Year, VT voting for winning party nationally, party candidate elected VT governor 2006, No, R 2008, No, R 2010, No, D 2012, Yes, D 2014, No, D 2016, No, R 2018, No, R 2020, No, R
Why does Vermont have such a bad track record of picking the party that is more popular at the top of the ticket nationally? The midterms, are of course House elections.
I feel this is notable because Vermont is an "elastic" state, so it would make sense for it to move with the nation. But 2008 2016 and 2018 do not make sense to me. 2018 in particular doesn't make sense because there was a 6.5 pp swing towards the Democrats and the Dem did worse despite Sanders (not exactly a Democrat but a leftist nevertheless) being on the ballot.