Questions tagged [presidential-election]
For questions regarding the process by which a person attains the role of president over a governing body or country.
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Which U.S. presidential candidate is helped most by the riots? [closed]
The U.S. has experienced many riots in several cities over the past several weeks and months. Which presidential candidate's electoral prospects are most assisted by these events?
To clarify: I'm not ...
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Must a minimum time pass before the Vice-President replaces the elected President in the US?
Imagine, that elected president is aged/ill in time of elections, so he can hardly perform his duty. But he was nominated for presidency and now is elected.
Must a minimum time pass before the US Vice ...
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Why do all the red states on presidential election maps since 2004 (excluding Alaska) touch other red states?
Since the 2004 election, every state that gave the most votes to the Republican candidate was touching another state geographically that did the same. This is, of course excluding Alaska. And it is ...
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What does 'such other body as Congress may by law provide' in the 25th amendment actually mean?
Regardless of who wins the 2020 presidential election, the US will officially have the oldest person to ever begin a term as president. While advanced age does not mean an individual is unfit to ...
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Consequences of a late Non-Nomination of a US presidential candidate for ballots
Some aspects are covered already for the nominations themselves (e.g. What is the procedure for choosing a new Republican candidate for the US presidency if the nominee withdraws or is removed? and A ...
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What was the correlation between a US state's Hispanic population and two party vote share for Hillary Clinton?
I was thinking about what the correlation between two variables would be. Namely these are the percent Hispanic in a state and the percent non third party voting Democratic in the 2016 election. What ...
CDJB♦
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According to Gallup was New Hampshire the only state more liberal than conservative to vote more Republican than the national average in 2016?
I have read that Clinton won NH by 0.4 pp while Clinton won the national popular vote by 2.1 percentage points. However, Gallup said that New Hampshire is more liberal than conservative. Is NH the ...
CDJB♦
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What happens if not all ballots cast by mail arrive in time to be counted for the November elections?
I know this is a worst-case scenario, but the fact is that these three issues will happen concurrently during election season:
Louis Dejoy, the new postmaster general and a major donor of Trump, has ...
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Who actually has the authority to nominate electors for a presidential candidate?
I know the parties typically select electors on a state by state basis. However, who has the actual legal authority to select electors?
For example, could the candidate over-rule their party if they ...
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How did the neighborhood of Harlem vote in the 2016 presidential election?
I was thinking about the neighborhood of Harlem in New York City. I read that only 3 percent of the voters in this neighborhood are registered as Republicans and over 80% are registered as Democrats. ...
CDJB♦
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What would Russia have to gain from interfering with the US presidential election?
There were quite a few allegations that Russia interfered, or at least tried to interfere, with the 2016 US presidential election, and new allegations have started to appear that similar interference ...
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Are there previous examples of spoiler presidential candidates successfully influencing the result of a national election?
Reports have suggested that Kanye West's stated intention is to siphon votes from Joe Biden.
Are there any historical precedents for similar campaigns from independent candidates to deliberately ...
CDJB♦
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Is a presidential candidate required to pick a running mate?
If the Vice President dies or leaves office early, the President is not required to pick a new VP, making the Vice Presidency vacant. Does this mean that a presidential candidate does not have to ...
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Historically how often has the losing candidate decided not to come out on election night to make a statement?
Hillary Clinton appears to have lost the 2016 Presidential election and already before the results have been announced, Hillary Clinton's campaign has announced that she will not be coming out to make ...
CDJB♦
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Is it illegal to insert someone to the Presidency through Vice President?
What would happen if a general election candidate enters the race with no actual intention of acting as President but rather with the intention of winning the election then immediately resigning, ...
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After the start of COVID-19, what does Lichtman's keys model currently predict?
I am wondering about the Lichtman's keys model. I wonder what his model is saying now about the 2020 election. How many keys are in Trump's favor, and how many are against?
Note to self: if the model ...
CDJB♦
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Which congressional districts were won by over 40 points by either party in the 2016 presidential election?
I am curious about congressional districts in the 2016 election, and I want to know which ones were won by Clinton or Trump by over 40 points. I am doing this to analyze the difference in margin of ...
CDJB♦
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Would a President get to fill a Supreme Court vacancy just after he lost an election in November/December?
Suppose an incumbent President loses an election in November and a supreme court vacancy were to emerge right after his loss but before the swearing-in of his successor. Would he be able to fill this ...
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Can Trump force Congress to delay the Nov. 3, 2020 general US elections?
This is related to today's news that Trump mentioned the idea of delaying the election in one of his tweets.
I understand that the president cannot legally change the election date, but according to ...
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The U.S. presidential candidate's choice of a running mate
In the United States, after all the long drawn out process of choosing the presidential nominee of a major party, is the selection of the vice presidential nominee the private decision of one person? ...
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Did Bernie Sanders being an independent Senator hurt his presidential bid?
I am wondering about Bernie Sanders and the fact that he is technically not a Democrat. (Vermont doesn't register by party, so this is a complicated issue.) Let's go by his Senate affiliation. He is ...
CDJB♦
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What makes California a Democratic state?
So, back in the 60s & 70s, California gave us Richard Nixon. In the 80s, President Reagan hailed from the state. At least as late as 1984, California was considered a safe Republican state. ...
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Would Lichtman's Keys model failing be unprecedented?
There is a man named Allan Lichtman. He created a forecasting model that predicts the Electoral College winner. It is based on a theory called pragmatic voting. This means that the voters judge ...
CDJB♦
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Did anyone run IRV models/simulations on 2016 US election?
With all the conversations about theoretical voting models; and all the conversations about actual 2016 elections, I got to wondering:
Did anyone do any work (make a realistic polling model, run a ...
CDJB♦
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Why is it that an American in Timbuktu can vote for president but an American in San Juan cannot?
I was surprised to learn that Puerto Ricans, despite living in a US territory, were not entitled to vote in the presidential elections.
I was even more surprised to learn that US citizens are allowed ...
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In the US presidential election, how would the ballots look like if there were 10,000 candidates?
I have the impression that any John Doe or Jane Doe can run for president in the US, provided they are natural-born citizens, at least 35 years old and residents for at least 14 years. Right? I don't ...
CDJB♦
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US presidents that weren't on every states' ballots
Has there ever been a US president who was not on the ballots of every single state, for the election that they won?
I'm having a hard time finding historical ballot information to check myself, and ...
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Do "America we need" articles describe a position of Democracy party? [closed]
Some times ago, NYTimes started a series of articles called "America we need", with such well-known authors as Samuel Scheffler, for example, or Tim Wu2. This is an enough big series of ...
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How did Black Americans vote in presidential elections prior to 1936?
While researching data for another answer of mine, I came across Factcheck.org’s breakdown of the Black presidential vote from 1936. Unfortunately, this data only goes back until the first re-election ...
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What are "Faithless Electors" in the US Electoral College?
Regarding the Supreme Court's decision to curb ‘Faithless Electors’, I began researching how exactly the Electoral College works.
Then I read this NY Times article on how the Electoral College works, ...
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Can Trump stay in offices if he loses the election? [duplicate]
A Newsweek article: “How Trump Could Lose the Election– and Still Remain President.” Is it possible for Trump, if he loses the election, to claim election fraud and have the results thrown out so ...
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Is Dick Cheney still supporting Donald Trump for re-election in 2020, given his recent public support for wearing face masks?
Dick Cheney supported Donald Trump in 2016 (in the general election), and indications were that he was going to support Trump in 2020 as well. In August 2019, he appeared at a fundraiser for Trump's ...
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Did Hillary Clinton win the popular vote by 2.09 or 2.22 percentage points?
I read in two sources that the 2016 popular vote was Democratic by 2.09 percentage points (48.18% Clinton, 46.09% Trump). I also read it was by 2.22 percentage points (51.11% Clinton, 48.89% Trump). I ...
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What are the reasons for the date of Election Day?
As far as I can tell, the date of Election Day in the US was set in 1845:
the electors of President and Vice President shall be appointed in
each State on the Tuesday next after the first Monday ...
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Was the Democratic vote less efficient in 2018 than in 2016?
In 2016, Donald Trump won the election despite losing the popular vote by about 3 million votes. This is because the Republican vote was distributed efficiently in the Electoral College.
The map ...
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What is the difference between voting for presidential nominee vs. voting for delegates in Maryland?
On my ballot in Maryland for the presidential primary, there are separate questions to vote for the presidential nominee directly, and to vote for specific delegates to the convention. The delegates ...
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Why did the Tunceli province, in the center of Turkey, vote so much against Erdoğan in the presidential elections?
I was checking the official results of the Turkish presidential election, 2018 in the section Seçim 2018 of the news agency AA. In there, we see how Erdogan managed to win in almost all the regions:
...
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Reddest county in a blue-state 2016? [duplicate]
I was looking into rural counties in blue states that vote Republican. I found one that stuck out: Eureka County. Its citizens cast almost 85% of their votes for Donald Trump. Is this the reddest ...
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Does a database of historic US Presidential election polling data exist?
I want to do some research concerning the historic accuracy of presidential election polling. Is there anywhere I can find a database containing historic polling data from multiple pollsters? ...
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What percent of counties that voted Democratic in 2016 are minority majority?
I stumbled across an image at https://ibb.co/GF5zPc4 that shows minority majority or majority minority counties as brown and the ones that almost had minority majority status as yellow. It also shows ...
CDJB♦
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Isn't the Electoral Vote made so unqualified or "Charismatic Tyrants" can not become president?
"The Founding Fathers wanted the people to have a say, there was concern
that a charismatic tyrant could manipulate public opinion and come
into power. Alexander Hamilton briefly addressed these ...
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Did Perot "spoil" some state results? [duplicate]
In 1992, Bill Clinton won some states many did not expect him to win and Democrats never won for president since, though Obama came close in 2008 to some including Montana. For example, Bill Clinton ...
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Precincts where Trump got <1% of the vote in 2016?
I read an article about Trump's historically bad performance in the capitol city of the US. I saw that there were at least two precincts where he did EXTREMELY badly. There were two precincts that I ...
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Counties where Trump or Clinton got >85% of the vote?
I am curious about counties in America where either major candidate in 2016 (Clinton and Trump) got over 85% of the vote. I am interested in this because I want to find attributes that most or all of ...
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Has a candidate ever been nominated after losing their party's primary and then gone on to win the general election?
Tim Pool has theorized that Tara Reade's allegations against Joe Biden could be good news for the DNC; it provides an excuse for them to ditch Biden and run someone else in the general election. Has ...
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Who would win the presidential elections in the US if electors are appointed by State legislatures along to party lines?
Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, people may not be able to safely vote in-person and the GOP is generally against expanding mail-in voting because they assert it would make it easier to commit election ...
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Why did people still chant "Lock her up" at Trump rallies in 2019?
When elected, Trump made a big point that his opponent should be investigated and "locked up" over the email controversy. Almost immediately after winning the election, he made tacitly clear he was ...
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How are US presidental debates controlled?
Debates tend to be held at most countries right before elections. However, these are mostly traditions, and not mandated by law. For example, Romania got some criticism for not having enough of these, ...
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Is it uncommon for USA presidential candidates to announce Cabinet picks before Election Day?
On Thursday, Marianna Sotomayor from NBC reported that Joe Biden was planning to potentially announce some of his Cabinet nominations before the November election:
NEW: At his second virtual ...
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Why are politicians more interested in Russian/WikiLeaks interference with US elections than they are in foreign governments that openly take sides?
Democratic politicians such as Maxine Waters, Ted Lieu, and neo-cons such as Lindsey Graham and John McCain are publicly pushing for investigations for alleged Russian interventions in the US ...
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