Questions tagged [presidential-election]

For questions regarding the process by which a person attains the role of president over a governing body or country.

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8
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1answer
2k views

How much predictive power do those tiny towns in New Hampshire who declare at midnight have for US Presidential elections?

For those who don't know, a tiny town in New Hampshire declares its result early for some historical quirky reason which I don't quite understand: https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8908359/Joe-...
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2answers
580 views

What would Trump supporters gain by blocking access to polling places?

This news article says Donald Trump’s supporters have been out in force on America’s highways as this year’s election race enters its home straight, blocking roads, bridges and freeways in New York, ...
10
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2answers
2k views

How many people voted early (absentee, by mail) in the 2016 US presidential election?

Washington Post says Millions of Americans have also wanted to be heard. In a year when the act of voting felt more precarious than ever, more than 94 million had voted in the 2020 election by Monday,...
7
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1answer
198 views

Where did the Clinton presidential campaign overemphasise and neglect in 2016?

I’ve heard claims that the Clinton campaign neglected either the Midwest or the “Rust Belt” in 2016, allowing Trump to win the presidential race even though Clinton won the plurality of votes. ...
7
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4answers
422 views

Why are Colorado and New Mexico “bluer” than surrounding states?

The (American) "western interior" states (the drier, more rural, less populated ones between the west coast and the center of the country (North and South Dakota, Kansas, Nebraska, Oklahoma, ...
7
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1answer
735 views

What is the earliest time we might be reasonably sure who won the US 2020 Presidential election? [closed]

With all the absentee votes and the different rules in different states (and counties!), I find it hard to say at which time we can expect the result of which state. If Trump wins the election it will ...
19
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9answers
5k views

Do Presidential Campaigns often visit non-competitive states in the days right before the election?

According to the FiveThirtyEight polling averages, the most competitive states Trump needs to push him over 270 electoral votes are: Florida - where Biden leads by +2 Arizona - Biden +3 Pennsylvania -...
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3answers
118 views

Why don't the states in the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact apportion their electoral votes by congressional district?

If the goal is to get the electoral college to better reflect the popular vote, the simple solution is to avoid the winner-take-all system and apportion votes by congressional district based on the ...
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4answers
1k views

Can the federal government of the United States influence when ballot totals are announced?

Would it be legal for the federal government of the United States to introduce a law, with words to the effect of: "No results of any congressional, senatorial, or presidential election may be ...
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0answers
75 views

Social Media & the US Presidential Election [closed]

In what ways will social media impact the election for president, and will it help Biden or Trump more? I have been doing some research on it and in the last election, and in the following Wikipedia ...
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5answers
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Did Hillary Clinton actually lose because supporters thought she would win in a landslide?

I have seen numerous people say that Clinton lost because the polls convinced many of her supporters to not bother voting since she was guaranteed to win anyways. The argument is that in many ...
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6answers
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Is it still theoretically possible for Kanye West to become the US president in 2021?

Famous rapper Kanye West is running for US president, but... West has qualified for ballot access in 12 states. Kanye West 2020 presidential campaign It appears theoretically impossible for him to ...
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0answers
77 views

Joe Biden's Student Debt Plan and Public Service

Joe Biden says he will cancel up to $10,000 dollars of student debt for those who are in public service. Most media outlets are defining public service as "schools, gov't jobs, and non-profits.&...
11
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1answer
759 views

What are the rules regarding the presence of political supporter groups at polling stations?

Here is an example of Trump supporters' presence at a polling station, and the article mentions: Election officials said that the group stayed about 100 feet from the entrance to the building and, ...
2
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4answers
613 views

Was Trump such an underdog 4 years ago according to polls?

I keep reading that almost every single poll known to man shows that Biden is leading Trump. The only exceptions are polls from a few Republican states (like Kansas) where Trump easily won in 2016 but ...
2
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1answer
327 views

How are the 2020 US presidential campaigns now like “a land war in Asia”?

Politico's Bloomberg knocks Trump back on his heels in Florida includes: “It’s forced the Trump campaign to retrench in Florida. You can see it in the spending habits, in television and digital. They’...
15
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1answer
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What if there is no Presidential winner on Jan 20?

In the year 2000, the state of Florida was in the process of various recounts when Bush v Gore put an end to the process on Dec 12, 2000, which allowed George W. Bush to become the 43th President ...
1
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1answer
296 views

Is it legal for the US private company to provide services depending on political party?

Read about US company "Fortitude Ranch", specializing on providing secure vaults, who would open it's "survival camps" at the election day. Can such company theoretically provide ...
14
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1answer
850 views

Are there any official statistics on average rejected/missing/lost ballots by mail?

Some time ago, Washington Post presented an article about flaws of mail voting. Another article tells about "tens of thousands" such ballots. And that caused me to ask this question: Is ...
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0answers
161 views

Why did Trump interrupt Biden incessantly in the Presidential Debate? [closed]

This was extremely unusual to watch. The Fox anchor and debate moderator Chris Wallace had to tell the President to let his opponent speak. Quote from the debate: CHRIS WALLACE: The country would be ...
4
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1answer
195 views

Has any US state legislature ever disregarded the outcome of a presidential election in that state to appoint all electors of a losing party?

Article 2 of the constitution has a clause saying: Each State shall appoint, in such Manner as the Legislature thereof may direct, a Number of Electors, equal to the whole Number of Senators and ...
1
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1answer
102 views

If topics “have not been released ahead of the debate” do the candidates have any information?

The most recent US vice-presidential debate had a rule saying that debate topics would not be released "ahead of the debate". Obviously, they know that certain topics are more likely to come ...
1
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0answers
128 views

Are there any violations of mail voting in the US during ongoing elections? [closed]

Some of Republicans arguments against mail voting is, that it would be "INACCURATE": With Universal Mail-In Voting (not Absentee Voting, which is good), 2020 will be the most INACCURATE &...
2
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1answer
211 views

Is the US unique in a voted-out president staying in power so long? [duplicate]

In the US system, it is approximately 6 weeks between the presidential election and the actual handing over of power to the winner. It seems surprising that executive power is retained so long by a ...
59
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5answers
7k views

What is the point in yard signs in presidential elections?

I just don't see that there is any possible benefit, in the case of presidential elections anyway. I don't think there are many, if any, registered voters who haven't heard of Donald Trump or Joe ...
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1answer
1k views

How do electoral college votes work with Indian reservations?

As far as I know, citizens from Indian reservations can vote for president, but every-time we see discussions about Presidential elections, votes are assigned by the electoral college per state. How ...
13
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1answer
1k views

Has Trump's campaign in 2020 made any statement about further building a wall at the Mexican border?

"Build the Wall" was one of the rallying cries of the 2016 Trump presidential campaign. After various fights in Congress, the Trump team could claim at the beginning of 2020 that Pres. ...
2
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1answer
415 views

Biden recently vehemently rejected support from some far-right or racist personality; who was that and what was the rejection?

I've read in the last week or so that some far rightist or open racist personality denounced Trump's service to America and gave public support to Biden instead. Biden or his campaign immediately ...
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3answers
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In the event of a Presidential candidate's death after the printing of ballots, would the Electors of certain states be able to vote at all?

In several states, Electors can be disqualified for refusing to vote for the candidate who received the most votes. One such example is Arizona (the first one alphabetically with such a requirement), ...
6
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1answer
756 views

If a state's popular vote is tied, who gets the Electoral votes?

Most states use a winner-takes-all approach for Electoral votes. What if a state's popular vote is tied? For example, Florida in 2000 was extremely close. Bush received 2,912,790 votes and Gore ...
1
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1answer
250 views

What happens if Trump dies from COVID before the election? [duplicate]

As the title says. Now that Trump has tested positive, if he takes a turn for the worst and actually dies of COVID before the election, what happens to the Republican ticket and the election? Will/Can ...
122
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6answers
17k views

Why don't Presidential debates disable the candidates' microphones while it's not their turn to speak?

I was watching the Biden/Trump Presidential debate and it was quite difficult to follow due to candidates speaking out of turn and constantly interrupting each other. Why don't these debates simply ...
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2answers
172 views

How shall I understand the US election poll results conducted on Twitter, which are contradictory to the others not conducted on Twitter?

On a popular US poll twitter account, I found an interesting phenomenon. (Similar thing also has been happening on other US poll twitter accounts.) Most of the polls it has (re)tweeted are favoring ...
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3answers
328 views

Will social conservative voters still “need” Trump if his Court appointment succeeds?

I see a lot of commentary to the effect that for many conservative U.S. voters, a major reason they supported Trump was because they foresaw, correctly, that his term would see the appointment of ...
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3answers
328 views

What happens if presidential elections were not fair (in some states)?

Assume in some US state, the elections in November will not meet minimum standards of free and fair elections, e.g. a vast amount of votes is lost (in the mail), or extreme riots, or due to Corona, ...
16
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1answer
992 views

Has a sitting US president ever expressed anything less than a full willingness to accept the results of an election?

Currently there's a lot of discussion about Trump's vagueness when reporters ask him whether he would peacefully transfer his power to Joe Biden if he were to lose the election. Thus far Trump has not ...
4
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1answer
578 views

When was the last time the US electoral college chose a president other than the person recognized as winner at election time?

The Electoral College is elected on the first Tuesday after the first Monday in November (United States presidential election - Wikipedia). The President is then chosen by the Electoral College no ...
23
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5answers
5k views

Given a 4-4 tie, how would the Supreme Court determine results for a contested election?

Consider a hypothetical scenario in which there are eight Supreme Court justices at the time election results are being determined (ie, Ruth Bader Ginsburg’s seat has not been filled and there is no ...
5
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1answer
275 views

Can the House change how the contingent vote for President works?

If the electoral college is deadlocked, the House elects the president. However, each state gets 1 vote, so Massachusetts gets 1 vote despite being much smaller than Texas, for example. At present, ...
0
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1answer
224 views

Can sitting US president “issue an executive order” barring his opponent presidency?

During his speech on a campaign rally in North Carolina, Trump said, “You can’t have this guy as your president… You can’t have… maybe I’ll sign an executive order, you cannot have him as your ...
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2answers
253 views

How would election results end up in Supreme Court? [closed]

For the sake of argument, let's say that the election results are in, and Biden won the popular vote and the Electoral vote. Assuming that the new Supreme Court judge confirmed by the Senate will ...
9
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2answers
1k views

Will Trump's nominee list still be considered if he loses the elections? [duplicate]

Senator McConnell has already said that "President Trump’s nominee will receive a vote on the floor of the United States Senate." According to the NY Times regarding McConnell's statement: ...
11
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3answers
1k views

Why are Democrats favoring unusually old presidential candidates lately?

The 2020 DNC primaries came down to Biden and Sanders, who would be taking office at 78 and 79. In 2016, it was down to Clinton and Sanders, at 69 and 75. Prior to that, the oldest president in the ...
2
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1answer
270 views

Longest negative popular vote bellwether US county streak?

I was thinking about negative bellwethers, which are things that generally pick the losing candidate. A positive popular vote bellwether could be New Mexico dating back to 1964. This means it always ...
24
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9answers
10k views

Why do attack ads focus so much on Joe Biden's mental state but not Donald Trump's?

Now the USA has a longstanding tradition of negative campaigning, so it is not surprising when the competence of a political opponent is questioned. What is surprising however, is that while Democrats ...
3
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0answers
96 views

Why are campaign budgets treated as important?

Plenty of research shows that campaign spending makes very little difference. See this article on FiveThirtyEight, for example. So why does so much news reporting, like this, focus on that topic as ...
8
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1answer
328 views

What would Alexander Lukashenko gain from a referendum on Belarus joining the Russian Federation?

In response to the protests regarding the Belarusian presidential election, Lukashenko in early September pondered the possibility of a referendum on Belarus joining the Russian Federation. Suppose ...
0
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1answer
83 views

Are incumbent cabinet secretaries allowed to run for POTUS under 1939 Hatch Act?

From my understanding of the law, the incumbent VP is exempt and as recently as 2000 has campaigned, but other federal employees cannot "be candidates in partisan elections". That statement, ...
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2answers
78 views

Range of vote percentages in DC in 2012 and 2016 for president?

I want to know the range of two-party votes for the Republican presidential candidate that 95% of precincts fell in. The other 5% has slightly less or more. And, I would like to see a bar graph for ...
0
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1answer
131 views

What was attributed to Trump's narrower margin of victory in Texas compared to Romney?

Romney won Texas by 16 points in 2012. Trump won Texas by 9 points in 2016. Both candidates got more votes though Clinton got more of an increase. Did Clinton come closer to winning it because of ...

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