3

From Wikipedia's Good Friday Agreement article:

The agreement reached was that Northern Ireland was part of the United Kingdom, and would remain so until a majority of the people both of Northern Ireland and of the Republic of Ireland wished otherwise. Should that happen, then the British and Irish governments are under "a binding obligation" to implement that choice.

My understanding is that if public sentiment seems to be more for Northern Ireland leaving the UK and joining the Republic of Ireland that a referendum would be held and that it is mandatory for it to be held although I can't find a reference for that. I understand the "binding obligation" as the results of a positive referendum must be carried out as soon as is practical.

If the referendum was narrowly defeated and public sentiment was still the same, what would be the trigger for another referendum? How would you avoid a run of referenda with the same result? I.e. it seems before the referendum that it would succeed therefore must be held, but it fails.

I imagine a failed referendum would be disastrous and would probably lead to violence. What measures are in place to ensure such a situation doesn't happen?

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From the Northern Ireland Act 1998

Subject to paragraph 3, the Secretary of State shall exercise the power under paragraph 1 if at any time it appears likely to him that a majority of those voting would express a wish that Northern Ireland should cease to be part of the United Kingdom and form part of a united Ireland.

The Secretary of State shall not make an order under paragraph 1 earlier than seven years after the holding of a previous poll under this Schedule.

Source

So essentially the Secretary of State of Northern Ireland calls a referendum when she thinks it might be result in a united Ireland and she has to wait at least seven years after the most recent referendum.

  • The incumbent secretary is a dude named Julian, since summer 2019. Did you pick at random, or were you thinking of the former secretary? – bobsburner Jan 6 at 9:58

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