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Debbie Stabenow, US Senator for Michigan, claimed

Thanks to President Trump and the Republicans, most Michigan families will get a tax hike.

Looking at the proposed trax brackets I don't understand how "most" Michigan families would experience a tax increase.

Is this a true claim? Will the majority of Michigan families have an increase in taxes?

  • What do you mean by most: mean or median change, some other value? – Drunk Cynic Dec 20 '17 at 20:43
  • @DrunkCynic: Does the last sentence not make it clear? "Will the majority of Michigan families have an increase in taxes?" – James Dec 21 '17 at 12:20
  • How long a period are you considering? Due to the mechanism used to pass it, a lot of the individual tax cuts in the bill have to expire within 10 years, – origimbo Dec 21 '17 at 12:29
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    @origimbo Most tax cuts have sunsets, and a decade is two presidential elections and 4 congressional elections away. I'd be surprised if there was a valid reason to consider a longer period of time than the tax cut itself, but if you feel strongly that this is a valid way to explain her statement then please add an answer using whatever methodology fits the statement and clearly explain what it is and why you believe it's a valid model. – Adam Davis Dec 21 '17 at 14:30
  • This is hard to tell on a state level because main data (e.g. how many are using standard deductions vs. itemize, how many have child tax credit and mortgages) as far as I know are only available in aggregate from IRS, not broken out by state. I could be wrong though. – user4012 Dec 21 '17 at 15:09

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