon. Though flirting with fascist ideas and exploring them publicly and complaining about democracy and democratic institutions, trying to game the system and complaining about a lack of national vigor ... hatred of millennials... has been a stable of U.S. conservative politics. So even before Trump the U.S. might have already jumped that stage.
Though flirting with fascist ideas and exploring them publicly and complaining about democracy and democratic institutions, trying to game the system and complaining about a lack of national vigor ... hatred of millennials... has been a staple of U.S. conservative politics. So even before Trump the U.S. might have already jumped that stage.
Rooting2.Rooting, where a fascist movement, aided by political deadlock and polarization, becomes a player on the national stage
Now Paxton is right, the U.S. is not nearly as deadlocked as Germany or Italy were in the 1920s, where the parliament literally had double digit numbers of fascists AND communists, monarchists, liberals, republicans and democrats (it's always a bad sign if that is a noteworthy quality of a party) and so on and where these groups couldn't even agree on a system of government let alone any concrete political proposals. Nonetheless there have been deadlock situations in the U.S. and Trump has already made concerning comments arguing:
The claims are not as strong as Hitler's who has, and given the circumstances also could, advocate for dismantling democracy in favor of an authoritarian leader principle, without losing voters in the conservative, fascist and monarchist block, but it's not that he hasn't made these claims either.
Well the conservative establishment has shared a lot of power with Trumpism and while he at least verbally faced a lot of backlash, hasmost critics have fallen in line and have turned a blind eye to almost all crimes, scandals and violations of the rule of law and democratic safeguards. Now Mussoline and Hitler were appointed government by a king or the less folkloric version of one (president), while the U.S. still has elections.
Also if that doesn't just include institutions and elites outside the law, you might also argue that having the supreme court struck down his travel ban, having election workers and board members rejecting his fraud claims on the lack of evidence and whatnot are example of ruling in balance with established institutions. Which for the fascist further increases their need to overcome those. As Trump did, changing the composition of federal courts and the supreme courts. And with project 2025 this could become even worse. Though there the line blurs between Trump and Trumpism. In that Trump denies knowledge or connection with it, though his denials are... mixed. Like he definitely knows those people as they are former or current staff...
He acknowledges that the ideas are extremist:
5.Exercise of power“the other side is going around trying to make me sound extreme, where the movement and its charismatic leader control the state in balancelike I’m an extremist. I’m not. I’m a person with state institutions such as the police and traditional elites such as the clergy and business magnatesgreat common sense. I’m not an extremist at all.
So far the U.S. dodged that bullet and Trump lost his power grab attempt in 2020, though fingers crossed when people find outHe acknowledges that Trumps visions don't come to fruition the response is realizing that it's bullshit and not reacting with more vigorous blaming of minorities and supplying him with more power to pursue his goals and purge his enemies.people behind it are "very very conservative":
So you might place the U.S. on stage 3 of fascism, so far having failed with stage 4.
“It’s a group of very, very conservative people and they wrote a document that many of the points are fine,” Trump said. “Many of the points are absolutely ridiculous. I have nothing to do with the document. I’ve never seen the document. I’ve seen certain things that are said in it. And it’s a group of very conservative people that probably like me, but it doesn’t matter because it doesn’t speak for me.
A little more revealing might alsoBut effectively makes a non-statement. Like you can read that both as "Yeah he has no clue and doesn't want to comment before reading" yet at the same time he argues he isn't going to read it and isn't disavowing any of the points or the "Anatomypeople on the contrary he literally "many of Fascism" by Paxtonthe points are fine". So it's anybody's guess whether that refers to the extremist sections or filler text along the way.
Though if you don't look at that from the perspective of "is that damning for Trump personally" and more from the perspective "is that enabling actual fascists but not drawing red lines" then you can make a case that it is fascist.
And while Trumps staff pretends as if Trumps statement made clear that no one but himself is supposed to speak in his name (2004probably true and not off brand for a fascist look at night of long knives) and inner party struggles in "revolutionary movements", the statement of the organization behind it reads differently:
Heritage Foundation President Kevin Roberts said the project had “completed exactly what it set out to do: bringing together over 110 leading conservative organizations to create a unified conservative vision, motivated to devolve power from the unelected administrative state, and returning it to the people.” Roberts said the project was always slated “to conclude its policy drafting after the two party conventions this year, and we are sticking to that timeline.” Although the policy writing portion of the project was finished, he said, “Project 2025 will continue our efforts to build a personnel apparatus for policymakers of all levels—federal, state, and local.”
Source for the project 2025 quotes.
Also his famous:
Anything they do, I wish them luck, but I have nothing to do with them.”
Does not sound like disavowal of extremists.
Though to his credit these are legal shenanigans so far so that is not the Mussolini type fascism that marched on Rome and made the king give him the government or fight a civil war where he'd face the fascists and the communists and thus likely lose (not that the two groups liked each other but neither would be fighting FOR the monarchy). That being said Hitler also seized power through shenanigans and violence without or only minor criminal consequences for him.
5.Radicalization or entropy, where the state either becomes increasingly radical, as did Nazi Germany, or slips into traditional authoritarian rule, as did Fascist Italy.
So far the U.S. dodged that bullet and Trump lost his power grab attempt in 2020, though fingers crossed when people find out that Trumps visions don't come to fruition the response is realizing that it's bullshit and not reacting with more vigorous blaming of minorities and supplying him with more power to pursue his goals and purge his enemies even more effectively.
So you might place the U.S. on stage 3-4 of fascism, so far having failed with stage 5. Though unlikely with Germany post WWI, the social cohesion in the U.S. might be a lot lower, so cutthroat economics and an ideology of individualism permeating especially the conservative parties might some sort of collective nationalist project somewhat of an antithesis. At least on the top levels of the party Trump seems to be successful making people give up their individuality and submit to him and his base wearing uniform (red hats) is also a sign of that, but not sure there is a same tendency for collective action especially as individualism and freedom are still highly praised. So there is some contradiction and Trumps making "Barnum statements" ("there's something for everyone", as seen before) can go either way when people find out their interpretation was actually incorrect. After all 2 people already tried to kill him who previously held sympathetic views (voted for Trump and registered as republican espousing anti-immigration views).
Also another maybe more revealing description of Fascism by Paxton might be "the Anatomy of Fascism" (2004):
I mean read his inaugural address... Where he talks extensively of decline, unity, being abused and exploited by other nations. Praises the military calls for "A new national pride will stir our souls, lift our sights, and heal our divisions.". I meanLike at times you might think that he read the previous description as a manual. Though to be fair though, a lot of that shit isthose themes are so deeply ingrained in American politics that I wouldn't be surprised to hear it from a Democrat either, which you can read as unfortunately many Americans seeming to like rhetoric that is borderline fascist. ThoughOn the other hand you might also read it still hits differently with Democrats largely using that figurativelyas "Americans like underdog stories" and going from the bottom to the top is a story with Trump often showingsome dramatic range, like sugar and cheese it's a cheap method to make any other meal more literal interpretationpalatable. Also with regards to calls for national unity, in his actionsmany countries that's usually employed as an us vs them narrative, but in case of the U.S. where individualist communities can reach a size where they effectively can form bubbles and live in parallel barely connected realities such a claim might be more benign. So you can give that some benefit of the doubt, but in combination with anti-immigration rhetoric and victim narratives that argue to pushback against foreign threats, that still rings different than unity and healing.
Again that kinda rings differently with actual conservatism at the beginning of the 20th century where people still believed in monarchism and strongmen government, but nonetheless there certainly is a strong social conservative undercurrent to Trumpism and for example with making Transidentities a major campaign point kinda cuts in that direction, that there is no necessity for seeking new solutions if there are no problems that haven't been solved already.
Also the merger of evangelicals with Trump, a known adulterer who doesn't even know how to hold a bible and has apparently never read it, kinda also fits with the contradiction despite calling for traditionalism. Also "Make America Great AGAIN" certainly is reactionary and backwards facing.
I mean his followers more often speak of "post-modern (neo-marxist"marxist)"-conspiracies, but given how little any of them are paying attention to what that means, it might still somewhat fit the mold. Though again updated times updated labels for the enemy. What he's arguing for is still not an Enlightened world view and his anti-science stance with example just as Covid or Climate change speak volume.
That being said especially with the religious undercurrent of people comparing him to Jesus.
I mean aA sense of nationalism is often common but given how he uses the ingroup outgroup discrepancy in his inaugural address that's probably also close enough.