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Questions tagged [primaries]

Public elections to decide which candidate represents a party at the main election

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3 votes
1 answer
232 views

Primary voter turnout and partisan breakdown for voters under 30 in 2022?

In American politics, the most engaged voters are generally the ones that vote in primaries, the elections that choose who goes on the ballot in the general election. Polling shows Democrats won about ...
3 votes
1 answer
391 views

Why is voter turnout hitting lows in 2024 primaries, and does relative primary turnout tend to predict general election turnout?

I have noticed based on observing election returns that voter turnout has been dramatically lower than in past elections. Some states are even recording lower turnout than the 2022 midterm primary ...
5 votes
2 answers
380 views

What would it take to do away with the caucus system?

I went to my first caucus this spring and it was very enlightening. I am of the belief that our candidates are being chosen by the "fringe" people in each party.There were plenty of good citizens ...
5 votes
3 answers
253 views

Why do some political parties in the US have open primaries, but not others?

In the recent California primary elections, any NPP (no party preference) voter was allowed to choose ballots for presidential primaries for American Independent Party, Democratic, and Libertarian. ...
2 votes
2 answers
861 views

Are caucuses less democratic than primaries?

The Washington State 2016 presidential election story makes the mechanism of caucuses seem less democratic than primaries. It seems the Democratic party caucuses, rather than the later popular vote ...
9 votes
5 answers
2k views

Why did Nikki Haley continue in the race for Republican nomination for so long?

In the ongoing race to select the Republican Party nominee, Nikki Haley has lost every primary and caucus but one. That was the District of Columbia Republican primary, which she won with 62% of the ...
14 votes
5 answers
3k views

Why is the distinction between primary and caucus significant?

I keep hearing newscasters refer to this week's New Hampshire primary as "the first in the nation primary". While I understand this is technically true, the way they emphasize "first in ...
30 votes
5 answers
6k views

In the US, why does the government have the right to regulate how political parties hold their primaries?

In the US, various states have different rules on how parties may hold their primaries: some require direct ballots, some require caucuses, some states hold "open" primaries and some are "closed. But ...
12 votes
3 answers
6k views

Given there is no primary on the democratic side, why isn't there a push to get Democrat voters to vote Trump out in the primary?

Biden is the incumbent with no serious challenges. Given his unpopularity with Democrats, why hasn't there been a campaign run by Democrats or maybe even some anti-Trump Republicans to get Democrat ...
16 votes
5 answers
7k views

How do parties really choose candidates in the US?

When I was growing up, I was under the impression that America’s candidates for President or Congress are chosen by primary elections. After watching the news more carefully, I later got the ...
6 votes
2 answers
5k views

Who decide the order of the states of primary vote?

Recently I see Republican party started the primary vote process and they started from Iowa, and then moved to N.H and will move on to anther state. My questions are how the order/sequence of states ...
3 votes
1 answer
261 views

Which districts in the Virginia state legislature held contested primaries for both parties in 2023?

In Virginia, there are primaries on June 20th for the state legislature. I am curious about which races are contested for both parties' primaries that are happening on Tuesday, a couple days after I ...
6 votes
1 answer
204 views

What was the US election with the highest number of cancelled primaries and caucuses?

Primaries and caucuses in the US can get cancelled and some did get cancelled, e.g.: The shutdowns aren’t without precedent. Some of the states forgoing Republican nomination contests have done so ...
-5 votes
1 answer
125 views

Pennsylvania mail in return rates 2023 primary? [closed]

In Pennsylvania, there is a municipal primary happening with Election Day on May 16. I have not been able to find data on Pennsylvania's mail request data but I have a feeling it exists because such ...
7 votes
2 answers
636 views

Why did the DNC refuse to hold any debates on Fox News?

Back in March the DNC refused to hold any primary debates on Fox News. With the second Democratic Presidential Debate coming up in a few weeks on CNN, this question seems especially relevant. Fox ...
2 votes
1 answer
126 views

Illinois Presidential primaries

When voting in a primary in Illinois, there is a selection choose one of "Donald Trump, John McCain", Mit Romney" or "Barrack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders" (these ...
4 votes
1 answer
170 views

Democratic primaries in historically red states

Is each states primary value based on delegate count alone, or is any consideration given to the likelihood of states actually voting for their party? Example: Utah is historically red and will ...
3 votes
1 answer
315 views

Why are Progressive Democrats having more success in primaries than America First Republicans?

An interesting trend seems to be apparent in primaries in 2022 for various offices. It seems like Progressive Democratic primary challengers generally outperform America First Republican primary ...
15 votes
1 answer
7k views

What happens to delegates when a candidate withdraws or suspends their campaign

In the United States Presidential Primaries, what happens to a candidates delegates if they later withdraw from the race? For example, in the 2016 Republican Presidential Primary for the State of New ...
3 votes
2 answers
670 views

Can the results of a primary be ignored at the convention?

Suppose a prospective candidate for US President goes through the entire primary process and easily obtains enough pledged delegates to win their party's nomination in the first round of convention ...
5 votes
1 answer
234 views

Can candidates give delegates?

For example, can Marco Rubio and John Kasich give delegates to Ted Cruz in order to defeat Donald Trump?
29 votes
4 answers
13k views

Has a sitting US president ever been denied their party's nomination for a second term?

Has there ever been an instance when a US president didn't get a second term because they failed to get his party's nomination? From the looks of it, there's nothing that could prevent a sitting US ...
4 votes
1 answer
275 views

Is preferred candidate polling useful in predicting the likelihood of a candidate winning the primaries?

I've heard repeatedly that Donald Trump is the front-runner for the Republican party presidential primaries when measured by polling for preferred candidate of republican voters, and Wikipedia backs ...
6 votes
4 answers
1k views

How was PredictWise so certain that Ted Cruz had absolutely no chance to win the 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries and caucuses?

This website seems to be able to predict who will win the 2016 Presidential Election. But their results are very strange: Ted Cruz only has 1% chance of winning! But in most national polls Ted Cruz ...
5 votes
1 answer
187 views

Who pays and organizes the primaries of third parties?

In the US, primaries for the presidential election of the two major parties are usually funded and regulated by the state government. Is this also true for the smaller parties? In that case how is it ...
3 votes
1 answer
786 views

Can a candidate transfer their delegates to another? [duplicate]

In 2020 US democratic primary election, can a candidate transfer their delegates to another, either when they drop out or when they reach the convention? Several tweets suggest that might happen in ...
0 votes
1 answer
102 views

Where were the Iowa "satellite caucuses" located?

I've read (somewhat) conflicting report on these, some reproduced in other questions here... For example, Fox News says In total, there will be 96 locations across the globe on Monday. Thirteen ...
8 votes
2 answers
2k views

Why is winning the NYC Democratic mayoral primary currently widely seen as tantamount to election?

During the Bush era and even before that, NYC has elected mayors that were at least back then resembled the governors of states like Vermont today (they had liberal social views, but had more ...
28 votes
1 answer
4k views

How did Alaska "change its primary system recently" and was it "to dilute the possibility of a conservative or Trump-inspired challenger"?

Politico's GOP pushes Murkowski to stay in line against Biden’s Covid bill includes the following: Murkowski is unique, however, and so is her home of Alaska. The state is suffering economically, the ...
5 votes
1 answer
207 views

Does Mexico hold primary elections?

If so, are they held by all national parties? For executive and legislators? And are party non-officials eligible to vote? If so, only members or open? Note: Question is inspired by the nominating ...
8 votes
3 answers
857 views

How are Presidential candidates, who run for the party ticket in Primaries and Caucuses, shortlisted?

I am not from USA and pertaining to some question I am trying to address, I was curious about how the Presidential candidates are selected or shortlisted for Primaries and Caucuses. Because it's not ...
2 votes
0 answers
58 views

Who determine the rules of the US primaries? [duplicate]

At first I thought each individual state's party decided how to do the primaries for themselves, as private organizations. But then I read that elections in some states are organized by the government,...
0 votes
1 answer
105 views

Historical record of Senate primary vote total predicting statewide presidential result

I was thinking about a potential swing state (Georgia) and the fact that the Democrats got 8 percentage points more votes than the Republicans. I was thinking about the historical accuracy of this as ...
3 votes
2 answers
137 views

Do primary vote totals tend to indicate the winner in the general election for US Senate?

In June, the Democratic Party won the primary vote in Georgia by ~9 percentage points, 1.19 million to 0.99 million. Do Senate primary vote totals where both sides are having competitive primaries ...
4 votes
3 answers
582 views

Could a congressional candidate who lost a primary run as an independent, win the general, and then switch parties?

I was thinking about progressive candidates and how Democratic primaries are a powerful tool that has successfully been used to install progressive candidates by replacing an "establishment" ...
2 votes
1 answer
163 views

Has Markey discussed past votes to preserve tax-exempt status for racist colleges?

NBC affiliate WWLP said this, in discussing remarks made by Democratic Congressman Joe Kennedy as part of his primary challenge of Democratic Senator Ed Markey: At a Tuesday press conference, Kennedy ...
11 votes
2 answers
22k views

Does it matter if I vote for an unopposed candidate in a primary?

Is there any effect when NOT voting for a candidate to an uncontested seat in a primary where a write-in is NOT allowed? Specifically, I'm voting as a Democrat in the Illinois 2016 primary - sample ...
1 vote
1 answer
143 views

Is the tendency for mail-in voters to support incumbents in primary elections due to a 'red shift'?

Over the last few weeks, I have noticed something interesting in the primaries, especially in New York. I noticed a "red shift" where mail-in ballots favored the incumbent. What I mean by ...
4 votes
1 answer
201 views

Has Nancy Pelosi ever endorsed a primary challenger before?

On August 20th, 2020, Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi endorsed Democratic Congressman Joe Kennedy in his ultimately unsuccessful primary challenge of Democratic Senator Ed Markey. This strikes me as ...
3 votes
1 answer
160 views

Why don't parties run primary elections instead of the government? [duplicate]

Why does the government run primary elections instead of the parties?
2 votes
1 answer
143 views

Could the US Congress federally mandate a national presidential primary day?

I am fascinated by the thought of presidential primaries. They feel skewed towards certain places and certain ethnicities. Let's say that in March of the 1st year of a President's term, Congress ...
3 votes
2 answers
129 views

What is the difference between voting for presidential nominee vs. voting for delegates in Maryland?

On my ballot in Maryland for the presidential primary, there are separate questions to vote for the presidential nominee directly, and to vote for specific delegates to the convention. The delegates ...
3 votes
1 answer
252 views

Has a candidate ever been nominated after losing their party's primary and then gone on to win the general election?

Tim Pool has theorized that Tara Reade's allegations against Joe Biden could be good news for the DNC; it provides an excuse for them to ditch Biden and run someone else in the general election. Has ...
4 votes
2 answers
163 views

Is there a consistent difference in participation in caucuses vs primaries in the US?

VOA notes that In the past, the downside of the time-consuming caucus process has been lower voter turnout. In the 2016 Iowa caucuses only 15.7% of the voting population participated. In contrast,...
43 votes
2 answers
8k views

Why do primaries contestants (usually) announce that they are "suspending" their campaign when they exit it?

It seems to be just another political euphemism, in line with politicians not being terribly willing to admit when they are wrong, but is there anything more than that to their use of "suspend" when ...
0 votes
1 answer
172 views

Why do states postpone their primary elections to after June 9th, 2020 even if it violates DNC rules?

The Democratic National Committee (DNC) mandates that states have to hold their primary elections before June 9th, 2020, according to Rule 12 of the Delegate Selection Rules. The Delegate Selection ...
20 votes
2 answers
5k views

Why don't presidential candidates announce their running mates before achieving their party's nomination?

As far as I can tell, a candidate has only announced their running mate before achieving the nomination twice since the modern system of primaries came into use in the 1970s. These occasions were in ...
37 votes
8 answers
11k views

What benefit is there to pulling out of the presidential race before Super Tuesday?

In the last couple of days, in the wake of the South Carolina primary, first Pete Buttigieg & now Amy Klobuchar have "suspended" their campaigns. This has come notably just before Super Tuesday, ...
30 votes
4 answers
6k views

Why are candidates expected to win their home state?

In coverage of primaries and elections I often hear it stated that candidates are expected to win their home states, or that it is embarrassing not to. I've seen this assertion here, such as in Has a ...
4 votes
1 answer
124 views

Are there any statistics on union endorsements for presidential candidates?

LA Times mentioned a few, seemingly mostly for Sanders by the big-membership numbers On Thursday, United Teachers Los Angeles, the second-largest teacher’s union in the U.S., with roughly 34,000 ...