Questions tagged [statistics]

For questions about data with a relation to politics. Related tags: [reference-request], [data-sources] & [voting-records].

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11
votes
3answers
3k views

Are there more Democrats than Republicans in the United States?

I have been thinking about the Democratic Party and whether or not its members are more numerous than the opposing faction. Evidence to suggest this is the case: This party is expected to win the ...
0
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1answer
178 views

Why hasn't the USA done a statistical sampling of COVID cases?

In all the media reports I have seen over the past few months with respect to the COVID pandemic, I have never heard about any statistically random testing done at any level (state, federal). From my ...
-1
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1answer
72 views

Is there a swing map of 2017 Senate and 2016 President in Alabama?

I want to see a picture of a county-level swing map of the 2017 Senate election for Alabama relative to the 2016 presidential election. This is to see how many points the election swung in Democrat ...
5
votes
1answer
161 views

How does the Trump administrations “rate of attrition” compare to past administrations? [duplicate]

There have been a number of high-profile firings / forced resignations / etc in recent years originating from the Trump administration. Some of these, such as John Bolton, have ended up as media ...
12
votes
1answer
357 views

How much looting has actually occurred during the recent protests in the US?

In recent weeks, the US was rocked by waves of massive protests, following the police killing of George Floyd, and later additional citizens (but of course fueled by and concerned with much more than ...
12
votes
2answers
3k views

Did Hillary Clinton win the popular vote by 2.09 or 2.22 percentage points?

I read in two sources that the 2016 popular vote was Democratic by 2.09 percentage points (48.18% Clinton, 46.09% Trump). I also read it was by 2.22 percentage points (51.11% Clinton, 48.89% Trump). I ...
6
votes
1answer
123 views

How does polling work in the United States?

As we approach the presidential election, polling statistics seem to be referenced more than ever. I've never had the opportunity to be included in polls. This leads me to wonder; Who is polled? How ...
4
votes
1answer
141 views

How are deaths recorded and reported in the US?

The current COVID-19 pandemic made me curious how deaths are counted by various governments at all levels. As there is a lot of doubt as to how the cause of death is attributed in various cases, I was ...
5
votes
1answer
280 views

What percentage of African-American Republicans are conservative?

I saw a Gallup article that says that 69% of Republicans overall identify as conservative. I am thinking about a small proportion of Republican voters which is a large proportion of Democratic voters: ...
5
votes
1answer
210 views

Which states returned the most third party votes in the 2016 presidential election?

I'm curious about which states in the 2016 US presidential election got the most third party votes. I want the top 5 states by percentage down to 1/10 of a percent that shows what the highest 3rd ...
-1
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1answer
146 views

Has the WHO or any individual countries released COVID-19 statistics divided on basis of sex?

In February 2019, the U.S.A released HIV statistics based on sex: Have the WHO or any individual countries released COVID-19 statistics divided on this basis?
4
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0answers
237 views

Which EU country has the most violent police force?

I hope this is the right sub to post this in. I am looking for a peer-reviewed study which compares the number of violent incidences committed by police officers against civilians in different EU ...
2
votes
2answers
243 views

Why did the Chinese government change their publicly-reported COVID-19 infection and death rates?

Until mid-April 2020, the Chinese government presented a certain set of figures regarding the infection and death rates from COVID-19 within China. Many people questioned those figures, but had no ...
3
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2answers
421 views

Is the UK reporting (extra) deaths in care homes now as related to Covid-19?

After some scandals, e.g. France started to report some deaths in "ESMS" (which includes nursing homes) as probably being related to Covid-19. [Reuters, Apr. 4] Following criticism about ...
5
votes
0answers
65 views

What are the (bidirectional) flows of skilled workers between Australia and the UK, presently?

In relation to an Australian statement that there would be "brain drain" from Australia to the UK should a visa-free worker system be adopted between the two countries... Surely, both Australia and ...
2
votes
1answer
103 views

Is there a comparison of the cost structure of residential electricity in the EU?

I can easily find the total cost of residential electricity for each country in the EU, but I would like to know/see how much of that is taxes and fixed network tariff. I could find such information ...
6
votes
2answers
559 views

What exactly is "National Origin” with respect to US anti-discrimination laws?

In addition to the more familiar concepts of race, ethnicity, religion, disability, lawful immigration status etc., US anti-discrimination laws typically mention that it is also unlawful to ...
4
votes
1answer
177 views

What is the death toll of war on drugs compared to death toll from drugs? [closed]

It is not obvious how successful the war on drugs is, in part because it is not clear what success is. Drugs cause deaths, and the war on drugs causes deaths. One possible metric is how many people ...
34
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10answers
10k views

Why are the Democrats & Republicans so homogeneous in their opinions of impeaching Trump?

If we look at the population of the US at large, as of time of writing, 84.7% of Democrats, 43.0% of Independents, and 9.4% of Republicans support impeachment. Meanwhile, in Congress, literally 100% ...
5
votes
1answer
122 views

What is an MRP poll, and is it more accurate than a conventional poll?

On Nov 27th, the polling company YouGov released an “MRP” poll that predicts the Conservative party winning a majority of 68 in the upcoming General Election. The poll has been treated as practically ...
8
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2answers
304 views

Are there standardized ways to quantify political division?

Political division seems to be one of the main issues of our time, with countless articles, op-eds, and studies describing how the US and other countries (the UK comes immediately to mind) are ...
3
votes
1answer
165 views

A. B, C, or D statistical voting placement on ballot?

In school, we were taught to always pick C in a multiple choice question if unsure. Would being on a particular placement on a ballot bring any statistical advantage?
3
votes
3answers
272 views

Where can I find the number of U.S. illegal border crossings versus visa overstays?

Immigrants are undocumented if they have crossed the border illegally or overstayed their visas. There are a lot of places where I can find the total number of undocumented immigrants, but where can I ...
9
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1answer
361 views

Evidence in support of highly myopic retrospective voting

I am reading Democracy for Realists: Why Elections Do Not Produce Responsive Government. In Chapter 6 and 7, evidence is shown that "voters' retrospective assessments of the economy are quite myopic." ...
8
votes
1answer
426 views

What happened to Islamic terrorism in 2018?

From Wikipedia, I gathered the following data (for the European Union): 2015: 17 attacks by Islamists with 150 deaths. 2016: 10 attacks by Islamists with 135 deaths. 2017: 10 attacks by Islamists ...
5
votes
2answers
266 views

Best metric for comparing poll queue times?

In the 2018 Midterms, some very determined Georgians waited over four hours in line to vote. Every two years there are precincts that torment voters with long lines, but never mind how or why... I'm ...
7
votes
1answer
334 views

Are there any studies about companies self-segregating politically?

There's some current dialogue about some big tech companies (google, twitter, facebook) displaying some bias in their actions. Whether that's true or not, it certainly seems that the composition of ...
7
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2answers
1k views

How do Google Trends results correlate with the actual party support?

Has anyone studied the correlation between party support in elections and Google Trends results? What is the conclusion? Especially I'm interested in the situation in Finland.
3
votes
1answer
595 views

Is there a ranking of states population density based on usable land area?

Population density statistics can often be misleading. For example the Netherlands are considered to be one of the world's densest countries, but the explanation is that essentially 100% (and even ...
-6
votes
1answer
286 views

Off-duty policewoman shoots armed robber [closed]

Recently in Brazil, an armed thief tried to robber several mothers and children at the exit of a school during Mother's day. However, an off-duty policewoman shoot three times in his chest and he died ...
18
votes
1answer
502 views

How does turnover in the Trump administration compare to previous administrations?

There have been a number of high-profile departures from the Trump administration for various reasons. For example: Michael Flynn, Hope Hicks, Rex Tillerson, Sean Spicer and many others. While this ...
2
votes
1answer
457 views

How do you calculate Cook PVI for uncontested elections?

Cook PVI is a measure of how strongly leaning a district is towards one party or another and is defined with respect to the national average of the winning party. But how do you calculate this for ...
6
votes
1answer
230 views

Statistics of Instant Runoff Voting

Has anyone published statistics on how many recounts (i.e. runoffs) are necessary for resolving an instant runoff election, versus the number of candidates? Data from real life would be good, but ...
1
vote
1answer
365 views

Why Does Pew Research Say That US 2016 Election Polls “Missed Their Mark”?

According to an article written by several people at Pew Research, "The results of Tuesday’s presidential election came as a surprise to nearly everyone who had been following the national and state ...
4
votes
2answers
1k views

Are capitalism and communism equivalent in attributable mass murders? [closed]

When the topic of communism comes up in the US, most automatically dismiss it due to the tens or hundreds of millions who died at the hands of communist regimes. As a counterpoint, some say that the ...
-2
votes
2answers
9k views

Which state benefited the most from the Great Compromise? (US)

Under the terms of this compromise, in the first chamber of Congress—the House of Representatives—the representatives would be apportioned according to the population in each state. This, of ...
3
votes
2answers
634 views

Is gun violence in the US mostly limited to people involved in property/violent crime?

This follows a question of mine on expatriates.SX: I may move to the US, but I'm kind of scared of the gun violence One of the answers there suggests that US gun violence is not as bad as the ...
0
votes
1answer
262 views

How many people were seriously injured during the Catalan independence referendum? [closed]

There are currently a lot of quotes about "hundreds of injured people" during the Catalan independence referendum but they all come from a potentially biased source, (Catalan government), and don't ...
8
votes
3answers
751 views

Does categorizing/framing actions/labeling people based on intent stem the growth of that action?

I was wondering if labeling people and actions based on intent has had any observable affect on the actual action itself. i.e. Things like Terrorism or hate crimes Intuitively I can only see these ...
3
votes
2answers
2k views

Which US states have the most right-wing, “alt-right”, KKK affiliated or neo-nazi groups?

I've been looking for statistics about the subject, out of personal curiosity. I know a lot of these groups have no official records, but some do (like militias, etc). I was wondering if anybody had ...
3
votes
2answers
586 views

How effective is the fight against skewed sex ratio in India?

Sex ratio is the ratio between female births and male births during a given period in a given area. The sex ratio "naturally" observed in most populations is between 950 and 1000 girls for ...
8
votes
2answers
2k views

People receiving federal assistance in the US

I'm trying to resolve a tension between two claims about people receiving various forms of federal assistance in the US. I'll illustrate the claims with a couple of links: On the one hand, it appears ...
0
votes
1answer
2k views

Mexican illegal immigration and rape [closed]

I remember Donald Trump stating that 80% of illegal immigrants coming from Mexico and crossing illegally into the U.S. were raped/sexually abused. I have been trying to find some credible scholarly ...
3
votes
1answer
2k views

Statistical impact of Russian Hack in US election 2016

What do Silver (538) and Gelman models tell us about the impact on vote share of the Russian hacking of Democrats and the FBI intervention in the US election? If we took the prediction at the time and ...
0
votes
2answers
703 views

Which Country has the lowest minimum age limit to compete in Elections?

I studied from many sources about the minimum age limit for competing in the elections. Many countries have that in the range 25-35 (in India it's 25). Many organisations proposed to reduce this age, ...
9
votes
3answers
4k views

Sweden rape statistics 2016

There has been a lot of discussions around an increase in Sweden's rape crime and it has been suggested that it was due to loose immigration policy. I cannot find any of the data for rape in Sweden ...
3
votes
0answers
560 views

Tally of fake hate crimes?

Is there a tally of fake hate crimes in the United States, by year, with ideological identification? I'm defining a fake hate crime as an incident when one defaces, destroys or vandalizes a public ...
30
votes
2answers
3k views

Phenomenon where politically incorrect candidates do better in actual elections than in polls?

I've long hypothesised that a certain phenomenon may exist, and I wonder if there's any actual research on the subject. I'm asking for research, statistics, etc. on a macro level. However, I think it'...
6
votes
1answer
1k views

Were there any voting districts with no votes for Obama?

Various news accounts and chain emails note that 50+ voting districts in Philadelphia, which are almost entirely black and with registered Republicans in the single digits, recorded zero votes for ...
4
votes
1answer
3k views

Percentage of European terrorists who are refugees

What percentage of terrorists in the recent attacks in Europe have ever held the refugee immigration status in any EU country? I am primarily interested in the data for the last 3 years or so. Any ...