Skip to main content

Questions tagged [presidential-election]

For questions regarding the process by which a person attains the role of president over a governing body or country.

25 questions with no upvoted or accepted answers
Filter by
Sorted by
Tagged with
7 votes
0 answers
129 views

Is there any modeling on who would be the Condorcet winner in the French Presidential election?

The French Presidential elections use FPTP with a run off round, so directly determining the Condorcet winner is obviously impossible. But I wonder if pollsters have done any modeling to determine the ...
JonathanReez's user avatar
  • 50.9k
4 votes
0 answers
187 views

Who were Cathy Brown and Sabrina Allen (independent candidates in 2000 US presidential election)?

Select 2000 from results and then click more Brown and Allen got 1,606 votes. They had ballot access in a single state - Tennessee. For context, the Prohibition party got 208 - a fringe but well-known ...
Ne Mo's user avatar
  • 1,673
4 votes
0 answers
63 views

Are there any studies/ data sources into whether Republicans or Democrats suffer the most under the presence of 3rd parties?

I am looking to explore the impact of 3rd parties on mainstream political parties in the United States. Not necessarily at the federal level but at state level too, and across any branch of the ...
Hamish Gibson's user avatar
4 votes
0 answers
101 views

Why are campaign budgets treated as important?

Plenty of research shows that campaign spending makes very little difference. See this article on FiveThirtyEight, for example. So why does so much news reporting, like this, focus on that topic as ...
Joshua Fox's user avatar
  • 1,089
4 votes
1 answer
222 views

Is the National Front's presidential election chances dependent on which party opposes it in the run-off?

In the 2002 French presidential election, Jacques Chirac from the centre-right Rally for the Republic won with a large margin against Jean-Marie Le Pen of the National Front. I have a suspicion that ...
Golden Cuy's user avatar
  • 13.5k
3 votes
0 answers
114 views

What would happen if a US presidential candidate used campaign cash for government purposes?

Trump raises over $20 million in February with nearly $42 million in cash on hand, far behind Biden and Democrats US presidential candidates regularly spend millions of dollars every election to win ...
Allure's user avatar
  • 35.7k
3 votes
0 answers
53 views

How did California voters by age group vote in the 1984 U.S. Presidential Election?

Is there information on how voters of different age groups in California voted in the 1984 election? For example, what percent of the 18-24 vote in California went to either Reagan or Mondale? Or ...
Catmix's user avatar
  • 195
3 votes
0 answers
83 views

How can I access exit polls by state for the 1984 U.S. Presidential Election?

Even though the 1984 presidential election was a landslide, and there's a national exit poll available, I want to see if there were any differences in exit polls by state. For example, an exit poll ...
Catmix's user avatar
  • 195
3 votes
0 answers
69 views

Will there be any televised first-round presidential debates in France during the "equal airtime" period that starts on 28 March 2022?

The rule in France in 2022 is that the media must treat verified candidates for the presidency "equitably" until 28 March, and from then on it must treat them "equally". So before ...
user avatar
3 votes
0 answers
93 views

Is Berlusconi being used as a scarecrow to make other presidential candidates more acceptable in Italy?

If you type in a search engine "Berlusconi presidential candidate" or "Draghi presidential candidate" you will find a lot of references to the upcoming presidential elections in ...
FluidCode's user avatar
  • 8,587
3 votes
0 answers
458 views

Why are pre-election polls even less accurate on 2020 Presidential election comparing to 2016?

Whatever the final outcome of 2020 presidential election would be, it seems that pre-election polls were wrong about Trump — twice in a row and twice as much (circa 8pp) comparing to 2016 forecasts (...
Be Brave Be Like Ukraine's user avatar
3 votes
0 answers
149 views

Can the imprisoned Egypt presidential candidate Ahmed Konsowa be on the ballot? What is the law applying to him?

I found a tweet by POMED (Project on Middle East Democracy) that shares an image whose title is: Dropping like flies: Sisi's purge of potential candidates in Egypt's presidential "election":...
fedorqui's user avatar
  • 1,806
3 votes
0 answers
177 views

Is there a tendency for presidents to come from outside of "big politics" in recent years?

According to this article which is based on this Wikipedia article Donald Trump has never been elected to public office (a big disqualifier in American politics), never been appointed to a ...
Alexei's user avatar
  • 53.4k
3 votes
0 answers
210 views

Statistics on vote by mail in the US presidential elections

I am looking for statistics regarding vote by mail. I am primarily interested in the recent US presidential election of 2016, and I know not all results are in yet, but I am also looking for the same ...
Joël's user avatar
  • 1,210
2 votes
0 answers
92 views

What projections are there, if any, of the final margin of the election?

At this point, Biden is the president-elect, with every major network including Fox having called the election in his favor, and with a probable end result of 306 electoral votes to 232 for Trump. ...
Obie 2.0's user avatar
  • 15.9k
2 votes
0 answers
60 views

Does a database of historic US Presidential election polling data exist?

I want to do some research concerning the historic accuracy of presidential election polling. Is there anywhere I can find a database containing historic polling data from multiple pollsters? ...
Andrew Thomas's user avatar
2 votes
0 answers
82 views

How many superdelegates have endorsed voting for the plurality delegate winner to be the nominee?

On Wednesday’s Democratic Presidential Debate in Nevada, candidates were asked if they think that whoever gets a plurality of the pledged delegates should ultimately become the Democratic nominee, ...
Keshav Srinivasan's user avatar
2 votes
0 answers
159 views

To what extent is Iowa a bellwether for the Democratic presidential candidates?

The 2020 Iowa Democratic caucuses are taking place today (February 3rd 2020), and are the first test of the candidates at the ballot box in the presidential primary season. By examining results from ...
CDJB's user avatar
  • 108k
2 votes
0 answers
51 views

What are presidential candidate Iván Duque's main points about the peace deal signed with FARC in Colombia?

Last May 27, there was the first round of the Colombian presidential election 2018. The two politicians that made it to the final round are Iván Duque, rightwinger, and Gustavo Petro, a former ...
fedorqui's user avatar
  • 1,806
2 votes
0 answers
120 views

Self-vote and anti-self-electors

In a presidential or similar elections, it's a habit, if one is a candidate, to get to the polling place, and vote, usually in the storm of camera flashes, from propaganda reasons, so self-voting is ...
mykhal's user avatar
  • 121
2 votes
0 answers
58 views

Do voters usually follow the advise regarding the choice in the second round of elections given by a candidate who lost in the first round?

According to this article, Francois Fillon advised his voters to vote for Emmanuel Macron in the second round of 2017 French Presidential elections. I have seen this way of telling the voters what ...
Alexei's user avatar
  • 53.4k
2 votes
0 answers
329 views

Are Democrats alleging that Russia tampered with the vote tallies?

In Belief in conspiracies largely depends on political identity, it's reported that many democrats reported positively to a question about whether Russia tampered with the vote tallies for the 2016 ...
Golden Cuy's user avatar
  • 13.5k
1 vote
0 answers
87 views

Joe Biden's Student Debt Plan and Public Service

Joe Biden says he will cancel up to $10,000 dollars of student debt for those who are in public service. Most media outlets are defining public service as "schools, gov't jobs, and non-profits.&...
Jonathan L.'s user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
170 views

Panel data on US presidents electoral legitimacy

This Gallup poll from November 2016 asked the question: " Now that Donald Trump has been declared the winner and will be inaugurated in January, will you accept him as the legitimate president, ...
Martin Van der Linden's user avatar
-2 votes
1 answer
260 views

Who would be legally responsible for any possible US presidential election hack?

There are claims that Russian hackers tried altering the US presidential election data، Most of these claims, as far as I know, that has no verifiable evidence. If this happened, who (person or ...
user15051's user avatar