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The title of CNN's New York to lose House seat -- and an Electoral College vote -- after falling 89 residents short in census count sums up the situation as does Axios' States that voted for Biden lose 3 net House seats after Census count

A census official said if New York had counted 89 additional people, the state would not have lost a congressional seat.

By law elected US representative can contest an individual election result and/or ask for a recount when the margin is small, but this is different in that the seat itself should no longer exist and there are not actual ballots to recount.

Question: How could a state, a party or an individual representative contest a slim margin (in this case 89 souls) in a census result or ask for an audit or anything analogous to a recount?


related:

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  • Although I have not asked about redistricting, it might be an inevitable part of the answer so I've added it for now. – uhoh Apr 27 at 4:01
  • On the second question, it's the voters who decide who stays and who goes, or, more precisely, the decision is made through the usual election process. The seat is lost when a new congress takes office, in this case in 2022. But someone asked that recently -- in the last year or so -- which is why I'm not posting an answer now. Also, states are redistricted every ten years regardless of whether they have lost or gained a seat. Since question 2 is quite different from question 1 (and anyway a duplicate), it's probably better to remove it. – phoog Apr 27 at 4:16
  • @phoog I've removed that part and added a few links, do you think that the one you're thinking of is there? – uhoh Apr 27 at 5:28
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    They could file a case in federal court, if they were prepared to spend the money on such a case. – Joe C Apr 27 at 6:55
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    Yes, I think the first one is the one I remember. – phoog Apr 27 at 13:25
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The process is spelled out in the Administrative Procedure Act. See, e.g., National Urban League v. Ross and Ohio v. Coggins. Basically, it amounts to a lawsuit against a federal government official in the chain of command involved in making the decision in question filed in a suitable U.S. District Court.

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The proper way to go about it is detailed by ohwilleke's answer. But for the sake of amusement let's ignore that and consider the fallback:

Petition/Pressure/Obstruct Congress

Reapportionment due to the Census, while required by the constitution, is not automatic and self-executing by default. It requires an act of Congress to determine both how many seats the House of Representatives will have and how many seats each state gets.

As a point of fact, the House was never reapportioned as a result of the 1920 census. At that time reapportionment was a political hot potato, with rural states and areas fighting against a loss of representation as urban areas exploded in population. This made reapportionment into a heated battle to decide how it would be done, and in particular decide how many members the House should have. And urban boon meant the population distribution had dramatically altered since 1910, with some areas now wildly overrepresented and others wildly underrepresented. Disagreements and brazen political obstruction got so bad that the House never came to an agreement. The House apportionment was thus stuck at the what was determined by the Apportionment Act of 1911 for the entire decade. Eventually they passed the Reapportionment Act of 1929, in force to this day, fixing the number of seats at 435, as well as providing a default method for all future reapportionments. This allowed the House to finally be reapportioned as a result of the 1930 census. While changes have been made, with reapportionment now following the provisions of Title 2 (Section 2) of the USC, the basic thrust has remained the same: fix the size of the House and create a default method and process for future reapportionments.

But the point here being that if you don't want reapportionment to change your state's representation, then a technically valid way of doing so is to try to affect the necessary legislative acts of Congress. A bit of a tall order for a single state, especially with a default process in effect, but nevertheless technically valid.

You could try to get them to pick a different method for reapportionment; the current method is the "method of equal proportions", intended to minimize the disparity in the populations of districts across the US. In a case like the present one with New York, a different method may change the end result so that New York does not lose a representative (though some other state might; New York's retained rep need not be removed from a state that otherwise stood to gain one).

Or you could even try to get them to increase the size of the House of Representatives. The Constitution places a maximum value on this of one representative per 30,000 people, which is currently in the neighborhood of 10,000 I think, so there's plenty of room to work in, constitutionally speaking. The reapportionments of 1911 and earlier had typically been done in such a way as to prevent any state from losing representatives, in fact. This could let a particular state have no net change in its total representatives. It's proportion of representatives in the House would still go down, but it would technically keep the same number of seats.

If you can convince Congress to repeal the current default methods, or have SCOTUS declare it unconstitutional (some have advanced such an argument, but to my knowledge none have advanced it meaningfully through the courts before), then you'd be back to the situation where each reapportionment needs a new act of Congress. If the reapportionment is a partisan issue, a single state's Representatives or Senators could fairly easily take the process hostage to try to either block such legislation entirely (recreating the 1920-1929 lack of reapportionment), or win concessions on the method that manages to favor them. A presidential veto of the apportionment law would also then be on the table, providing Congress wouldn't easily override it (if you failed to get a majority of a chamber to block it, you may still have gotten better than a third on your side).

The issue with any of these ideas, especially in the current context, is that, even devoid of the currently existing default process for reapportionment, the law detailing how reapportionment shall be done was typically enacted before the Census was carried out. In this case, it won't be clear to anyone which states stand to gain/lose/stay-the-same from any given method once the Census data comes in. Of course I'm also intentionally ignoring the practical, political consequences of any of the above acts. But this was intended as an amusing hypothetical and technicality, rather than a practical and realistic method.

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    The size of the House is capped at 1/30,000 of the country's population. For the apportionment based on the 2021 census, which counted 331,449,281 people, that's a maximum size of 11,048 representatives. – phoog Apr 27 at 13:36
  • I like this answer, but I think this question would also need a different answer addressing the "US Census Bureau by default deals with this sort of thing" portion more explicitly. – Bobson Apr 27 at 16:31
  • Doesn't the Reapportionment Act of 1929 remove the requirement for a specific reapportionment bill every ten years, so that it's not a matter of preventing the passage of a bill for reapportionment, but rather the passing of a specific bill to override or alter the terms of reapportionment? – eques Apr 27 at 20:52
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    @ohwilleke It can't be waved by statute, but it's not self-executing and can only be given effect by statute. And 1920-1929 gives us an explicit case where such a statute failed to materialize and reapportionment never happened. I'm doubtful modern courts would try to force Congress to pass suitable reapportionment legislation. They'd have to declare the nitty gritty, like which apportionment method to use and what principles of fairness take priority over which during edge cases, and how to deal with any reapportionment paradoxes that might arise, etc. are within the purview of the courts. – zibadawa timmy Apr 28 at 19:12
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    @ohwilleke Interesting. Why's that? – zibadawa timmy May 3 at 22:27

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