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Quoted in Bloomberg after the first day of Amy Coney Barrett’s confirmation hearing:

Democratic Senator Chris Coons of Delaware said Barrett’s confirmation could endanger Supreme Court precedents that guarantee the right to use contraceptives, get an abortion and marry someone of the same sex.

Barrett has made her opinion of Roe v. Wade very well known. On the other hand, I have not seen the media cover her stance on Obergefell v. Hodges.

Does Amy Coney Barrett’s record suggest she would vote to overturn Obergefell v. Hodges, and what specifically? Or is this just an assumption based on her right-leaning stance on other issues?

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    You are asking us to speculate on how Judge Barret would rule on a hypothetical case, which is generally off-topic here. – Joe C Oct 13 at 6:04
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    @JoeC I don't see why a discussion of Judge Barret's judicial philosophy and record would be off topic here as long as it's based on her statements and rulings. – divibisan Oct 13 at 6:58
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    @JoeC Barrett has made it obvious she would vote to overturn Roe; there is no room for speculation there. I am asking about similar statements or rulings in regard to Obergefell. I am asking for a fact-based analysis. I would not consider that “speculation.” – gen-ℤ ready to perish Oct 13 at 14:36
  • While there was a time where anti marriage equality was popular, that ship sailed, and forcing GOP candidates to take an unpopular stand on controversial issues doesn't help win state-wide contests, so if she is political, she would be better off leaving it alone. – dandavis Oct 13 at 15:31
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    @gen-ℤreadytoperish Strongly. Why would she want to make the job harder and more expensive for the party that placed her on the court? She's not running, but I don't believe she has equal sympathy for both political parties; I think she would personally prefer a GOP congress and president. If she creates wedges that make it harder for them to get elected, that certainly doesn't help the GOP, and while the court might be set, conservatives still want GOP control for annual budgets, choices on war, appointments, etc. – dandavis Oct 15 at 22:56
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Question: Does Amy Coney Barrett’s record suggest she would vote to overturn Obergefell v. Hodges, and what specifically? Or is this just an assumption based on her right-leaning stance on other issues?

Short Answer:
Unclear, but likely. Unclear because we have no record of Judge Barrett speaking on either Gay Marriage generally or the Obergefell v Hodges case specifically. Likely because Judge Barrett has been nominated by a President and party who’s stated that repeal of Obergefell v. Hodges* is a top priority and even litmus test for its Supreme Court Nominees.

The GOP’s 2020 platform “condemns” marriage equality.

2020 GOP Platform under section "Defending Marriage against Judicial Activism": “Our laws and our government’s regulations should recognize marriage as the union of one man and one woman … We do not accept the Supreme Court’s redefinition of marriage and we urge its reversal.”

Likewise Conservatives on the court are already telegraphing their intentions with regards to their new super majority.

Detailed Answer
Obergefell v. Hodges was a 5-4 decision. Giving conservative judges a new 6-3 majority could endanger Obergefell v. Hodges (gay marriage) which became national law, not due to legislative action, but on constitutional grounds after California passed (Assembly Bill 19 (AB 19)) legalizing Gay Marriage and then repealed it ( Prop 8 2008i). Barrett's nomination could, but also may not, endanger gay marriage and Obergefell v. Hodges directly.

One of the first court cases a new Judge Barrett will hear is Fulton v. Philadelphia; (days after the presidential election) a case which could set new precedent for conflicts between religious practices and governmental nondiscrimination rules; thus weakening minority rights in favor of religious beliefs.

Still Barrett's position, going either way, is not a slam dunk. As a strong Catholic who attended Catholic Hight school, College and Graduate Schools one might think she would side with conservative religious position on these cases. On the other hand, her named mentor on the Supreme Court was Anthony Scalia who voted with the majority originally that the State's ability to legislate over religions was not a violation of the First Amendment, if the legislation in question applied broadly and did not single out a specific religion (Employment Division v. Smith in 1990). Still Employment Division vs Smith involved a native American church's right to receive unemployment benefits while smoking peyote as a religious practice. Scalia's vote would have been more out of character agreeing with Mr. Smith than voting with the majority and denying him his employment checks and curbing the first amendment.

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