Questions tagged [presidential-election]

For questions regarding the process by which a person attains the role of president over a governing body or country.

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1answer
71 views

Can Trump stay in offices if he loses the election? [duplicate]

A Newsweek article: “How Trump Could Lose the Election– and Still Remain President.” Is it possible for Trump, if he loses the election, to claim election fraud and have the results thrown out so ...
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1answer
201 views

Is Dick Cheney still supporting Donald Trump for re-election in 2020, given his recent public support for wearing face masks?

Dick Cheney supported Donald Trump in 2016 (in the general election), and indications were that he was going to support Trump in 2020 as well. In August 2019, he appeared at a fundraiser for Trump's ...
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1answer
133 views

Assuming Trump wins only the states with Republican governors, what will be the outcome of the 2020 election?

Assuming Trump wins only the states with Republican governors, and the states that divide their electoral votes follow their 2016 patterns, what will be the outcome of the 2020 election?
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Did Hillary Clinton win the popular vote by 2.09 or 2.22 percentage points?

I read in two sources that the 2016 popular vote was Democratic by 2.09 percentage points (48.18% Clinton, 46.09% Trump). I also read it was by 2.22 percentage points (51.11% Clinton, 48.89% Trump). I ...
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1answer
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What are the reasons for the date of Election Day?

As far as I can tell, the date of Election Day in the US was set in 1845: the electors of President and Vice President shall be appointed in each State on the Tuesday next after the first Monday ...
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1answer
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“Reverse pivot” municipalities in New Jersey?

I am curious about reverse-pivot areas by municipality. A reverse pivot area is defined as an electoral jurisdiction that voted Republican in 2008 and 2012 but voted Democratic in 2016 for president. ...
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1answer
487 views

Was the Democratic vote less efficient in 2018 than in 2016?

In 2016, Donald Trump won the election despite losing the popular vote by about 3 million votes. This is because the Republican vote was distributed efficiently in the Electoral College. The map ...
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1answer
177 views

Do current polls indicate that Trump will (likely) lose the presidency? [closed]

Polling has historically been pretty accurate when looking at the national popular vote. Here are a few examples of polls being accurate (in chronological order): Obama's popular vote win was ...
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1answer
232 views

Is the coattail effect getting stronger?

I have heard that the coattails effect is where a candidate gets elected because the president is popular in the area they want to represent. I feel like it is getting stronger over time. Ticket ...
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2answers
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What is the difference between voting for presidential nominee vs. voting for delegates in Maryland?

On my ballot in Maryland for the presidential primary, there are separate questions to vote for the presidential nominee directly, and to vote for specific delegates to the convention. The delegates ...
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1answer
131 views

Reddest county in a blue-state 2016? [duplicate]

I was looking into rural counties in blue states that vote Republican. I found one that stuck out: Eureka County. Its citizens cast almost 85% of their votes for Donald Trump. Is this the reddest ...
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0answers
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Does a database of historic US Presidential election polling data exist?

I want to do some research concerning the historic accuracy of presidential election polling. Is there anywhere I can find a database containing historic polling data from multiple pollsters? ...
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2answers
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Congressional districts won by over 40 points by both parties in 2016

I am curious about congressional districts in the 2016 election, and I want to know which ones were won by Clinton or Trump by over 40 points. I am doing this to analyze the difference in margin of ...
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1answer
133 views

States with the most 3rd party votes?

I'm curious about which states in the 2016 US presidential election got the most third party votes. I want the top 5 states by percentage down to 1/10 of a percent that shows what the highest 3rd ...
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Have 100% of the states ever voted for the same party in the midterms than the next election?

Let me ask a question about whether this happened in history. Has there ever been a presidential election where 100% of states voted for the same party in the previous midterm? If so, when was it? And,...
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133 views

What percent of counties that voted Democratic in 2016 are minority majority?

I stumbled across an image at https://ibb.co/GF5zPc4 that shows minority majority or majority minority counties as brown and the ones that almost had minority majority status as yellow. It also shows ...
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Did Perot “spoil” some state results? [duplicate]

In 1992, Bill Clinton won some states many did not expect him to win and Democrats never won for president since, though Obama came close in 2008 to some including Montana. For example, Bill Clinton ...
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1answer
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Counties where Trump or Clinton got >85% of the vote?

I am curious about counties in America where either major candidate in 2016 (Clinton and Trump) got over 85% of the vote. I am interested in this because I want to find attributes that most or all of ...
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1answer
159 views

Has a candidate ever been nominated after losing their party's primary and then gone on to win the general election?

Tim Pool has theorized that Tara Reade's allegations against Joe Biden could be good news for the DNC; it provides an excuse for them to ditch Biden and run someone else in the general election. Has ...
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1answer
266 views

Precincts where Trump got <1% of the vote in 2016?

I read an article about Trump's historically bad performance in the capitol city of the US. I saw that there were at least two precincts where he did EXTREMELY badly. There were two precincts that I ...
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1answer
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Who would win the presidential elections in the US if electors are appointed by State legislatures along to party lines?

Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, people may not be able to safely vote in-person and the GOP is generally against expanding mail-in voting because they assert it would make it easier to commit election ...
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1answer
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How are US presidental debates controlled?

Debates tend to be held at most countries right before elections. However, these are mostly traditions, and not mandated by law. For example, Romania got some criticism for not having enough of these, ...
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2answers
435 views

Is it uncommon for USA presidential candidates to announce Cabinet picks before Election Day?

On Thursday, Marianna Sotomayor from NBC reported that Joe Biden was planning to potentially announce some of his Cabinet nominations before the November election: NEW: At his second virtual ...
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Who is responisble for physically removing a President from the White House if they refuse to leave? [duplicate]

In the United States of America, if the sitting President refuses to leave office after losing an election or getting impeached and convicted, who is responsible for physically removing them from the ...
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Who do the US political parties back if something happens to their nominated presidential candidate? [duplicate]

Currently Trump will presumably be running for president as the republican candidate, and at the time it looks likely that Biden will be the democratic candidate. Both are elderly and thus highly ...
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Would it be political suicide to suggest reducing Social Security payments to help fund economic stimulus packages? [closed]

I am wondering if it may be tempting for President Trump, or the Democrat presidential candidates, or members of Congress to suggest temporarily reducing Social Security payments in order to help free ...
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1answer
139 views

Why do states postpone their primary elections to after June 9th, 2020 even if it violates DNC rules?

The Democratic National Committee (DNC) mandates that states have to hold their primary elections before June 9th, 2020, according to Rule 12 of the Delegate Selection Rules. The Delegate Selection ...
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1answer
231 views

Can President Trump ban all remaining presidential primary elections in an effort to contain the Coronavirus outbreak? [duplicate]

I am wondering if President Trump has the constitutional authority to ban all remaining presidential primary elections in all the states in an effort to contain the Coronavirus outbreak?
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What happens to the chosen Vice President if a party's Presidential candidate for POTUS were to die before Election Day? [duplicate]

I would like to know if the person chosen to be Vice President automatically becomes the party's Presidential candidate for POTUS if the party's Presidential candidate were to die before Election Day. ...
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Why don't presidential candidates announce their running mates before achieving their party's nomination?

As far as I can tell, a candidate has only announced their running mate before achieving the nomination twice since the modern system of primaries came into use in the 1970s. These occasions were in ...
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1answer
207 views

What was the invitation of running for the Green Party in 2016 for Sanders?

In 2016 election, Bernie Sanders declined an invitation from US Green Party to run as a candidate representing the Green Party. Was that an invitation for the general election? Did that ...
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4answers
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Why are candidates expected to win their home state?

In coverage of primaries and elections I often hear it stated that candidates are expected to win their home states, or that it is embarrassing not to. I've seen this assertion here, such as in Has a ...
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Why are states easily won by Bernie Sanders in 2016 not supporting him in 2020?

In Oklahoma, for example, the results of the 2016 primary gave Sanders a 10% lead over Clinton, while in Minnesota, the gap was even larger at 23%. In his home state of Vermont, Sanders won by over 70%...
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Are there any rules or laws requiring the a party to hold primaries if they have an incumbent running for reelection?

It is generally assumed that Donald Trump will be the republican nominee for U.S. President in the November 2020 election. However, from my understanding, he still has to actually win the primary; he ...
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1answer
253 views

Why do only 14 states participate in Super Tuesday?

Super Tuesday will be on March 3, 2020. Alabama, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Democrats Abroad, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, and ...
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Why can't anybody that shares the president's name claim to have been elected?

Let's say I change my name to Donald Trump and declare my intent to run for President. If Trump is re-elected, why do I not have just as much as a claim to the presidency as him? The ballot doesn't ...
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What benefit is there to pulling out of the presidential race before Super Tuesday?

In the last couple of days, in the wake of the South Carolina primary, first Pete Buttigieg & now Amy Klobuchar have "suspended" their campaigns. This has come notably just before Super Tuesday, ...
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1answer
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What is status of California signature verification on absentee ballots for the March 3, 2020 Primary?

According to this article, California election law permits state officials to throw away absentee ballots if they deem that the signature on the ballot does not match the signature on the voter ...
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How would next U.S. President be determined if there was a national emergency that significantly disrupted voting in many states?

This sort of builds up on this and this previous question. Both of them ask about if the President can block the transfer of their office to a successor. In response to the current Coronavirus ...
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Why do primaries contestants (usually) announce that they are “suspending” their campaign when they exit it?

It seems to be just another political euphemism, in line with politicians not being terribly willing to admit when they are wrong, but is there anything more than that to their use of "suspend" when ...
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Why did Bloomberg not run as a Republican?

Bloomberg ran as a Republican for mayor of New York City. His declared goal is to throw Trump out of office. If this is his primary goal wouldn't it have been better to try to run against him in the ...
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What has been the response in the US to threats of foreign interference in the 2020 presidential election?

Claims of potential foreign interference into the 2020 presidential election have been made as far back as October 2018, when the Director of National Intelligence (DNI) warned of interference from ...
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1answer
262 views

What happens if no candidate reaches the viability threshold in a primary?

As I understand it, most state primaries have a viability threshold of a certain percentage of the popular vote - 15% in most states - below which the candidate receives no delegates. This would seem ...
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How many superdelegates have endorsed voting for the plurality delegate winner to be the nominee?

On Wednesday’s Democratic Presidential Debate in Nevada, candidates were asked if they think that whoever gets a plurality of the pledged delegates should ultimately become the Democratic nominee, ...
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What happens in a brokered convention? Why is the prospect of one seen as a threat to Sanders' presidential hopes?

With six (technically eight including Tulsi Gabbard & Tom Steyer) candidates currently still in the field for the Democratic presidential candidate nomination, it seems increasingly likely that no ...
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4answers
547 views

Can a US President realistically pardon enough people to sway an election?

Slightly inspired by this question, is there a limitation on the number of pardons a president could offer, such that it could sway the outcome of the next election? Take for example, Florida, ...
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How can Michael Bloomberg become the Democratic nominee for President when he has not appeared on any primary ballot so far?

I just saw an advertisement on TV: "Bloomberg for president!", but I am not seeing him in any of the primary results. How can he have any realistic chance of being the Democratic nominee if he's ...
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1answer
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Voter Analysis on the type of democratic candidate of 2020 US Election

I was watching Fox News(click here for the video and go to around 4:27) and the female anchor was quoting a voter analysis as below- It’s very important to pick the candidate who can beat Donald ...
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Why is the minimum age to be U.S. president still fairly high at 35?

According to Presidential eligibility conditions, a President can serve if they are at least 35 years old: be a natural-born U.S. citizen of the United States; be at least 35 years old; be ...
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To what extent is Iowa a bellwether for the Democratic presidential candidates?

The 2020 Iowa Democratic caucuses are taking place today (February 3rd 2020), and are the first test of the candidates at the ballot box in the presidential primary season. By examining results from ...

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