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Electoral silences, also known as cooling-off or blackout periods, are enforced in some countries to allow time for voters to reflect before casting their votes. During this period no active campaigning by the candidates is allowed. Often polling is also banned.

Has there been any study on the effect of such a ban on election outcomes, i.e. whether the incumbent or the opposition would receive more votes had there been not a ban?

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    I would expect that the main effect - if any - would be on GOTV efforts and not the voting choices, based on how little the advertising effects voter even over long term (cite: 538) – user4012 Dec 29 '14 at 18:52
  • @DVK Do you have a link to that 538 article? I'd be interested in reading it, and I think I missed it when it was published. – Avi Dec 30 '14 at 19:47
  • @Avi - nope sorry. I read on RSS fead – user4012 Dec 30 '14 at 20:17
  • @DVK That's a shame, hopefully I'll run across it. – Avi Dec 30 '14 at 20:18
  • I was under the impression was part of this ban was to ensure there was no intimidation at polling stations or conflict between opposition campaign teams at the polls, not necessarily to give a 'reflection period'. – Twelfth Nov 30 '17 at 19:51
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No, because that's an impossible question. You might as well ask whether the absense of UFOs on election day effects the outcome. Imagine asking people "would you have voted any differently if aliens invaded earth yesterday?" See how meaningless that is?

You can't even speculate about it in theory effectively, because there's no way to verify anything anyway

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    Actually we have whole branches of mathematics and social sciences aiming at forecasting. As long as you have reliable data you can make a lot of extrapolation. So your (single) argument happens to be incorrect. If you do happen to find reliable "UFO sights on election days by opposition to any other regular day" data I'll even make you a nice scatterplot and table with several correlation coefficients. – armatita Oct 31 '17 at 16:39

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