Questions tagged [presidential-election]

For questions regarding the process by which a person attains the role of president over a governing body or country.

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3
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0answers
56 views

If VP becomes POTUS, how often can he be elected as president afterwards [duplicate]

In the USA one can only be president for two legislative periods. Also, when a president is removed from office or dies, the vice president becomes president. Does this count as the VP's first term or ...
2
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1answer
260 views

What do we know of Evangelical voting for Trump in 2020?

I believe he had nearly 80% support in the past from Evangelicals. However, there have been calls for repudiation. Jerry Falwell, a big supporter, also resigned in scandal. Have these, and the events ...
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5answers
8k views

Is it unusual for foreign leaders to congratulate US presidential candidates before their opponents have conceded?

This quote from the Voice of America suggests that it is not usual: Some Trump supporters expressed frustration with foreign leaders. “These early calls by foreign leaders congratulating Biden are ...
4
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1answer
213 views

When the US president is declared after winning enough states for 270 electoral votes, have they definitely won? [duplicate]

Watching the counting of the recent presidential election on the US, there was a point where Joe Biden had 238 electoral votes and was leading in enough states to get to 270. If he had gotten to 270, ...
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2answers
168 views

When are the election results official?

Every single newspaper is saying that “Joe Biden is elected the 46th president of the United States”, but Trump will fight this any way he can. My question: when are the results official with no ...
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5answers
9k views

Why don't Democrat or Republican partisans register and vote in swing states?

Since swing states are often the deciding factor in US presidential elections, why don't Democrat or Republican partisans register and vote in swing states? Or perhaps they are already doing so and it'...
3
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2answers
637 views

Why did South Texas shift towards the Republicans?

The results of the 2020 US election are coming into focus, and, broadly speaking, there remains a large gap between how racial/linguistic groups vote. The Republicans ran a distinctly racist white-...
2
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2answers
341 views

Could Trump maintain power by combination of executive orders and supreme court decisions?

Since Trump is still president until January, and he has already packed the supreme court, would it be possible for him to be president eternally by extending his power through executive orders, and ...
25
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3answers
5k views

What new data caused Biden to be declared winner by the news?

At around 07.11.2020, 16:30 UTC (one and half hours ago), it seems like many news outlets in the US decided to call the 2020 presidential election for Biden, which prompted celebration, ...
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3answers
287 views

Why may one be “faithless” if “winner-takes-all” is already applicable?

From Wikipedia article on United States Electoral College, All jurisdictions use a winner-take-all method to choose their electors, with the exceptions of Maine and Nebraska, which use a one-elector-...
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4answers
240 views

Can a third-party candidate “donate” their votes to another candidate?

Is there any provision in US constitution which allows one candidate, say Jo Jorgensen, to “donate” their votes in a given state to another candidate?
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0answers
35 views

Why are votes counted so quickly on election day, then slow down afterwards? [duplicate]

In following the ongoing US election, I notice that most states seem to count votes much faster on day 1. For example on election night, Pennsylvannia counted ~80% of its total votes, but it's been ...
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1answer
108 views

Observation of ballot counting - appropriate vs actual

According to this Guardian article about the counting of the 2020 US presidential elections in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania: The Trump campaign’s strategy on Thursday was built around a claim that its ...
0
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1answer
116 views

Is it uncommon for a party to win presidency, but lose house seats?

In the United States' 2020 Presidential election, it appears as if Joe Biden and the Democrats have won the presidency, however as of writing this, have lost 5 seats in the house, and will likely lose ...
3
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2answers
264 views

Why did Google/AP call Arizona for Democrats when at 90% reporting Ds only have a 1.3% lead, still shrinking? [duplicate]

It would appear that Google has been showing Arizona for Democrats since several days ago, and continues to do so even now when at 90% reporting there's only a 1.2% lead between D and R -- meaning ...
4
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5answers
204 views

Why aren't the US presidential election results posted only once the winner has been decided?

The slowness of the vote counting during the 2020 US presidential elections seems to fair a few amount of turmoil, especially given the vote-by-mail voter distribution. Why aren't the US presidential ...
4
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1answer
235 views

Why are Democrats more likely to vote by mail than Republicans?

What reason explains why Democrats are more likely to mail in their ballots?
2
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1answer
237 views

Why is Nevada so slow to count the vote?

I've been watching the results come in at the Wall Street Journal, and I've noticed Nevada is unbelievably slow at counting. By my estimate, only 11% was counted in the last 24 hours. What's up with ...
2
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1answer
149 views

Correlation between presidential & senate 2020?

I am curious about the correlation between Senate and President. I have found that Susan Collins winning by a relatively large margin appears to be an outlier. The senate races seem closer to the ...
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3answers
190 views

How exactly might Trump's contesting the election results determine the transition of the presidency? [closed]

The fact that Trump is going to contest the election results raises the following possibilities: Trump fails to persuade the court that there were significant number of violations in the counting ...
6
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2answers
914 views

In 2020, did Biden win the fewest counties of any winning US presidential candidate?

Hillary Clinton won 487 counties despite winning the popular vote in 2016. But she lost the Electoral College so that doesn't matter. Did Joe Biden win the fewest counties out of any winning ...
3
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2answers
245 views

Do any other countries have a similar system as the United States of America's electoral college?

In the United States, the Presidential election is determined by individual popular votes of each State, and the candidate needs at least 270 of these electoral votes to be declared the winner (for ...
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0answers
42 views

Who breaks the tie in the Senate election of Vice President [duplicate]

In the event of an electoral college tie, the vice president is elected by the newly elected Senate. What if the Senate splits the vote 50/50? Normally the vice president would break a tie in the ...
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8answers
5k views

What are the fundamental reasons for indirect presidential vote in the US?

I am French and therefore have understandably a hard time understanding the cultural aspects of indirect voting in the United States. I read the history of this approach and some of the main technical ...
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2answers
2k views

Why is there such a large difference between the US population and electorate?

At the time of writing this question, a total of 143.1 million votes have been counted in the 2020 US Presidential election (73 488 248 democratic, and 69 622 407 republican). Most estimates have put ...
9
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2answers
202 views

Does my vote even matter? [duplicate]

If I'm voting republican in a state such as California, does it even matter? I decided not to vote since CA is overwhelmingly blue and I thought my vote would be pointless
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1answer
270 views

What if Biden dies now? [duplicate]

The results of the election are not confirmed yet. But what if Biden dies and he wins before results declared? Does the Democratic Party have to nominate a new president? Would that mean that Trump ...
8
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4answers
2k views

Why is a “landslide win” for Biden considered impossible in the 2020 election? [closed]

Biden is currently 4 million votes ahead of Trump (73,716,018 vs. 69,645,113), with postal and absentee votes currently being tallied which generally favor Biden, and Pennsylvania and Georgia seem to ...
11
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4answers
980 views

Why has Alaska not been called with a 30% lead?

On Google, which appears to use data from AP, all of the West Coast states -- California, Oregon, Washington -- immediately went from grey (no results) to dark-blue (called-for the blue party), right ...
2
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1answer
180 views

Smallest MOV in Georgia history for president?

The election for president is very close in Georgia. What was the smallest margin of victory in both percentage points and raw votes for a presidential election in the US state of Georgia?
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2answers
263 views

Why were the US mail-in ballots implemented the way they were, with such a late mailing deadline?

Mail-in ballots are a good idea, especially in COVID times, but the current implementation in the US seems so obviously wrong. Specifically, allowing ballots to be mailed on the final day guarantees ...
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3answers
217 views

Uncounted ballots after someone reaches 270 electoral votes. What happens? [duplicate]

In this time of "all votes count", what happens to uncounted ballots if one person gets 270 electoral votes? So do all votes really count? Isn't the race over at that point?
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0answers
353 views

Why are pre-election polls even less accurate on 2020 Presidential election comparing to 2016? [closed]

Whatever the final outcome of 2020 presidential election would be, it seems that pre-election polls were wrong about Trump — twice in a row and twice as much (circa 8pp) comparing to 2016 forecasts (...
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3answers
305 views

Where do all the US votes go?

I would like to know where all the US votes go during the 2020 general election? I am a data analyst by training and I would like to perform my own analysis on these data. News searches right now are ...
3
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1answer
131 views

Has a party ever picked up congressional seats in the general election and lost the presidential election in the USA?

Has it ever happened before that a major party in the USA has increased its number of seats and still went on to lose the presidency, or has losing the presidency always come with fewer House/Senate ...
6
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1answer
183 views

In case of an electoral college tie, can a regular House vote prevent the “en bloc” House vote from happening?

Should neither candidate for president get to 270 votes in the electoral college, the twelfth amendment to the constitution specifies that the House of Representatives "shall choose immediately&...
5
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2answers
296 views

On which basis could votes by mail be stopped being counted?

We do not have vote by mail in France since 1975 and I do not have a clear understanding of how it works in the US - but from what I read the time validity of such a vote is decided upon the post ...
41
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5answers
8k views

Trump was behind on November 5th. Why was he calling for vote counting to stop?

This CNN article, and others, reported that Trump asked for vote counting to stop, and threatening legal action to do so. I can (sort of) understand calls for a recount, but, if he was behind, what ...
14
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3answers
409 views

Why does it take much longer to count the last few percentages of votes in some states?

Looking at Google -> US elections, I see that in many US states the percentage of reporting is >95%. This leads me to think that the last few percentages of votes in some states take much longer ...
14
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2answers
13k views

Has The Associated Press ever been wrong when calling a state in a US Presidential Election?

The Associated Press announces the winner of states in US presidential elections – has it ever announced a winner early and been wrong?
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2answers
485 views

How did the US end up so evenly split?

When looking at the popular vote for 2016, about 49% to 51%, and the current numbers for 2020, it's astonishing how close it is — how evenly the country is divided. Surely this is unexpected and ...
15
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1answer
1k views

What would be required for the US presidential election to be moved from Tuesday to Saturday?

The US presidential elections are currently held on Tuesday what would be required from a process and procedure point of view to have the election moved to Saturday? For this question assume the ...
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0answers
209 views

What is the best data source for 2020 US presidential election?

I am looking for a publicly available source on the internet that will allow me to programmatically access election data for the 2020 US Presidential race. Ideally, a JSON or CSV format that contains ...
13
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2answers
749 views

Why does the Biden campaign have a $32 donation tier?

Going onto the Joe Biden website, it's currently asking for donations for his presidential election campaign and potential legal action. Some of the options seem to be quite random though: For those ...
13
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1answer
16k views

Has a recount ever changed the winner of a state during a presidential election?

The Trump campaign stated that they'll ask for a recount in Wisconsin (and it wouldn't surprise me when either of the candidates will ask for one in other states). I'm wondering how often a recount ...
1
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1answer
98 views

What is the US national average of write in votes in Presidential elections?

While on the Virginia Department of Elections unofficial results page, as of approximately 1:15 pm on Wednesday, November 4th, I see that Biden(D) has 53.67%, Trump(R) 44.47%, and Jorgensen(L) 1.46%. ...
5
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1answer
340 views

How do they settle cases in which a systemic problem ruins votes?

I am seeing reports of ballots in some states being ruined because the polling place used sharpies instead of the pens they were supposed to. In Atlanta, a heavily Democrat polling place had a ...
2
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1answer
461 views

What were the longest and shortest times to “call” a United States presidential election?

In the period from the end of World War 2 onwards until 2016, what were the longest and shortest times that, based upon the unofficial results, people took to "call" the result of a United ...
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3answers
3k views

How can election winners of states be confirmed, although the remaining uncounted votes are more than the difference in votes?

For the US presidential elections, the Associated Press announced winners for several states although a significant portion of the votes were uncounted. One example is Illinois where at the moment of ...
12
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1answer
1k views

What would happen if the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact was ratified between a presidential election and when the electoral college votes?

The National Popular Vote Interstate Compact is an agreement between several US states to award their electoral college votes to the winner of the national vote. This agreement is designed to only ...

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