Questions tagged [presidential-election]

For questions regarding the process by which a person attains the role of president over a governing body or country.

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29
votes
5answers
3k views

Why don't Presidential debates disable the candidates microphones while it's not their turn to speak?

I'm watching the Biden/Trump Presidential debate and it's difficult to watch due to candidates speaking out of turn. Why don't these debates simply disconnect the candidate's microphone when it's not ...
-4
votes
0answers
93 views

Please give me an advanced description of how the US electoral college work [closed]

Please give me a full description of how the US electoral college work. I know that usually, all state's electors are assigned to the candidate who wins a majority of votes. I know that in Maine and ...
-4
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2answers
130 views

How shall I understand the US election poll results conducted on Twitter, which are contradictory to the others not conducted on Twitter?

On a popular US poll twitter account, I found an interesting phenomenon. (Similar thing also has been happening on other US poll twitter accounts.) Most of the polls it has (re)tweeted are favoring ...
4
votes
3answers
283 views

Will social conservative voters still “need” Trump if his Court appointment succeeds?

I see a lot of commentary to the effect that for many conservative U.S. voters, a major reason they supported Trump was because they foresaw, correctly, that his term would see the appointment of ...
1
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3answers
225 views

What happens if presidential elections were not fair (in some states)?

Assume in some US state, the elections in November will not meet minimum standards of free and fair elections, e.g. a vast amount of votes is lost (in the mail), or extreme riots, or due to Corona, ...
12
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1answer
408 views

Has a sitting US president ever expressed anything less than a full willingness to accept the results of an election?

Currently there's a lot of discussion about Trump's vagueness when reporters ask him whether he would peacefully transfer his power to Joe Biden if he were to lose the election. Thus far Trump has not ...
3
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1answer
201 views

When was the last time the US electoral college chose a president other than the person recognized as winner at election time?

The Electoral College is elected on the first Tuesday after the first Monday in November (United States presidential election - Wikipedia). The President is then chosen by the Electoral College no ...
22
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5answers
5k views

Given a 4-4 tie, how would the Supreme Court determine results for a contested election?

Consider a hypothetical scenario in which there are eight Supreme Court justices at the time election results are being determined (ie, Ruth Bader Ginsburg’s seat has not been filled and there is no ...
5
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1answer
234 views

Can the House change how the contingent vote for President works?

If the electoral college is deadlocked, the House elects the president. However, each state gets 1 vote, so Massachusetts gets 1 vote despite being much smaller than Texas, for example. At present, ...
0
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1answer
168 views

Can sitting US president “issue an executive order” barring his opponent presidency?

During his speech on a campaign rally in North Carolina, Trump said, “You can’t have this guy as your president… You can’t have… maybe I’ll sign an executive order, you cannot have him as your ...
1
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2answers
208 views

How would election results end up in Supreme Court? [closed]

For the sake of argument, let's say that the election results are in, and Biden won the popular vote and the Electoral vote. Assuming that the new Supreme Court judge confirmed by the Senate will ...
9
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2answers
1k views

Will Trump's nominee list still be considered if he loses the elections? [duplicate]

Senator McConnell has already said that "President Trump’s nominee will receive a vote on the floor of the United States Senate." According to the NY Times regarding McConnell's statement: ...
7
votes
2answers
641 views
+300

Why are Democrats favoring unusually old presidential candidates lately?

The 2020 DNC primaries came down to Biden and Sanders, who would be taking office at 78 and 79. In 2016, it was down to Clinton and Sanders, at 69 and 75. Prior to that, the oldest president in the ...
2
votes
1answer
153 views

Longest negative popular vote bellwether US county streak?

I was thinking about negative bellwethers, which are things that generally pick the losing candidate. A positive popular vote bellwether could be New Mexico dating back to 1964. This means it always ...
24
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9answers
10k views

Why do attack ads focus so much on Joe Biden's mental state but not Donald Trump's?

Now the USA has a longstanding tradition of negative campaigning, so it is not surprising when the competence of a political opponent is questioned. What is surprising however, is that while Democrats ...
3
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0answers
91 views

Why are campaign budgets treated as important?

Plenty of research shows that campaign spending makes very little difference. See this article on FiveThirtyEight, for example. So why does so much news reporting, like this, focus on that topic as ...
8
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1answer
263 views

What would Alexander Lukashenko gain from a referendum on Belarus joining the Russian Federation?

In response to the protests regarding the Belarusian presidential election, Lukashenko in early September pondered the possibility of a referendum on Belarus joining the Russian Federation. Suppose ...
0
votes
1answer
80 views

Are incumbent cabinet secretaries allowed to run for POTUS under 1939 Hatch Act?

From my understanding of the law, the incumbent VP is exempt and as recently as 2000 has campaigned, but other federal employees cannot "be candidates in partisan elections". That statement, ...
-1
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2answers
75 views

Range of vote percentages in DC in 2012 and 2016 for president?

I want to know the range of two-party votes for the Republican presidential candidate that 95% of precincts fell in. The other 5% has slightly less or more. And, I would like to see a bar graph for ...
0
votes
1answer
123 views

What was attributed to Trump's narrower margin of victory in Texas compared to Romney?

Romney won Texas by 16 points in 2012. Trump won Texas by 9 points in 2016. Both candidates got more votes though Clinton got more of an increase. Did Clinton come closer to winning it because of ...
5
votes
2answers
221 views

Which party actually caused the 2016 presidential election swing?

In the USA, registered voters are Democrat, Republican, or Independent. In the 2016 presidential election, Trump won the traditionally Democratic Rust Belt states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and ...
0
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2answers
238 views

Which U.S. presidential candidate is helped most by the riots? [closed]

The U.S. has experienced many riots in several cities over the past several weeks and months. Which presidential candidate's electoral prospects are most assisted by these events? To clarify: I'm not ...
13
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2answers
4k views

Must a minimum time pass before the Vice-President replaces the elected President in the US?

Imagine, that elected president is aged/ill in time of elections, so he can hardly perform his duty. But he was nominated for presidency and now is elected. Must a minimum time pass before the US Vice ...
-2
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3answers
271 views

Why do all the red states on presidential election maps since 2004 (excluding Alaska) touch other red states?

Since the 2004 election, every state that gave the most votes to the Republican candidate was touching another state geographically that did the same. This is, of course excluding Alaska. And it is ...
19
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8answers
10k views

How do Republicans explain consistently losing the popular vote in presidential elections since 1992?

I was wondering about how the Republican Party has only won the popular vote once in three decades in a presidential election. If Biden wins the popular vote (he is expected to), then seven out of ...
0
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0answers
67 views

Hypothetical scenario where the U.S. president doesn't accept the result of the election [duplicate]

What would likely happen if the U.S. president loses re-election, and then refuses to accept the result?
6
votes
1answer
173 views

What does 'such other body as Congress may by law provide' in the 25th amendment actually mean?

Regardless of who wins the 2020 presidential election, the US will officially have the oldest person to ever begin a term as president. While advanced age does not mean an individual is unfit to ...
8
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4answers
251 views

Is opposition against Lukashenko equally strong outside of Belarus cities?

On the 9th of August 2020 the country of Belarus held presidential elections. Incumbent Alexander Lukashenko was re-elected to a sixth term in office, with official results crediting him with 80 ...
3
votes
1answer
66 views

What was the correlation between a US state's Hispanic population and two party vote share for Hillary Clinton?

I was thinking about what the correlation between two variables would be. Namely these are the percent Hispanic in a state and the percent non third party voting Democratic in the 2016 election. What ...
2
votes
1answer
68 views

Consequences of a late Non-Nomination of a US presidential candidate for ballots

Some aspects are covered already for the nominations themselves (e.g. What is the procedure for choosing a new Republican candidate for the US presidency if the nominee withdraws or is removed? and A ...
2
votes
1answer
106 views

According to Gallup was New Hampshire the only state more liberal than conservative to vote more Republican than the national average in 2016?

I have read that Clinton won NH by 0.4 pp while Clinton won the national popular vote by 2.1 percentage points. However, Gallup said that New Hampshire is more liberal than conservative. Is NH the ...
24
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2answers
4k views

In the 538 Election Forecast, what is the difference between States that are: “the closest races” and “close to the tipping point”?

In 538's Election Forecast, states are highlighted as either having "the closest races" or being "close to the tipping point". What is the difference between these two categories?
-2
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1answer
147 views

How did the neighborhood of Harlem vote in the 2016 presidential election?

I was thinking about the neighborhood of Harlem in New York City. I read that only 3 percent of the voters in this neighborhood are registered as Republicans and over 80% are registered as Democrats. ...
2
votes
1answer
129 views

Who actually has the authority to nominate electors for a presidential candidate?

I know the parties typically select electors on a state by state basis. However, who has the actual legal authority to select electors? For example, could the candidate over-rule their party if they ...
13
votes
5answers
999 views

What happens if not all ballots cast by mail arrive in time to be counted for the November elections?

I know this is a worst-case scenario, but the fact is that these three issues will happen concurrently during election season: Louis Dejoy, the new postmaster general and a major donor of Trump, has ...
56
votes
9answers
8k views

Why are American elections and politics receiving so much coverage in Canadian and European media?

I live in Canada, but I follow American politics to some degree, as do most of the people I know. However, I do it as a hobby and realize that American politics really don't have much of an effect on ...
2
votes
1answer
218 views

Are there previous examples of spoiler presidential candidates successfully influencing the result of a national election?

Reports have suggested that Kanye West's stated intention is to siphon votes from Joe Biden. Are there any historical precedents for similar campaigns from independent candidates to deliberately ...
48
votes
7answers
7k views

What would Russia have to gain from interfering with the US presidential election?

There were quite a few allegations that Russia interfered, or at least tried to interfere, with the 2016 US presidential election, and new allegations have started to appear that similar interference ...
6
votes
2answers
355 views

Is a presidential candidate required to pick a running mate?

If the Vice President dies or leaves office early, the President is not required to pick a new VP, making the Vice Presidency vacant. Does this mean that a presidential candidate does not have to ...
2
votes
1answer
255 views

Is it illegal to insert someone to the Presidency through Vice President?

What would happen if a general election candidate enters the race with no actual intention of acting as President but rather with the intention of winning the election then immediately resigning, ...
10
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3answers
466 views

Is there any precedent for a Presidential candidate to refuse to participate in the Presidential Debates?

A recently published op-ed in the NYT entitled Let’s Scrap the Presidential Debates argues against televised presidential debates and suggests that candidates should not participate in them. Is there ...
31
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3answers
7k views

Would a President get to fill a Supreme Court vacancy just after he lost an election in November/December?

Suppose an incumbent President loses an election in November and a supreme court vacancy were to emerge right after his loss but before the swearing-in of his successor. Would he be able to fill this ...
6
votes
1answer
153 views

The U.S. presidential candidate's choice of a running mate

In the United States, after all the long drawn out process of choosing the presidential nominee of a major party, is the selection of the vice presidential nominee the private decision of one person? ...
4
votes
2answers
176 views

What if the Electoral College ties and no candidate gets a majority in the House or Senate?

I was thinking about a scenario that looks like this: Clinton wins all states she won in real life, plus Michigan and Pennsylvania. She gets 1% more votes than she really did. McMullin wins Utah. ...
24
votes
3answers
6k views

Can Trump force Congress to delay the Nov. 3, 2020 general US elections?

This is related to today's news that Trump mentioned the idea of delaying the election in one of his tweets. I understand that the president cannot legally change the election date, but according to ...
2
votes
2answers
161 views

Since 1856, has there ever been a US presidential election where every state votes for the same party in 2 consecutive presidential elections?

I was thinking about presidential elections in the USA. Since the two major parties existed in any way shape or form, has every state voted the same in consecutive presidential elections? In other ...
6
votes
1answer
330 views

Did Bernie Sanders being an independent Senator hurt his presidential bid?

I am wondering about Bernie Sanders and the fact that he is technically not a Democrat. (Vermont doesn't register by party, so this is a complicated issue.) Let's go by his Senate affiliation. He is ...
2
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0answers
152 views

What explains this deviation in voting patterns?

The Washington Post did an article about how most mostly black neighborhoods voted more Republican in 2016 than they did in 2012. The white one is pretty interesting (it looks like a distorted X), but ...
-2
votes
2answers
200 views

After the start of COVID-19, what does Lichtman's keys model currently predict?

I am wondering about the Lichtman's keys model. I wonder what his model is saying now about the 2020 election. How many keys are in Trump's favor, and how many are against? Note to self: if the model ...
-1
votes
1answer
133 views

Would Lichtman's Keys model failing be unprecedented?

There is a man named Allan Lichtman. He created a forecasting model that predicts the Electoral College winner. It is based on a theory called pragmatic voting. This means that the voters judge ...

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