13

At the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, the World Health Organization initially opposed countries instituting travel or trade restrictions. Example tweet, NPR article mentioning WHO's advice.

enter image description here

Why did they oppose these policies at that time? Is there any evidence that non-medical considerations such as political pressure played a role in the World Health Organization's decision?

4
  • 10
    I think the image should be replaced with the text and perhaps some excerpt from the link, as it contains a lot of irrelevant information and it is also not searchable.
    – Alexei
    Mar 26, 2020 at 6:44
  • Can you add some form of timestamp on the screenshot, post, and screenshot? I notice it's cropped out of the innermost screenshot.
    – bobsburner
    Mar 26, 2020 at 11:43
  • @bobsburner, while I didn’t add a date, I’ve added a link to an example tweet, and a third party source citing the WHO’s statement.
    – Golden Cuy
    May 11, 2020 at 4:09
  • @AndrewGrimm That requires me to click out to twitter to check on it, and that tweet can be deleted at any later stage. I'm probably just being excessively pedantic.
    – bobsburner
    Jun 3, 2020 at 8:59

1 Answer 1

14

Probably because prior WHO research was rather skeptical of their ultimate effectiveness:

Screening and quarantining entering travelers at international borders did not substantially delay virus introduction in past pandemics, except in some island countries, and will likely be even less effective in the modern era.

That paper was co-authored (on behalf of the WHO) by employees of the [US] CDC (lead author actually), the ECDC, the UK's HPA, Australian DHA, and some of WHO's own employees. So you could say it was a fairly broad consensus at the time it was written (2006).

The WHO has actually explained/defended their reasoning in relation to the COVID-19 outbreak in more detail in a February press release:

WHO continues to advise against the application of travel or trade restrictions to countries experiencing COVID-19 outbreaks.

In general, evidence shows that restricting the movement of people and goods during public health emergencies is ineffective in most situations and may divert resources from other interventions. Furthermore, restrictions may interrupt needed aid and technical support, may disrupt businesses, and may have negative social and economic effects on the affected countries. However, in certain circumstances, measures that restrict the movement of people may prove temporarily useful, such as in settings with few international connections and limited response capacities.

Travel measures that significantly interfere with international traffic may only be justified at the beginning of an outbreak, as they may allow countries to gain time, even if only a few days, to rapidly implement effective preparedness measures. Such restrictions must be based on a careful risk assessment, be proportionate to the public health risk, be short in duration, and be reconsidered regularly as the situation evolves.

Travel bans to affected areas or denial of entry to passengers coming from affected areas are usually not effective in preventing the importation of cases but may have a significant economic and social impact. Since WHO declaration of a public health emergency of international concern in relation to COVID-19, and as of 27 February, 38 countries have reported to WHO additional health measures that significantly interfere with international traffic in relation to travel to and from China or other countries, ranging from denial of entry of passengers, visa restrictions or quarantine for returning travellers. Several countries that denied entry of travellers or who have suspended the flights to and from China or other affected countries, are now reporting cases of COVID-19.

Temperature screening alone, at exit or entry, is not an effective way to stop international spread, since infected individuals may be in incubation period, may not express apparent symptoms early on in the course of the disease, or may dissimulate fever through the use of antipyretics; in addition, such measures require substantial investments for what may bear little benefits. [...]

I haven't found more recent press releases on this matter, especially after the US and the EU have imposed much more wider travel bans. I do wonder the extent to which the WHO might have reconsidered that initial approach...

Aside, comment on the question... I wonder why you found it necessary to use "that guy from India" as the motivator for this question when (in the US) a poll published on March 26 says...

In thinking about specific steps that have been announced to address the coronavirus outbreak, majorities of Republicans and Democrats view a range of measures as necessary to stem the spread of the virus. For example, overwhelming majorities of both Republicans (96%) and Democrats (94%) say restricting international travel to the U.S. is necessary.

3
  • I should add that the economic impact of the current lockdowns looks like is going to be staggering (although this probably didn't enter into WHO's consideration much). Mar 26, 2020 at 6:51
  • It's hard to make a case from one country, but if the recent news that the US overtook China in Covid-19 cases turns out true "after the dust has settled" (differences in testing and what not)... the WHO might have been justified in their skepticism of travel bans. Mar 27, 2020 at 2:14
  • "skeptical of their ultimate effectiveness" -- More to the point, the 1918 pandemic made it very clear to everyone at the time that, for this type of transmittable disease at least, travel restrictions were utterly pointless. If you've but a single case inside a community, there no longer is any point in blocking entry -- it's in the community already. Unless, as China and Europe have possibly shown, you're OK with shutting down entire regions or whole countries. Mar 31, 2020 at 19:25

You must log in to answer this question.

Not the answer you're looking for? Browse other questions tagged .