Questions tagged [presidential-election]

For questions regarding the process by which a person attains the role of president over a governing body or country.

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-2
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3answers
276 views

Why do all the red states on presidential election maps since 2004 (excluding Alaska) touch other red states?

Since the 2004 election, every state that gave the most votes to the Republican candidate was touching another state geographically that did the same. This is, of course excluding Alaska. And it is ...
24
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7answers
11k views

How do Republicans explain consistently losing the popular vote in presidential elections since 1992?

I was wondering about how the Republican Party has only won the popular vote once in three decades in a presidential election. Seven out of eight presidential popular votes were won by Democrats. This ...
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0answers
74 views

Hypothetical scenario where the U.S. president doesn't accept the result of the election [duplicate]

What would likely happen if the U.S. president loses re-election, and then refuses to accept the result?
6
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1answer
332 views

What does 'such other body as Congress may by law provide' in the 25th amendment actually mean?

Regardless of who wins the 2020 presidential election, the US will officially have the oldest person to ever begin a term as president. While advanced age does not mean an individual is unfit to ...
8
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4answers
283 views

Is opposition against Lukashenko equally strong outside of Belarus cities?

On the 9th of August 2020 the country of Belarus held presidential elections. Incumbent Alexander Lukashenko was re-elected to a sixth term in office, with official results crediting him with 80 ...
3
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1answer
75 views

What was the correlation between a US state's Hispanic population and two party vote share for Hillary Clinton?

I was thinking about what the correlation between two variables would be. Namely these are the percent Hispanic in a state and the percent non third party voting Democratic in the 2016 election. What ...
2
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1answer
71 views

Consequences of a late Non-Nomination of a US presidential candidate for ballots

Some aspects are covered already for the nominations themselves (e.g. What is the procedure for choosing a new Republican candidate for the US presidency if the nominee withdraws or is removed? and A ...
2
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1answer
114 views

According to Gallup was New Hampshire the only state more liberal than conservative to vote more Republican than the national average in 2016?

I have read that Clinton won NH by 0.4 pp while Clinton won the national popular vote by 2.1 percentage points. However, Gallup said that New Hampshire is more liberal than conservative. Is NH the ...
24
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2answers
4k views

In the 538 Election Forecast, what is the difference between States that are: “the closest races” and “close to the tipping point”?

In 538's Election Forecast, states are highlighted as either having "the closest races" or being "close to the tipping point". What is the difference between these two categories?
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1answer
151 views

How did the neighborhood of Harlem vote in the 2016 presidential election?

I was thinking about the neighborhood of Harlem in New York City. I read that only 3 percent of the voters in this neighborhood are registered as Republicans and over 80% are registered as Democrats. ...
2
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1answer
132 views

Who actually has the authority to nominate electors for a presidential candidate?

I know the parties typically select electors on a state by state basis. However, who has the actual legal authority to select electors? For example, could the candidate over-rule their party if they ...
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5answers
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What happens if not all ballots cast by mail arrive in time to be counted for the November elections?

I know this is a worst-case scenario, but the fact is that these three issues will happen concurrently during election season: Louis Dejoy, the new postmaster general and a major donor of Trump, has ...
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9answers
9k views

Why are American elections and politics receiving so much coverage in Canadian and European media?

I live in Canada, but I follow American politics to some degree, as do most of the people I know. However, I do it as a hobby and realize that American politics really don't have much of an effect on ...
2
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1answer
246 views

Are there previous examples of spoiler presidential candidates successfully influencing the result of a national election?

Reports have suggested that Kanye West's stated intention is to siphon votes from Joe Biden. Are there any historical precedents for similar campaigns from independent candidates to deliberately ...
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7answers
7k views

What would Russia have to gain from interfering with the US presidential election?

There were quite a few allegations that Russia interfered, or at least tried to interfere, with the 2016 US presidential election, and new allegations have started to appear that similar interference ...
6
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2answers
400 views

Is a presidential candidate required to pick a running mate?

If the Vice President dies or leaves office early, the President is not required to pick a new VP, making the Vice Presidency vacant. Does this mean that a presidential candidate does not have to ...
3
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1answer
308 views

Is it illegal to insert someone to the Presidency through Vice President?

What would happen if a general election candidate enters the race with no actual intention of acting as President but rather with the intention of winning the election then immediately resigning, ...
9
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3answers
535 views

Is there any precedent for a Presidential candidate to refuse to participate in the Presidential Debates?

A recently published op-ed in the NYT entitled Let’s Scrap the Presidential Debates argues against televised presidential debates and suggests that candidates should not participate in them. Is there ...
31
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3answers
7k views

Would a President get to fill a Supreme Court vacancy just after he lost an election in November/December?

Suppose an incumbent President loses an election in November and a supreme court vacancy were to emerge right after his loss but before the swearing-in of his successor. Would he be able to fill this ...
6
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1answer
157 views

The U.S. presidential candidate's choice of a running mate

In the United States, after all the long drawn out process of choosing the presidential nominee of a major party, is the selection of the vice presidential nominee the private decision of one person? ...
4
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2answers
277 views

What if the Electoral College ties and no candidate gets a majority in the House or Senate?

I was thinking about a scenario that looks like this: Clinton wins all states she won in real life, plus Michigan and Pennsylvania. She gets 1% more votes than she really did. McMullin wins Utah. ...
24
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3answers
6k views

Can Trump force Congress to delay the Nov. 3, 2020 general US elections?

This is related to today's news that Trump mentioned the idea of delaying the election in one of his tweets. I understand that the president cannot legally change the election date, but according to ...
2
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2answers
176 views

Since 1856, has there ever been a US presidential election where every state votes for the same party in 2 consecutive presidential elections?

I was thinking about presidential elections in the USA. Since the two major parties existed in any way shape or form, has every state voted the same in consecutive presidential elections? In other ...
7
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1answer
354 views

Did Bernie Sanders being an independent Senator hurt his presidential bid?

I am wondering about Bernie Sanders and the fact that he is technically not a Democrat. (Vermont doesn't register by party, so this is a complicated issue.) Let's go by his Senate affiliation. He is ...
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0answers
153 views

What explains this deviation in voting patterns?

The Washington Post did an article about how most mostly black neighborhoods voted more Republican in 2016 than they did in 2012. The white one is pretty interesting (it looks like a distorted X), but ...
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2answers
203 views

After the start of COVID-19, what does Lichtman's keys model currently predict?

I am wondering about the Lichtman's keys model. I wonder what his model is saying now about the 2020 election. How many keys are in Trump's favor, and how many are against? Note to self: if the model ...
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1answer
139 views

Would Lichtman's Keys model failing be unprecedented?

There is a man named Allan Lichtman. He created a forecasting model that predicts the Electoral College winner. It is based on a theory called pragmatic voting. This means that the voters judge ...
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1answer
256 views

Can President Trump force a coalition if he loses the election? [closed]

When Trump was facing impeachment there were threats from some of his supporters that they would plunge the country into a civil war. Supposing the election is close, what if he refuses to leave the ...
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5answers
10k views

Why is it that an American in Timbuktu can vote for president but an American in San Juan cannot?

I was surprised to learn that Puerto Ricans, despite living in a US territory, were not entitled to vote in the presidential elections. I was even more surprised to learn that US citizens are allowed ...
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1answer
721 views

In the US presidential election, how would the ballots look like if there were 10,000 candidates?

I have the impression that any John Doe or Jane Doe can run for president in the US, provided they are natural-born citizens, at least 35 years old and residents for at least 14 years. Right? I don't ...
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1answer
159 views

Do “America we need” articles describe a position of Democracy party? [closed]

Some times ago, NYTimes started a series of articles called "America we need", with such well-known authors as Samuel Scheffler, for example, or Tim Wu2. This is an enough big series of ...
2
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1answer
204 views

How did Black Americans vote in presidential elections prior to 1936?

While researching data for another answer of mine, I came across Factcheck.org’s breakdown of the Black presidential vote from 1936. Unfortunately, this data only goes back until the first re-election ...
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1answer
663 views

Does National Popular Vote Interstate Compact make allowances for states to leave after joining?

My understanding of the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact is that, once 270 electoral votes worth of states pass the law, all of the joining states will appoint electors pledged to casting ...
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1answer
2k views

What effect does the recent SCOTUS decision on faithless electors have on the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact?

What effect, if any, does the recent SCOTUS decision on faithless electors have on the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact? This compact requires the electors from the states signed into the ...
2
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2answers
306 views

What are “Faithless Electors” in the US Electoral College?

Regarding the Supreme Court's decision to curb ‘Faithless Electors’, I began researching how exactly the Electoral College works. Then I read this NY Times article on how the Electoral College works, ...
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1answer
277 views

Can Trump stay in offices if he loses the election? [duplicate]

A Newsweek article: “How Trump Could Lose the Election– and Still Remain President.” Is it possible for Trump, if he loses the election, to claim election fraud and have the results thrown out so ...
0
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1answer
749 views

Is Dick Cheney still supporting Donald Trump for re-election in 2020, given his recent public support for wearing face masks?

Dick Cheney supported Donald Trump in 2016 (in the general election), and indications were that he was going to support Trump in 2020 as well. In August 2019, he appeared at a fundraiser for Trump's ...
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1answer
208 views

Assuming Trump wins only the states with Republican governors, what will be the outcome of the 2020 election?

Assuming Trump wins only the states with Republican governors, and the states that divide their electoral votes follow their 2016 patterns, what will be the outcome of the 2020 election?
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2answers
3k views

Did Hillary Clinton win the popular vote by 2.09 or 2.22 percentage points?

I read in two sources that the 2016 popular vote was Democratic by 2.09 percentage points (48.18% Clinton, 46.09% Trump). I also read it was by 2.22 percentage points (51.11% Clinton, 48.89% Trump). I ...
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1answer
2k views

What are the reasons for the date of Election Day?

As far as I can tell, the date of Election Day in the US was set in 1845: the electors of President and Vice President shall be appointed in each State on the Tuesday next after the first Monday ...
0
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1answer
102 views

“Reverse pivot” municipalities in New Jersey?

I am curious about reverse-pivot areas by municipality. A reverse pivot area is defined as an electoral jurisdiction that voted Republican in 2008 and 2012 but voted Democratic in 2016 for president. ...
6
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1answer
577 views

Was the Democratic vote less efficient in 2018 than in 2016?

In 2016, Donald Trump won the election despite losing the popular vote by about 3 million votes. This is because the Republican vote was distributed efficiently in the Electoral College. The map ...
2
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1answer
258 views

Is the coattail effect getting stronger?

I have heard that the coattails effect is where a candidate gets elected because the president is popular in the area they want to represent. I feel like it is getting stronger over time. Ticket ...
3
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2answers
89 views

What is the difference between voting for presidential nominee vs. voting for delegates in Maryland?

On my ballot in Maryland for the presidential primary, there are separate questions to vote for the presidential nominee directly, and to vote for specific delegates to the convention. The delegates ...
2
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1answer
160 views

Reddest county in a blue-state 2016? [duplicate]

I was looking into rural counties in blue states that vote Republican. I found one that stuck out: Eureka County. Its citizens cast almost 85% of their votes for Donald Trump. Is this the reddest ...
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0answers
50 views

Does a database of historic US Presidential election polling data exist?

I want to do some research concerning the historic accuracy of presidential election polling. Is there anywhere I can find a database containing historic polling data from multiple pollsters? ...
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2answers
165 views

Which congressional districts were won by over 40 points by either party in the 2016 presidential election?

I am curious about congressional districts in the 2016 election, and I want to know which ones were won by Clinton or Trump by over 40 points. I am doing this to analyze the difference in margin of ...
6
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1answer
275 views

Which states returned the most third party votes in the 2016 presidential election?

I'm curious about which states in the 2016 US presidential election got the most third party votes. I want the top 5 states by percentage down to 1/10 of a percent that shows what the highest 3rd ...
6
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1answer
694 views

Has there ever been a presidential election where every state voted the same way as in the midterms?

Has there ever been a presidential election where every state voted for the same party as in the House elections in the previous midterm? If so, when was it? And, if there has never been as of writing,...
0
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2answers
141 views

What percent of counties that voted Democratic in 2016 are minority majority?

I stumbled across an image at https://ibb.co/GF5zPc4 that shows minority majority or majority minority counties as brown and the ones that almost had minority majority status as yellow. It also shows ...

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