I've seen a lot of questions lately asking if the Republican Party is on the decline. Most people who ask this question focus on the fact that White Anglos are expected to become a minority in a few decades. Most answers I've seen suggest that the Republican party isn't in trouble due to this shift, but all of the ones I've seen completely ignore the fact that in 2020 60% of voters under the age of 30 voted Democrat, the largest margin of any age group, and a margin that has only been widening with each election. Does this mean that the Republican Party really is in trouble, and that the country is on the verge of become a one-party nation, or is it likely that more of these voters will vote Republican as they get older?

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    A quote widely but apparently falsely attributed to Winston Churchill is “If you’re not a liberal at 20, you have no heart. If you’re not a conservative at 40, you have no brain.” – David Hammen Jan 5 at 11:13
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    A huge number of studies show that people's voting patterns tend to solidify in young adulthood. The politically and economically calamitous events during the Carter administration followed by the calm and prosperous times during the Reagan administration cemented mid to late Boomers and early Gen Xers to the Republican Party. And now we have what is arguably the most corrupt and most inept administration in American history, ending with 2020, a year that lasted a decade. There is no way this cannot have a long lasting effect, particularly amongst younger voters. – David Hammen Jan 5 at 12:58
  • C'mon man! We know for a fact that Obama and The Big Guy are corrupt to their very core. Hating Trump is understandable but calling him the most corrupt is just objectively false! – acpilot Jan 5 at 18:53
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    @acpilot: Obama admin convictions: Petraeus. Trump Admin convictions: too many to list in a comment, literally. – dandavis Jan 5 at 21:21
  • Pallets of cash to Iran. Jobs aren't coming back/magic wand. Anything Biden is involved in. The list is long. If you think convictions = corruption then I have a great bridge to sell you!!! – acpilot Jan 6 at 3:06

Shifting voting patterns doesn't mean the Republican party itself is in trouble, only its current political ideology. In the long term it means the Republican party will probably have to change to accommodate more voters.

Example of something which the Republican stance has shifted on.

In the period 1850–1870, the Republican Party was more opposed to immigration than Democrats, in part because the Republican Party relied on the support of anti-Catholic and anti-immigrant parties, such as the Know-Nothings, at the time. In the decades following the Civil War, the Republican Party grew more supportive of immigration, as it represented manufacturers in the Northeast (who wanted additional labor) whereas the Democratic Party came to be seen as the party of labor (which wanted fewer laborers to compete with). Starting in the 1970s, the parties switched places again, as the Democrats grew more supportive of immigration than Republicans.

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