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Questions tagged [demographics]

Information about a given population. Use this tag to discuss population statistics

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"Shut out" districts in 2021's NYC Republican mayoral primary -- how did they vote in the Democratic primary and 2020 presidential race combined?

Looking at the 2021 mayoral election, I have seen more shut-out precincts in the NYC mayoral primary than in other elections in this city. I understand there are caveats to talking about the shut out ...
Number File's user avatar
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-1 votes
2 answers
162 views

Why does it seem like Hispanic voting patterns are shaped by a state's political standing in the United States?

I have noticed something interesting. It seems that Latinos seem to vote differently based on where they live. I'm not talking about what country they are from but where they live. For example ...
Number File's user avatar
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-3 votes
1 answer
209 views

What explains the sharp drop-off in Republican vote share vs the 2020 presidential election in the 2021 NYC mayor primary?

Here are the primary results screenshotted from RRH Elections: This same precinct cast 57 votes for Trump compared to 326 for Biden per NYTimes, and it swung 23 points towards the former president: ...
Number File's user avatar
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4 votes
1 answer
173 views

Is there a new divide between college & noncollege with *non* white voters in the US?

College graduated voters have been said to be trending towards the Democrats and the opposite with non college individuals. But that discussion seems to be isolated to white voters. I have seen ...
Number File's user avatar
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2 votes
1 answer
319 views

How "red or blue" is each state by self described partisan identification per CCES?

When we think about how Democratic or Republican a state is, we usually think of how it votes for President and (usually) Senate. But that is a rather shallow look, as there are people who call ...
Number File's user avatar
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4 votes
1 answer
303 views

Why did NYC swing towards Trump more than surrounding demographically similar area? [closed]

The combined results of the 5 boroughs of NYC had a swing towards former president Donald Trump of about 9 percentage points. However, the combined results of Hudson Union and Essex counties in New ...
Number File's user avatar
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5 votes
1 answer
436 views

Why is the western portion of the USA moving towards the Democratic Party while the Midwest is moving towards the GOP?

A lot has been made of the former president Donald Trump's narrow upset wins in three Rust Belt states which won him the presidency. This was part of a long term trend that continued into 2020, as I ...
Number File's user avatar
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4 votes
1 answer
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Why isn't Louisiana a swing state given its high black population?

In the 2020 presidential election Joe Biden, Jon Ossoff, and Raphael Warnock became the first Democrats to win Georgia. However, Louisiana, a state with about the same percentage of black population, ...
Number File's user avatar
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9 votes
2 answers
658 views

Are female police officers one-sixth as likely to kill as their male colleagues?

The incidence of people dying due to use of force by the police is a high profile issue at the moment. Figures about the distribution of these deaths, such as found in this paper, can be compared to ...
Dave's user avatar
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1 answer
232 views

What explains the Democratic shift among nonwhites since and relative to 2020's presidential election?

In the 2020 presidential election, Trump made news after reports based on exit polls & actual election data showed his performance with minority voters being the second best of the modern era, ...
Number File's user avatar
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3 answers
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Can Democrats ask/sue for more majority minority seats?

I was thinking about redistricting after the 2020 census. I was thinking specifically about the Deep South. I think what they could ask for is to draw extra black majority seats in multiple states ...
Number File's user avatar
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4 votes
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257 views

Is there a correlation between a county's swing towards Democrats from 2004-2020 and increase in minority population?

In 2020's presidential election, it was shown that Joe Biden lost support from nonwhite voters, most of whom were ideologically conservative. However, he not only still won this voting group, but he ...
Number File's user avatar
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46 votes
12 answers
16k views

Why did postal voting favour Joe Biden so much?

In the recent US presidential election, there were several states which looked almost certain wins for Donald Trump until the postal votes were counted, after which there was a huge swing towards Joe ...
komodosp's user avatar
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3 votes
1 answer
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Is the Republican Party on the decline due to the voting patterns of young voters? [closed]

I've seen a lot of questions lately asking if the Republican Party is on the decline. Most people who ask this question focus on the fact that White Anglos are expected to become a minority in a few ...
Sagierian's user avatar
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2 votes
2 answers
552 views

Why did incumbent House Democrats seem to outperform Biden among Hispanics?

It has come to my attention that Biden has underperformed Democrats' usual margins with Hispanic voters. He won their votes (as a group, remember: Hispanics are not a monolith and come from different ...
Number File's user avatar
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0 votes
1 answer
338 views

Does this image represent interstate migration?

I was reading through Twitter and came across this image. It showed states that shifted Republican and Democrat from 2012 to 2020. This is not your ordinary red state, blue state map. But it is a map ...
Number File's user avatar
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Did the Republican shift among Hispanic voters come entirely from Florida and the Rio Grande Valley?

In 2016, exit polls showed Clinton getting 70% of the two-party Latino vote but Biden only got 67%. I looked at the exit polls for Florida and the data for the RGV and found that the vote share for ...
Michael Mormon's user avatar
23 votes
5 answers
4k views

Who is the oldest parliamentarian (legislator) on record?

In the US, there are at least three parliamentarians (two Senators and one in the House of Representatives) who are 87 years old. Are there even older people who serve or served in such positions ...
Fizz's user avatar
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5 votes
1 answer
229 views

What accounts for the Republican shift in Appalachia?

I was reading through county level swings in presidential elections. I found one area that has been consistently trending Republican: Appalachia and some (other) rural areas in the eastern half of the ...
Number File's user avatar
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1 vote
1 answer
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Where can I find data on US party affiliations, broken down geographically?

Where can I find data on US party affiliations, broken down geographically? I'd like to do some statistical analysis on party affiliations within states, broken down geographically. Here's the kicker: ...
Ron Ruble's user avatar
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Correlation between 538's urbanization index and vote margin 2020?

538 did an article about the urban-rural divide. It said that in 2016, the correlation between urbanization and Dem voting was 0.69 in 2016 and 0.55 in 2012. (There was one big exception: Vermont.) ...
Michael Mormon's user avatar
4 votes
0 answers
119 views

Will the demographic inversion between Democrats and Republican reverse post-Trump? [closed]

Party demographic inversions are not uncommon, i.e. when the demographics that make up a party or the ideology of the party invert. It was not long ago that southern states tended to vote Democrat ...
Matthaeus Gaius Caesar's user avatar
16 votes
2 answers
2k views

Why is there such a large difference between the US population and electorate?

At the time of writing this question, a total of 143.1 million votes have been counted in the 2020 US Presidential election (73 488 248 democratic, and 69 622 407 republican). Most estimates have put ...
Landak's user avatar
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3 votes
1 answer
314 views

Is ticket splitting among nonwhite Democratic voters particularly uncommon?

Ticket splitting (the practice of voting for both major parties) has been on the decline for a while. This has been measured in split-ticket House districts, which hit a near all-time low in 2012 and ...
Michael Mormon's user avatar
47 votes
12 answers
11k views

Why does having a college degree make a difference to how white Americans vote?

Four years after the 2016 election, it hasn't changed that the majority of non-college-degree white people support Trump's re-election, while the majority of college-degree white people don't. Why ...
Tim's user avatar
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2 votes
3 answers
511 views

Are there any examples of multicultural mass democracies which don't have ethnic-based party politics?

In the USA, it seems increasingly like the Republican Party is becoming the "White Party" and becoming a vehicle for soft White nationalism, or at least White grievance politics, while the ...
Statsanalyst's user avatar
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5 votes
1 answer
777 views

Why does Trump do (somewhat) well with Native Hawaiians and Pacific Islanders?

In the United States, simply put, the Republican Party tends to do well with non-hispanic white voters and the Democratic Party tends to do well with Hispanics, African Americans, Asian Americans, ...
gerrit's user avatar
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0 votes
2 answers
198 views

What is the ethnic composition of the two houses of the Dutch parliament?

The Dutch Parliament has two houses, the "first" (higher) and "second" (lower). How many of the members of each house are ethnically Dutch (for whatever reasonable definition of ...
einpoklum's user avatar
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4 votes
0 answers
110 views

Is the US age gap of voting behaviour unprecedented, and will it lead to a drastic shift of the political mainstream in foreseeable future?

According to the Pew Research center, young people in the USA leaned heavily towards voting for Democrats in the 2018 election. Notable are not only the 2018's (Compared to because of its historic ...
Robert Tausig's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
194 views

What explains this difference in partisanship with statewide black officials? [closed]

I was looking at the partisanship of black Americans today. The first one really stood out to me. I found this bizarre. Look: Position % Democratic Statewide ...
user avatar
-1 votes
1 answer
323 views

Do black republican candidates increase Democratic turnout?

I was thinking about an interesting effect that I noticed in Mia Love's race. Out of 2018's Utah House races, her district got the most votes for a Democrat in the state of Utah. (This may not be ...
Number File's user avatar
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1 vote
1 answer
326 views

Why are Democrats more consistent across generation?

I was reading an article in the Pew Research Center. It was talking about generational change. For example, it showed a large increase in Gen Z Republicans saying blacks can't get ahead of whites ...
Michael Mormon's user avatar
2 votes
1 answer
163 views

Has Markey discussed past votes to preserve tax-exempt status for racist colleges?

NBC affiliate WWLP said this, in discussing remarks made by Democratic Congressman Joe Kennedy as part of his primary challenge of Democratic Senator Ed Markey: At a Tuesday press conference, Kennedy ...
Keshav Srinivasan's user avatar
3 votes
1 answer
130 views

Representatives of districts that are 50 to 65 percent Hispanic by party?

I was thinking about congressional districts. I found that there was one type of majority-minority district that could be plausibly represented by a Republican. These are districts between 50 and 65 ...
Michael Mormon's user avatar
3 votes
1 answer
130 views

What was the correlation between a US state's Hispanic population and two party vote share for Hillary Clinton?

I was thinking about what the correlation between two variables would be. Namely these are the percent Hispanic in a state and the percent non third party voting Democratic in the 2016 election. What ...
Michael Mormon's user avatar
-1 votes
2 answers
195 views

How many minority-majority districts are there?

I want to know more about minority-majority districts. How many of them are there, and what percentage of minority-majority districts are represented by Democrats in the House of Representatives? It ...
user avatar
2 votes
2 answers
991 views

Why do Black voters in the USA not vote Republican? [duplicate]

This research by the Pew Institute breaks down demographic voting data from the 2016 election. Pew found that Hillary Clinton (Democrat) won Black voters by an 80% margin (88% to 8%). Is there any ...
user23920's user avatar
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4 votes
1 answer
306 views

Do Pakistan, Nigeria, Bangladesh, or Indonesia consider overpopulation to be a problem? [closed]

Abdel Fattah Al-Sissi said that overpopulation was, along with terrorism, the two real threats to Egypt, and took countermeasures in 2017. https://www.egypttoday.com/Article/1/40295/What%E2%80%99s-...
fedor's user avatar
  • 156
57 votes
5 answers
16k views

Why are Deep South states said to vote so lop-sidedly Republican, when they have high percentages of African Americans?

States like Mississippi, Alabama, and Louisiana, have in the range of 30% African Americans, who, from what I can tell, vote about 90% Democrat. Yet these states vote reliably Republican. What is the ...
Joshua Fox's user avatar
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7 votes
1 answer
893 views

How do crime rates compare between Black and White populations of similar economic status, particularly for those below the poverty line?

I'm not sure that this question is on topic here, but I guessed that I would have a better chance of getting a good answer here than at Economics SE (and Sociology SE doesn't exist). I've seen a few ...
WaterMolecule's user avatar
-2 votes
1 answer
109 views

What is the correlation between a Mississippi county's African-American population and percent of votes for Hillary Clinton?

I was looking at Mississippi's electoral map. I noticed that the percent of African-Americans had a close roughly 1:1 correlation with the % of votes in the county cast for Hillary Clinton. The ...
Number File's user avatar
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1 vote
2 answers
577 views

What does the Economist mean by "liberal graduates, conservative school-leavers"?

In an article in The Economist titled: Return of the paranoid style - Fake news is fooling more conservatives than liberals. Why?, the author states: Conservatives’ complaints that elites are not on ...
Cheng's user avatar
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-2 votes
1 answer
133 views

Is Imperial County, California the most pro Bernie Sanders county in America that is less than 50% white?

In the 2020 Democratic primary, I was looking at Texas's southern counties because I knew that they were the most heavily Latino in the country and Latinos are the demographic that is the most likely ...
user avatar
4 votes
1 answer
499 views

To what extent do police departments in the US reflect in numerical terms the proportions of each race in the communities they serve?

In recent years Londoners have got used to the arrival of larger numbers of black and ethnic police men and women. It has involved a change in uniform for some, such as the now many Sikh officers in ...
WS2's user avatar
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18 votes
1 answer
5k views

Why aren't White Americans called European-Americans? [closed]

Black Americans in the USA are commonly referred to as "African Americans", and similarly there are "Asian" and "native" Americans, and people from South America are called "Hispanics". From my ...
Reznik's user avatar
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4 votes
2 answers
267 views

Why did the life expectancy in northern Africa rise much faster than in the south of Africa

I stumbled on a Wikipedia page with the following graphic What I find interesting is that the life expectancy of the countries in the north of Africa rose so much faster compared to the countries in ...
xxx's user avatar
  • 457
1 vote
2 answers
200 views

What percent of counties that voted Democratic in 2016 are minority majority?

I stumbled across an image at https://ibb.co/GF5zPc4 that shows minority majority or majority minority counties as brown and the ones that almost had minority majority status as yellow. It also shows ...
Number File's user avatar
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1 vote
0 answers
103 views

Has the increased ability of Chinese citizens to travel led to an increased demand for political reform?

According to this article, which presents data from the China Outbound Tourism Research Institute & the United Nations World Tourism Organisation, annual Chinese overseas visits have increased by ...
CDJB's user avatar
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67 votes
6 answers
18k views

Why is the US so religious compared to other Western democracies?

According to the Pew Research Center, around 88% of Americans had at least some belief in a God, with around 63% being "absolutely certain" of this. This is in stark contrast to other comparable ...
CDJB's user avatar
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3 votes
1 answer
1k views

What is the freezing hypothesis, and is it still applicable today?

I came across the term, which seems to refer to a theory initially introduced by Lipset & Rokkan in 1967. It appears to refer to a way of categorising voters into 'frozen' blocs that don't shift ...
CDJB's user avatar
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