I was thinking about a scenario that looks like this:
- Clinton wins all states she won in real life, plus Michigan and Pennsylvania. She gets 1% more votes than she really did.
- McMullin wins Utah. Though Clinton has a plurality in both the popular vote and Electoral College, she has a majority in neither, and the second one matters.
- In the House, McMullin wins some votes from Republican Congress members. Clinton again has a plurality, but not a majority.
This is an event where no candidate gets 270 votes and conflict draws votes away from the would be winner. If the House and Senate cannot agree on president and vice president in such an event, who becomes the next president here? Is there a runoff? Would there be no president for the next 4 years? The House would have to pick from the top 3 in electoral votes. The Senate however must choose from the top 2 candidates. McMullin would fall in that category as number three. Would Tim Kaine serve as president?