There is a political crisis occurring in the Indian state of Karnataka. According to this article, the Karnataka Legislative Assembly has the strength of 224 elected members, and when the crisis began last week the coalition’s numbers included 118 MLAs (Congress-78, JD(S)-37, BSP-1 and Independents-2), besides the Speaker. The BJP [Opposition party], on the other hand, has 105.
[The] Speaker has to first enquire into whether the 10 MLAs concerned have incurred any reason for disqualification prior to the submission of their resignation letter on July 6.
As of now since negotiations by Congress and JD parties are failing with these MLAs the former have issued a whip for July 12, and failure of its compliance would be penalised with disqualification. Per this article:
Mr. Rohatgi said the “game” is to delay action on the resignations and brazenly nudge events to culminate in the disqualification of the MLAs for not obeying their party’s whip during the Assembly session that commenced on July 12.
What I want to know is, does it make any difference for the ruling coalition if the vacancies in the Assembly arise on account of resignation or on account of disqualification under Anti-Defection law (Schedule X of the Indian Constitution)?
I'm confused because of the quotes from the Speaker and Mr. Rohatgi I have included. I understand the Speaker has a duty under Schedule X to check for the defections, but would it make any difference on the outcome the opposition party BJP is expecting?