Questions tagged [polling]

A sampling or collection of opinions on a subject, taken from either a selected or a random group of persons

22 questions with no upvoted or accepted answers
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5
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0answers
182 views

Social media impact on Trump's presidency

It is difficult for me to realise really how much social media content approves or rejects some political party or person. The content is automatically generated and will always fit what the reader ...
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308 views

Is there a party in Europe whose supporters show a high degree of sympathy towards Israel?

I find this plot over time of US sympathy for Israel rather fascinating, especially when broken down by US party. One has to wonder how much of that is explained by "conflict extension" in recent ...
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199 views

Has anything been published about how YouGov determined the figures they are using for predicted turnout by age?

YouGov's MRP model is seen as one of the most reliable pre-election predictors of what results will look like in the UK. Their turnout predictions by age are as follows: According to the ...
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1answer
238 views

Are there any pre-Brexit-referendum polls on UK electorate preference for a strongman leader?

An article in The Economist this summer says: The gridlock in Parliament, where mps have been caught between loyalty to their constituents, their party and the instruction of the referendum, has ...
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177 views

What are the main differences between UK and US (NEP) exit polls, methodologically?

The UK since 2001-2005 has apparently managed to get extremely accurate exit-polls: Prior to 2001 the methods used had been different, and the accuracy of predictions based on exit polls was rather ...
4
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1answer
170 views

Is the National Front's presidential election chances dependent on which party opposes it in the run-off?

In the 2002 French presidential election, Jacques Chirac from the centre-right Rally for the Republic won with a large margin against Jean-Marie Le Pen of the National Front. I have a suspicion that ...
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90 views

Are there any polls on the acceptance of the “Irish Sea border” in the UK?

I'm venturing a guess that a symbol that may constitute a rallying cry for hardcore Brexiteers is going to be the "Irish Sea border" which is already making its (still subdued) appearance as ...
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62 views

How has the support for integration within the EU changed during the COVID-19 pandemic?

I'm interested in any surveys studying the popular support for EU and EU integration done in the EU memberstates within the period of the coronavirus. How has the COVID-19 pandemic affected the EU's ...
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74 views

Are there any polls explicitly measuring “impeachment fatigue”?

There are at least a couple of articles (NYT, The Hill) that talk of "impeachment fatigue" among the US public already. In one PBS piece/interview it was it even claimed explicitly that this fatigue ...
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33 views

Is there an online source for pre-1942 UK general election polls from the British Institute of Public Opinion?

I know that there are records of UK general election polls from before 1942, since I have read them in back issues of Cavalcade in the British Library (because I'm fun). I'm looking for an online ...
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58 views

How widely established are the laws against reporting on polling during election?

In comments on " Is the "no poll reporting till voting is done" specific to Brexit vote? " I was made aware that other countries also have rules against reporting on polling numbers on ...
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228 views

What factors account for the large drop in young voters identifying with the Democratic Party?

A recent Harvard poll, young Millennials (18-24 year olds) have been trending less Democratic. With a drop of 12 percentage points from November 2009 to November 2013. This is in sharp contrast to ...
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274 views

How much has Obamacare cost Senate Democrats in public support?

Early in November, President Obama met with Senate Democrats concerning the rollout of the Affordable care Act. A group of 15 Senate Democrats–all up for re-election in a year–met with President ...
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89 views

What projections are there, if any, of the final margin of the election?

At this point, Biden is the president-elect, with every major network including Fox having called the election in his favor, and with a probable end result of 306 electoral votes to 232 for Trump. ...
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112 views

What is the name for a graph showing the estimated electoral vote share based on polling over time?

I'm looking for the right words to use to find a trend graph that shows how the US electoral vote count would look over time. "If the election were held today" kind of thing. This isn't ...
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50 views

Does a database of historic US Presidential election polling data exist?

I want to do some research concerning the historic accuracy of presidential election polling. Is there anywhere I can find a database containing historic polling data from multiple pollsters? ...
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177 views

How does Indonesia's unofficial presidential election tally finish with “head-snapping” speed?

The NPR News item and podcast In Indonesia, Joko Widodo Secures Another 5-Year Term As President quotes Indonesian president Joko Widodo, and continues: "Let us reunite as family. Let us strengthen ...
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731 views

What is Maduro's approval among Venezuelan expatriates?

The president of Venezuela, Nicolas Maduro, has an approval rating of around 20% (e.g. this survey). These studies do have flaws, since some may not properly account for his support in the lowest-...
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112 views

Who coined the term “herding” in the context of polling?

Nate Silver defines herding as the tendency of polling firms to produce results that closely match one another, especially toward the end of a campaign On November 5 2012 Drew Linzer wrote a post ...
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63 views

What makes a law proposal eligible for voting by the public?

For example, in Florida they are voting for: Amendment 3 · Tax exemption for totally and partially disabled first-responders Results expected after 7 PM EST Amendment 5 · Tax exemption for low-income,...
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104 views

What percentage of Frenchmen still think [hydroxy]chloroquine is an effective remedy against Covid-19?

News from almost two months ago: A survey released by French polling institute IFOP on 6 April revealed that 59% of the French population believes chloroquine is effective against the new ...
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196 views

What other EU countries' population (besides Italy) see China and/or Russia as their best friend(s) and Germany as their worst enemy?

An Euractiv article, points to SWG a poll among Italians that finds China and Russia being considered friendly countries now in Italy while Germany and France are seen as enemies: (One can't help but ...