Questions tagged [presidential-election]

For questions regarding the process by which a person attains the role of president over a governing body or country.

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4
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0answers
199 views

Estimates of the number who were incorrectly purged from Florida's list of eligible voters in 2000

In 2000, many voters were incorrectly removed from Florida's list of eligible voters. (Notoriously, if you happened to have a name that was similar to a convicted felon's, there was a good chance you'...
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0answers
118 views

Self-vote and anti-self-electors

In a presidential or similar elections, it's a habit, if one is a candidate, to get to the polling place, and vote, usually in the storm of camera flashes, from propaganda reasons, so self-voting is ...
3
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2answers
385 views

Can faulty election results unseat a sitting US President? [duplicate]

Though there are significant real-world scenarios to consider, let's keep this question hypothetical. The situation: a US presidential election is held, votes are tallied, a winner is announced, the ...
2
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1answer
107 views

Explaining discrepancy between ANES data and actual results for 2012 US presidential election

I am looking at the ANES 2012 Time Series Study. The three variables that (I believe) tell us about who survey respondents voted for are: prevote_presvtwho: Pre-election survey (early voters). ...
3
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1answer
292 views

How many billionaires have run for the office of the US president thus far?

How many billionaires ran for the office of the US president thus far? Was there any other guy other than Trump and Ross Perot?
3
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1answer
199 views

Can a US Presidential election ever be held earlier in a President's term?

Are there circumstances in United States where a presidential election and subsequent inauguration can be held before the end of the president's term?
25
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15answers
7k views

What electoral mechanisms might prevent the rise of a demagogue?

I realize that this may be one of the intentions of the US Electoral College system. Its most obvious role is to prevent a candidate of purely local appeal from winning nationally, but another de-...
19
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2answers
19k views

What happens if President Trump has been found to be colluding with Russia?

What happens if it is proven that President Trump has been colluding with Russia during his campaign? Does he go to trial or get impeached? Or does nothing happen?
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3answers
3k views

During the Obama administration, did the US interfere with foreign elections?

The Obama administration described Russia as interfering with the 2016 presidential election. As far as I can tell, the complaint isn't merely limited to a phishing scam against Podesta, but a ...
5
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3answers
1k views

If United States annexed part of another country, would someone born in that place be eligible to run for president?

For example, if President Trump invaded and claimed Sudbury, Ontario over a dairy dispute, could Alex Trebek run for President in the next election?
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3answers
4k views

How did Le Pen do better in the second round than in the first?

Although Le Pen lost the election, she got a higher proportion in the second round than in the first round: 33% versus 21%. Given that all the other parties were either neutral or supported Macron, ...
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4answers
2k views

Why was the voter turnout so low in the second round of French elections?

According to French election: Turnout sharply down in Le Pen-Macron battle, voter turnout in the second round of French presidential election was the lowest since 1981: The participation rate ...
3
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0answers
167 views

Is there a tendency for presidents to come from outside of “big politics” in recent years?

According to this article which is based on this Wikipedia article Donald Trump has never been elected to public office (a big disqualifier in American politics), never been appointed to a ...
7
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1answer
349 views

Has any countries used an Elected Presidency scheme in which candidates may be restricted to a particular racial group?

Singapore will be having its Presidential Election later this year. Recently, there have been constitutional amendments to change the Elected Presidency scheme to a "Reserved Election" ...
2
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1answer
135 views

Whom are people voting for in US primaries?

I quite don't understand whom are people voting for in the primaries. Do they vote for candidates themselves or for delegates? If I understand it correctly, people vote for candidate and the winner of ...
1
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4answers
509 views

Did Trump use social media successfully to gain votes?

Quoting How did Trump win? Here are 24 theories He won because of Facebook and its inability or unwillingness to crack down on fake news Via New York Magazine: The social network and others ...
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0answers
106 views

U.S. president-elect impeachment trial before taking office? [duplicate]

Can a U.S. president-elect be impeached or have an impeachment trial begin before taking office?
3
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1answer
102 views

What is the exact process for counting my presidential election ballot?

I'd like to know exactly to they process presidential election ballots? From the time I submit to the time it's in the database. I'd like to know the exact process, whether or not they are scanned ...
6
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1answer
380 views

Who is this young person beside Trump at his victory speech?

The Secret Service agent on Trump's left (our right) looks very young. Who is this person?
8
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3answers
416 views

Why are there state and local issues on a ballot on U.S. presidential election day?

Why are there state and local issues on a ballot when Americans go to vote for their next president? For example, Hawaii has this measure regarding jury trials in civil cases on the ballot for ...
2
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0answers
57 views

Do voters usually follow the advise regarding the choice in the second round of elections given by a candidate who lost in the first round?

According to this article, Francois Fillon advised his voters to vote for Emmanuel Macron in the second round of 2017 French Presidential elections. I have seen this way of telling the voters what ...
5
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2answers
693 views

Why do US Presidential candidates not issue formal written manifestos? [duplicate]

Why is it that US Presidential candidates do not issue formal written manifestos of their intentions if elected - as British political parties are required by custom to do? Manifestos are important ...
5
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1answer
294 views

Michigan Results- Provisional Ballots

As of writing this, Trump won Michigan by just about 13,000 votes. Is it known how many provisional ballots there are in Michigan that might tip the state to Hillary?
12
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1answer
438 views

Why won't the two main French far-left parties unite and present a single candidate?

Lutte ouvrière (LO) and Nouveau Parti Anticapitaliste (NPA) are both French far-left communist parties and they are both represented by a candidate during the French 2017 presidential elections, why ...
20
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2answers
1k views

Have pollsters examined the possibility of a “shy Tory factor” in the 2016 presidential election?

Most of the polling for the 2016 US presidential election have been favourable to Hillary Clinton. One of the biggest questions I have right now is whether the polling is accurate. In particular, ...
3
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1answer
119 views

Where can I find US election results by county from before 1920?

While researching US election data, I found out there is not data for US presidential elections down to county level for elections before 1920. Is this data hard to find or it does not exist?
3
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1answer
2k views

Statistical impact of Russian Hack in US election 2016

What do Silver (538) and Gelman models tell us about the impact on vote share of the Russian hacking of Democrats and the FBI intervention in the US election? If we took the prediction at the time and ...
23
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2answers
3k views

What would happen if vote tallies were discovered to be changed?

On Monday, the directors of the FBI and National Security Agency testified before the House Intelligence Committee. During the hearing, the House Intelligence Chairman asked Mike Rogers if votes ...
0
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3answers
124 views

preliminary steps for running for president [closed]

I'm asking this question on 3/10/2017, and it is mainly geared towards democrats, but applies to any party. I realize there is no one size fits all answer to this, as candidates are all different; ...
8
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1answer
1k views

Could a Party Choose Not to Nominate an Incumbent?

For example, if the Republican party wanted to hold a new primary in 2020 and pick someone other than Trump, is there any specific reason they could or could not do so?
3
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1answer
115 views

How did individual Democratic Super-delegates vote at the roll call convention?

How did individual super-delegates wind up voting at the nomination convention? Note: I don't think this question is trivial. It's fairly easy to find who they publicly endorsed, but not every ...
5
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3answers
1k views

Why has Trump completed erased Clinton's lead in Ohio?

Recently, after Clinton's debate bounce, she has overtaken or increased her lead in various swing states, such as Florida, Nevada and North Carolina. However, it seems like Trump continues to lead in ...
7
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2answers
623 views

What if the Presidency is to be decided by the US House, but the House refuses?

If the electoral college fails to select a majority candidate for President, the US House decides who becomes President, voting by state blocks. But what if the House simply... doesn't? If the Senate ...
9
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2answers
2k views

What are the advantages of the French two-round voting system against a one round alternative?

In regards to the French Presidential election of 2017, what are the advantages of the French two-round voting system against a one round alternative? If two-round is better than one round, what ...
4
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1answer
359 views

What are the rules for reporting vote counts on election night by the news media?

High school was a long time ago for me but I seem to remember my history/government teacher saying the news media wasn't allowed to report vote counts in presidential elections since reporting the ...
8
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1answer
200 views

Ballpark estimate of how much was spent on legal fees to oppose the Green Party recount?

There's been some cost-conscious press regarding the Green Party's "Recount2016" campaign, in which $7.4 million was raised -- but not much press about how much was spent by political parties, PACs, ...
9
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2answers
510 views

Who can, in the US, challenge the registration of a voter?

According to this article, many (predominantly black) voters were purged of the right to vote after mail delivered to their adress bounced, with the NAACP suing against this : The lawsuit charges ...
5
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2answers
2k views

If the US Presidential Election was based on popular votes, what strategies would be most effective to win? [closed]

There's been a lot of debate lately about popular vote vs. electoral college. One of the major arguments in favor of the electoral college is that it prevents a candidate from simply pandering to, and ...
1
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1answer
221 views

FiveThirtyEight: Polls Only vs Now Cast

Here are the latest forecast probabilities on FiveThirtyEight. FiveThirtyEight Clinton Trump --------------- ------- ----- Polls Only 51.0 49.0 Now Cast 56.8 ...
6
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1answer
3k views

How many terms can a former vice-president president serve?

If a president were to be unable to serve, with the vice-president becoming president, how many terms would they be able to run/serve for? Say the president is unable to serve 2 years into their ...
-4
votes
1answer
227 views

Have performers been threatened for performing at inaugurations before?

There are reports that a famous singer and opera star Andrea Bocelli have pulled out of performing at Trump's inauguration specifically due to security threats against him (the pullout was not because ...
12
votes
1answer
561 views

What is the maximum count of faithless electors Clinton can possibly get in 2016?

At the time of writing, it looks like Clinton will end up with 232 pledged electoral votes, and Trump with 306. So 37 electors would have to flip just for a tie. My understanding is that some states ...
8
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1answer
877 views

Why is the Clinton Global Initiative being closed?

I noticed this article recently, which seems to tie the closure of the Clinton Global Initiative to Hillary Clinton's loss in the election. However, the closure was actually announced back in ...
8
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3answers
1k views

Have members of congress ever previously boycotted a U.S. president-elect's inauguration?

As of today, there's about 40-50 Democratic members of congress who are boycotting President-elect Trump's inauguration later this week. This number seems to change depending on the new source, and ...
5
votes
1answer
860 views

The “butterfly ballot” of 2000, does Florida have different presidential ballots for each county?

The infamous "butterfly ballot" of the 2000 election confused voters in Palm Beach county who punched the second button, thinking it was for Al Gore, sending their votes to Pat Buchanan instead. My ...
-3
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2answers
328 views

Get rid of national debt from excess campaign funds

Say there was a law that limited how much a presidential candidate could spend during the election process per month all/most of the campaign money isn't used (According to this article there isn't ...
4
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3answers
526 views

What info in the hacked DNC/Clinton emails was likely to sway the US general election?

Leaving aside the controversy of who/how, one thing that puzzles me about people discussing the hacked e-mails provided to Wikileaks is "why would that matter as far as general elections at all"? ...
0
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1answer
193 views

What explains the big “D” shift in Utah in the last 4 years?

The following map kinda makes sense from the "why" perspective in most places, but one area that kind of threw me off as hard to explain was Utah experiencing major shift towards Democrats, in nearly ...
2
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2answers
166 views

French Presidential Election 2017: When will the PS announce its candidate + independants

It seems that, thus far, the five main parties that will take part in the french presidential elections are: PS, LR, FN, EM, FI (see source). The PS seems to be the only party that have still not put ...
-2
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1answer
202 views

Where are the missing 16 delegates in the US presidential election? [closed]

Question 1. The total number of delegates for the US presidential election is 538, so that the majority is at 270. Now, Trump got 290 delegates while Clinton has 232: this is a total of 522. Where are ...

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