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In a comment UserLTK makes a passing reference to an easy and expedient voting strategy:

My grandmother on my mothers side always voted for the better looking candidate.

Suppose a voter is currently too ignorant about the available candidates to make a very rational choice, and therefore rather than not vote, and rather than vote at random, they choose a better looking candidate first strategy.

Is this a better strategy than rolling a die or flipping a coin?


Assumptions:

  1. Some objective, (or arbitrary but consistent), algorithm for quickly deciding who's better looking. People seem to be able to do this instantly. The algorithm needn't be universal, cross-cultural, or common -- mutually exclusive idiosyncratic methods would be allowed. Examples: the tallest, tannest candidate. The most intelligent looking candidate. The loudest most confident candidate. Winners of beauty.ai. etc.

  2. Some objective, (or arbitrary but consistent), standard for deciding if an office holder's completed term was satisfactory, which would then be correlated with their looks. Again the standard needn't be universal, so there might be a far right standard and a far left standard, and a standard for all points between on any given political spectrum.

  3. No sour grapes post-facto beauty evaluations or standards revisions. An unsatisfactory office holder cannot be retroactively consigned to the the ugly side.

  4. Arbitrary standards must be plausible or actual. Standards can't be designed to game a desired answer to this question.


Hypothesis: whatever the standards and algorithm, the resulting correlations or lack of them will be consistent in the abstract.

Also note that some people (perhaps many people) actually use this strategy to vote, so this isn't an entirely theoretical problem.

closed as primarily opinion-based by James K, grovkin, Communisty, Rekesoft, Glorfindel Jun 18 '18 at 11:33

Many good questions generate some degree of opinion based on expert experience, but answers to this question will tend to be almost entirely based on opinions, rather than facts, references, or specific expertise. If this question can be reworded to fit the rules in the help center, please edit the question.

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    This is not an answer but what you are referring to is the JFK effect. There is considerable evidence to suggest looks and appearance played a significant part in the electionn of John F Kennedy. The first widely televised TV debate saw Nixon looked haggard and unhealthy whilst Jack appeared tanned, fit and good looking. Those listening to the debate overwhelmingly gave the victory to Nixon but those watching at home voted in favour of Kennedy. It marked a new era in politics that Nixon was unprepared for. content.time.com/time/nation/article/0,8599,2021078,00.html – Venture2099 Jun 18 '18 at 5:30
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    I don't think that this can be answered in the format of this forum. It needs a rather complex longitudinal study. All you will get here is anecdotes. – James K Jun 18 '18 at 6:17
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    The JFK effect remains unproven. Radio listeners both then and now are a more conservative group than television watchers. It's not surprising that conservatives liked Nixon while liberals liked Kennedy, producing an advantage on the radio for Nixon and an advantage on TV for Kennedy. – Brythan Jun 18 '18 at 9:10
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    I think that if we had Some objective, or arbitrary but consistent standard for deciding if an office holder's completed term was satisfactory,, 95% of this site would be unnecessary. – SJuan76 Jun 18 '18 at 14:23
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    I've tried using "Height" and "GDP growth per year" for post war presidents of the USA (12 data points) Correlation is 0.54, which is not significant at 0.05 level. (p=0.06) Much of that correlation is due to LBJ being very tall and having the best growth. Remove LBJ and p grows to 0.44 – James K Jun 19 '18 at 14:09