That is highly likely a coup.
Just consider the speed of OAS giving support to the opposition.
Let's also consider the face of an opposition. It is common for western-supported South America leaders to be:
- Christian, or position himself so
- Considering US as a very close ally
- Western education
Those points can be applicable to each and every US/OAS-supported South American leader:
- Bolsonaro (Brazil)
- Luis Fernando Camacho (Bolivia) - haven't found more strict information, but even BBC calls it a copy of Bolsonaro.
- Markes (Columbia)
- Guaido (Venezuela) - hardly can be named a leader, but still should be mentioned
So, what scheme do we have:
- criticizing elections. This is just a trigger for the second point - to motivate people crowding on the streets
- causing protests in a capital. Here may appear some unknown snipers - to cause victims, or may not.
- US/OAS/"international community" supports opposition. Legitimizing aim of the protests and protests itself.
- military rejects to support the president. That is the core point. The Venezuelan army is loyal to a leader, so all coup attempts have failed.
- the Coup. And that is.
But it may be more difficult than the West thinks - Morales supporters for now are approaching the capital, in an attempt to stop the coup.
Also, some non-mainstream information can be also considered, to ruin the one-side image.
According to (and thanks to - I've continued to gather materials) readers, asking for evidences. La Jornada published a leak from US embassy, revealing the link between US and the coup.
For now it is definetly a coup. It is not surprising, though. It is not the first coup, with the help of US intelligence services in South America, and I doubt if it would be the last.
Notice also, that La Jornada is not a small newspaper. It is a big newspaper, with many readers, Naom Chomsky noticed it as the only independent in the hemisphere.
And some more material about "legitimate coup":
- peaceful Bolivia opposition right-wingers
- Bolivian right-wing groups with the police terrorizing Moralez supporters
As long as situation escalates, THE SECOND EDIT:
Seems that highly likely transforms into "definitely". Military officers placing presidental sash on a "new president":
Note, that there was NO QUORUM in pairlament while "voting" for Jeanine Áñez.
Note also, that Jeanine is openly racist - even its wiki page mentioned her twits racist towards indigenous people of Bolivia (which are about 70% of Bolivian population).
Rephrasing an old wisdom, "If it looks like a coup, walks like a coup, swims like a coup and quacks like a coup, it's a coup".
For now pairlament (WITH quorum) elected new pairlament-speaker, Serhio Choke, which do not recognizes Áñez as president.
Moralez supporters do not stop protests against the coup, some starts blocking roads:
For now, there is still some sort of "civilian" standoff - if police and military shooting at the protesters can be considered as "civilian". Many pro-Moralez protesters have been killed since coup begins - heard about ten victims. Most victims are from protests suppressing in Cochabamba town.
From the last news
- Aniez canceled criminal laws for protest suppressors - for now there is no punishment for police and military officers free killing protesters.
- Fascist terror from the neo-nazi groups supported by Aniez and military like para-military UJC is intencifying.
- Bolivia quits US-opposing structures, such as ALBA, treats Guaido as 'president' of Venezuela.
I'll try to maintain answer actual further - but it becomes very hard, as media reports become very short, only twitter still produce information.