During the Tigray war, the US apparently provided its own estimates of hunger in the region, e.g.

June 26, 2021

The United States estimates that up to 900,000 people in Ethiopia’s Tigray region now face famine conditions amid a deadly conflict, even as the prime minister says there is “no hunger” there.

It's not too clear to me what scale the US uses for that, but the numbers were a bit higher than those provided by the Integrated Food Security Phase Classification using their "IPC Phase 5" (Catastrophe) assessment, which stood at around 350,000 at that point (May - June 2021), but lower than the same estimates for [the broader] IPC Phase 4 (Emergency) during the same time frame, which were about 2 million (not including those in Phase 5).

So, I'm curious: did the US make its own estimates of hunger in Gaza during the current war there, and do those estimates differ substantially from those of the IPC (which reported 377,800 in Phase 5 and 939,000 in Phase 4 in Gaza for the period of 24 November to 7 December 2023)?

  • FWTW, I found this damp squib of a statement, which is probably not worthy of an answer, as it's pretty vague & under condition of anonymity: ""While we can say with confidence that famine is a significant risk in the south and center but not present, in the north, it is both a risk and quite possibly is present in at least some areas," the official told Reuters on the condition of anonymity." Apparently made on March 29 or thereabout voanews.com/a/… Apr 6 at 12:40


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