Questions tagged [presidential-election]

For questions regarding the process by which a person attains the role of president over a governing body or country.

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4
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1answer
290 views

Historically how often has the losing candidate decided not to come out on election night to make a statement?

Hillary Clinton appears to have lost the 2016 Presidential election and already before the results have been announced, Hillary Clinton's campaign has announced that she will not be coming out to make ...
2
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1answer
222 views

Is it illegal to insert someone to the Presidency through Vice President?

What would happen if a general election candidate enters the race with no actual intention of acting as President but rather with the intention of winning the election then immediately resigning, ...
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Is there any precedent for a Presidential candidate to refuse to participate in the Presidential Debates?

A recently published op-ed in the NYT entitled Let’s Scrap the Presidential Debates argues against televised presidential debates and suggests that candidates should not participate in them. Is there ...
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2answers
191 views

After the start of COVID-19, what does Lichtman's keys model currently predict?

I am wondering about the Lichtman's keys model. I wonder what his model is saying now about the 2020 election. How many keys are in Trump's favor, and how many are against? Note to self: if the model ...
2
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2answers
154 views

Which congressional districts were won by over 40 points by either party in the 2016 presidential election?

I am curious about congressional districts in the 2016 election, and I want to know which ones were won by Clinton or Trump by over 40 points. I am doing this to analyze the difference in margin of ...
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3answers
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Would a President get to fill a Supreme Court vacancy just after he lost an election in November/December?

Suppose an incumbent President loses an election in November and a supreme court vacancy were to emerge right after his loss but before the swearing-in of his successor. Would he be able to fill this ...
5
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1answer
211 views

Which states returned the most third party votes in the 2016 presidential election?

I'm curious about which states in the 2016 US presidential election got the most third party votes. I want the top 5 states by percentage down to 1/10 of a percent that shows what the highest 3rd ...
24
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3answers
6k views

Can Trump force Congress to delay the Nov. 3, 2020 general US elections?

This is related to today's news that Trump mentioned the idea of delaying the election in one of his tweets. I understand that the president cannot legally change the election date, but according to ...
2
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2answers
156 views

Since 1856, has there ever been a US presidential election where every state votes for the same party in 2 consecutive presidential elections?

I was thinking about presidential elections in the USA. Since the two major parties existed in any way shape or form, has every state voted the same in consecutive presidential elections? In other ...
6
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1answer
148 views

The U.S. presidential candidate's choice of a running mate

In the United States, after all the long drawn out process of choosing the presidential nominee of a major party, is the selection of the vice presidential nominee the private decision of one person? ...
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2answers
159 views

What if the Electoral College ties and no candidate gets a majority in the House or Senate?

I was thinking about a scenario that looks like this: Clinton wins all states she won in real life, plus Michigan and Pennsylvania. She gets 1% more votes than she really did. McMullin wins Utah. ...
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1answer
310 views

Did Bernie Sanders being an independent Senator hurt his presidential bid?

I am wondering about Bernie Sanders and the fact that he is technically not a Democrat. (Vermont doesn't register by party, so this is a complicated issue.) Let's go by his Senate affiliation. He is ...
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5answers
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What makes California a Democratic state?

So, back in the 60s & 70s, California gave us Richard Nixon. In the 80s, President Reagan hailed from the state. At least as late as 1984, California was considered a safe Republican state. ...
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7answers
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Why do countries have term limits on Presidents and Prime Ministers?

In many country, the elected leader can only run for 2 mandats (terms) in a row. I'm curious of the reason behind that. Any ideas?
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0answers
148 views

What explains this deviation in voting patterns?

The Washington Post did an article about how most mostly black neighborhoods voted more Republican in 2016 than they did in 2012. The white one is pretty interesting (it looks like a distorted X), but ...
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1answer
128 views

Would Lichtman's Keys model failing be unprecedented?

There is a man named Allan Lichtman. He created a forecasting model that predicts the Electoral College winner. It is based on a theory called pragmatic voting. This means that the voters judge ...
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1answer
245 views

Did anyone run IRV models/simulations on 2016 US election?

With all the conversations about theoretical voting models; and all the conversations about actual 2016 elections, I got to wondering: Did anyone do any work (make a realistic polling model, run a ...
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5answers
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Why is it that an American in Timbuktu can vote for president but an American in San Juan cannot?

I was surprised to learn that Puerto Ricans, despite living in a US territory, were not entitled to vote in the presidential elections. I was even more surprised to learn that US citizens are allowed ...
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1answer
204 views

Can President Trump force a coalition if he loses the election? [closed]

When Trump was facing impeachment there were threats from some of his supporters that they would plunge the country into a civil war. Supposing the election is close, what if he refuses to leave the ...
8
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1answer
653 views

In the US presidential election, how would the ballots look like if there were 10,000 candidates?

I have the impression that any John Doe or Jane Doe can run for president in the US, provided they are natural-born citizens, at least 35 years old and residents for at least 14 years. Right? I don't ...
8
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1answer
264 views

US presidents that weren't on every states' ballots

Has there ever been a US president who was not on the ballots of every single state, for the election that they won? I'm having a hard time finding historical ballot information to check myself, and ...
3
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1answer
224 views

Has there ever been a presidential election where every state voted the same way as in the midterms?

Has there ever been a presidential election where every state voted for the same party as in the House elections in the previous midterm? If so, when was it? And, if there has never been as of writing,...
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1answer
156 views

Do “America we need” articles describe a position of Democracy party? [closed]

Some times ago, NYTimes started a series of articles called "America we need", with such well-known authors as Samuel Scheffler, for example, or Tim Wu2. This is an enough big series of ...
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1answer
172 views

How did Black Americans vote in presidential elections prior to 1936?

While researching data for another answer of mine, I came across Factcheck.org’s breakdown of the Black presidential vote from 1936. Unfortunately, this data only goes back until the first re-election ...
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1answer
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What effect does the recent SCOTUS decision on faithless electors have on the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact?

What effect, if any, does the recent SCOTUS decision on faithless electors have on the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact? This compact requires the electors from the states signed into the ...
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1answer
571 views

Does National Popular Vote Interstate Compact make allowances for states to leave after joining?

My understanding of the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact is that, once 270 electoral votes worth of states pass the law, all of the joining states will appoint electors pledged to casting ...
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2answers
229 views

What are “Faithless Electors” in the US Electoral College?

Regarding the Supreme Court's decision to curb ‘Faithless Electors’, I began researching how exactly the Electoral College works. Then I read this NY Times article on how the Electoral College works, ...
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1answer
225 views

Can Trump stay in offices if he loses the election? [duplicate]

A Newsweek article: “How Trump Could Lose the Election– and Still Remain President.” Is it possible for Trump, if he loses the election, to claim election fraud and have the results thrown out so ...
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1answer
220 views

Is Dick Cheney still supporting Donald Trump for re-election in 2020, given his recent public support for wearing face masks?

Dick Cheney supported Donald Trump in 2016 (in the general election), and indications were that he was going to support Trump in 2020 as well. In August 2019, he appeared at a fundraiser for Trump's ...
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2answers
3k views

Did Hillary Clinton win the popular vote by 2.09 or 2.22 percentage points?

I read in two sources that the 2016 popular vote was Democratic by 2.09 percentage points (48.18% Clinton, 46.09% Trump). I also read it was by 2.22 percentage points (51.11% Clinton, 48.89% Trump). I ...
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1answer
156 views

Assuming Trump wins only the states with Republican governors, what will be the outcome of the 2020 election?

Assuming Trump wins only the states with Republican governors, and the states that divide their electoral votes follow their 2016 patterns, what will be the outcome of the 2020 election?
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1answer
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What are the reasons for the date of Election Day?

As far as I can tell, the date of Election Day in the US was set in 1845: the electors of President and Vice President shall be appointed in each State on the Tuesday next after the first Monday ...
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1answer
100 views

“Reverse pivot” municipalities in New Jersey?

I am curious about reverse-pivot areas by municipality. A reverse pivot area is defined as an electoral jurisdiction that voted Republican in 2008 and 2012 but voted Democratic in 2016 for president. ...
6
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1answer
503 views

Was the Democratic vote less efficient in 2018 than in 2016?

In 2016, Donald Trump won the election despite losing the popular vote by about 3 million votes. This is because the Republican vote was distributed efficiently in the Electoral College. The map ...
2
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1answer
240 views

Is the coattail effect getting stronger?

I have heard that the coattails effect is where a candidate gets elected because the president is popular in the area they want to represent. I feel like it is getting stronger over time. Ticket ...
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2answers
86 views

What is the difference between voting for presidential nominee vs. voting for delegates in Maryland?

On my ballot in Maryland for the presidential primary, there are separate questions to vote for the presidential nominee directly, and to vote for specific delegates to the convention. The delegates ...
28
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2answers
2k views

Why did the Tunceli province, in the center of Turkey, vote so much against Erdoğan in the presidential elections?

I was checking the official results of the Turkish presidential election, 2018 in the section Seçim 2018 of the news agency AA. In there, we see how Erdogan managed to win in almost all the regions: ...
2
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1answer
134 views

Reddest county in a blue-state 2016? [duplicate]

I was looking into rural counties in blue states that vote Republican. I found one that stuck out: Eureka County. Its citizens cast almost 85% of their votes for Donald Trump. Is this the reddest ...
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0answers
45 views

Does a database of historic US Presidential election polling data exist?

I want to do some research concerning the historic accuracy of presidential election polling. Is there anywhere I can find a database containing historic polling data from multiple pollsters? ...
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2answers
135 views

What percent of counties that voted Democratic in 2016 are minority majority?

I stumbled across an image at https://ibb.co/GF5zPc4 that shows minority majority or majority minority counties as brown and the ones that almost had minority majority status as yellow. It also shows ...
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2answers
823 views

Isn't the Electoral Vote made so unqualified or “Charismatic Tyrants” can not become president?

"The Founding Fathers wanted the people to have a say, there was concern that a charismatic tyrant could manipulate public opinion and come into power. Alexander Hamilton briefly addressed these ...
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0answers
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Did Perot “spoil” some state results? [duplicate]

In 1992, Bill Clinton won some states many did not expect him to win and Democrats never won for president since, though Obama came close in 2008 to some including Montana. For example, Bill Clinton ...
9
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1answer
272 views

Precincts where Trump got <1% of the vote in 2016?

I read an article about Trump's historically bad performance in the capitol city of the US. I saw that there were at least two precincts where he did EXTREMELY badly. There were two precincts that I ...
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1answer
2k views

Counties where Trump or Clinton got >85% of the vote?

I am curious about counties in America where either major candidate in 2016 (Clinton and Trump) got over 85% of the vote. I am interested in this because I want to find attributes that most or all of ...
3
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1answer
164 views

Has a candidate ever been nominated after losing their party's primary and then gone on to win the general election?

Tim Pool has theorized that Tara Reade's allegations against Joe Biden could be good news for the DNC; it provides an excuse for them to ditch Biden and run someone else in the general election. Has ...
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1answer
1k views

Who would win the presidential elections in the US if electors are appointed by State legislatures along to party lines?

Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, people may not be able to safely vote in-person and the GOP is generally against expanding mail-in voting because they assert it would make it easier to commit election ...
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5answers
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Why did people still chant “Lock her up” at Trump rallies in 2019?

When elected, Trump made a big point that his opponent should be investigated and "locked up" over the email controversy. Almost immediately after winning the election, he made tacitly clear he was ...
5
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1answer
77 views

How are US presidental debates controlled?

Debates tend to be held at most countries right before elections. However, these are mostly traditions, and not mandated by law. For example, Romania got some criticism for not having enough of these, ...
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2answers
477 views

Is it uncommon for USA presidential candidates to announce Cabinet picks before Election Day?

On Thursday, Marianna Sotomayor from NBC reported that Joe Biden was planning to potentially announce some of his Cabinet nominations before the November election: NEW: At his second virtual ...
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6answers
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Why are politicians more interested in Russian/WikiLeaks interference with US elections than they are in foreign governments that openly take sides?

Democratic politicians such as Maxine Waters, Ted Lieu, and neo-cons such as Lindsey Graham and John McCain are publicly pushing for investigations for alleged Russian interventions in the US ...

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