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Questions tagged [exit-polls]

Questions about polls that are taken immediately after a person cast their ballot, e.g. by asking people how they voted when exiting polling stations.

6
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2answers
117 views

Can exit-polls for European Elections be published?

European elections are run over multiple days - the earliest voting countries in the EU are voting today, and the final votes will be on Sunday. Is it permissible for an exit-poll for a single ...
3
votes
1answer
249 views

How did Labour party members in England vote in the 2016 Brexit referendum?

Polling data is readily available on how members of the Labour across Britain voted in the Brexit referendum: 65% for remain. However, this exit poll includes Labour voters across Great Britain*, and ...
4
votes
0answers
146 views

What are the main differences between UK and US (NEP) exit polls, methodologically?

The UK since 2001-2005 has apparently managed to get extremely accurate exit-polls: Prior to 2001 the methods used had been different, and the accuracy of predictions based on exit polls was rather ...
3
votes
1answer
445 views

Is exit-polling more accurate than pre-election polling?

It has been claimed so in a comment which cites a FT article that I can't read (right now). Presumably the topic is interesting enough to have been discussed elsewhere. I'm mainly interested in the ...
0
votes
1answer
360 views

Would a Catalan secession from Spain spark whole new borders in Europe? [closed]

If the Catalan government decides to call for independence later today, would the EU have to recognize Catalonia as an independent country? The U.K. can't veto this decision because of Brexit, and no ...
1
vote
0answers
82 views

The accuracy of real time election result reporting

By googling, I discovered that Edison Research has a near monopoly on providing real time election results to the media. Here is their website: http://www.edisonresearch.com/election-polling/. They ...
1
vote
1answer
312 views

Where can I do my own analysis of exit poll data?

All the media sites do their own rollups of the exit poll data, but the dimensions they pick are static. Is there any site where I can pivot on my own sets of dimensions? E.g. I see married men went ...
10
votes
1answer
267 views

Is the “no poll reporting till voting is done” specific to Brexit vote?

I saw mentions that nobody could tell the preliminary outcome of Brexit vote, because it was illegal to report on any numbers before voting concluded. Is this rule/law specific to Brexit referendum, ...