Questions tagged [statistics]

For questions about data with a relation to politics. Related tags: [reference-request], [data-sources] & [voting-records].

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5
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1answer
92 views

What is an MRP poll, and is it more accurate than a conventional poll?

On Nov 27th, the polling company YouGov released an “MRP” poll that predicts the Conservative party winning a majority of 68 in the upcoming General Election. The poll has been treated as practically ...
7
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1answer
147 views

Are there standardized ways to quantify political division?

Political division seems to be one of the main issues of our time, with countless articles, op-eds, and studies describing how the US and other countries (the UK comes immediately to mind) are ...
3
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1answer
157 views

A. B, C, or D statistical voting placement on ballot?

In school, we were taught to always pick C in a multiple choice question if unsure. Would being on a particular placement on a ballot bring any statistical advantage?
3
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3answers
268 views

Where can I find the number of U.S. illegal border crossings versus visa overstays?

Immigrants are undocumented if they have crossed the border illegally or overstayed their visas. There are a lot of places where I can find the total number of undocumented immigrants, but where can I ...
9
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1answer
348 views

Evidence in support of highly myopic retrospective voting

I am reading Democracy for Realists: Why Elections Do Not Produce Responsive Government. In Chapter 6 and 7, evidence is shown that "voters' retrospective assessments of the economy are quite myopic." ...
8
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1answer
420 views

What happened to Islamic terrorism in 2018?

From Wikipedia, I gathered the following data (for the European Union): 2015: 17 attacks by Islamists with 150 deaths. 2016: 10 attacks by Islamists with 135 deaths. 2017: 10 attacks by Islamists ...
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2answers
257 views

Best metric for comparing poll queue times?

In the 2018 Midterms, some very determined Georgians waited over four hours in line to vote. Every two years there are precincts that torment voters with long lines, but never mind how or why... I'm ...
8
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0answers
166 views

Are there any studies about companies self-segregating politically?

There's some current dialogue about some big tech companies (google, twitter, facebook) displaying some bias in their actions. Whether that's true or not, it certainly seems that the composition of ...
7
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2answers
1k views

How do Google Trends results correlate with the actual party support?

Has anyone studied the correlation between party support in elections and Google Trends results? What is the conclusion? Especially I'm interested in the situation in Finland.
3
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1answer
446 views

Is there a ranking of states population density based on usable land area?

Population density statistics can often be misleading. For example the Netherlands are considered to be one of the world's densest countries, but the explanation is that essentially 100% (and even ...
-6
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1answer
271 views

Off-duty policewoman shoots armed robber [closed]

Recently in Brazil, an armed thief tried to robber several mothers and children at the exit of a school during Mother's day. However, an off-duty policewoman shoot three times in his chest and he died ...
15
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1answer
444 views

How does turnover in the Trump administration compare to previous administrations?

There have been a number of high-profile departures from the Trump administration for various reasons. For example: Michael Flynn, Hope Hicks, Rex Tillerson, Sean Spicer and many others. While this ...
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1answer
394 views

How do you calculate Cook PVI for uncontested elections?

Cook PVI is a measure of how strongly leaning a district is towards one party or another and is defined with respect to the national average of the winning party. But how do you calculate this for ...
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1answer
225 views

Statistics of Instant Runoff Voting

Has anyone published statistics on how many recounts (i.e. runoffs) are necessary for resolving an instant runoff election, versus the number of candidates? Data from real life would be good, but ...
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1answer
334 views

Why Does Pew Research Say That US 2016 Election Polls “Missed Their Mark”?

According to an article written by several people at Pew Research, "The results of Tuesday’s presidential election came as a surprise to nearly everyone who had been following the national and state ...
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2answers
1k views

Are capitalism and communism equivalent in attributable mass murders? [closed]

When the topic of communism comes up in the US, most automatically dismiss it due to the tens or hundreds of millions who died at the hands of communist regimes. As a counterpoint, some say that the ...
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2answers
7k views

Which state benefited the most from the Great Compromise? (US)

Under the terms of this compromise, in the first chamber of Congress—the House of Representatives—the representatives would be apportioned according to the population in each state. This, of ...
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2answers
612 views

Is gun violence in the US mostly limited to people involved in property/violent crime?

This follows a question of mine on expatriates.SX: I may move to the US, but I'm kind of scared of the gun violence One of the answers there suggests that US gun violence is not as bad as the ...
0
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1answer
260 views

How many people were seriously injured during the Catalan independence referendum? [closed]

There are currently a lot of quotes about "hundreds of injured people" during the Catalan independence referendum but they all come from a potentially biased source, (Catalan government), and don't ...
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3answers
737 views

Does categorizing/framing actions/labeling people based on intent stem the growth of that action?

I was wondering if labeling people and actions based on intent has had any observable affect on the actual action itself. i.e. Things like Terrorism or hate crimes Intuitively I can only see these ...
3
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2answers
2k views

Which US states have the most right-wing, “alt-right”, KKK affiliated or neo-nazi groups?

I've been looking for statistics about the subject, out of personal curiosity. I know a lot of these groups have no official records, but some do (like militias, etc). I was wondering if anybody had ...
3
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2answers
556 views

How effective is the fight against skewed sex ratio in India?

Sex ratio is the ratio between female births and male births during a given period in a given area. The sex ratio "naturally" observed in most populations is between 950 and 1000 girls for 1000 boys. ...
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2answers
2k views

People receiving federal assistance in the US

I'm trying to resolve a tension between two claims about people receiving various forms of federal assistance in the US. I'll illustrate the claims with a couple of links: On the one hand, it appears ...
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1answer
2k views

Mexican illegal immigration and rape [closed]

I remember Donald Trump stating that 80% of illegal immigrants coming from Mexico and crossing illegally into the U.S. were raped/sexually abused. I have been trying to find some credible scholarly ...
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1answer
2k views

Statistical impact of Russian Hack in US election 2016

What do Silver (538) and Gelman models tell us about the impact on vote share of the Russian hacking of Democrats and the FBI intervention in the US election? If we took the prediction at the time and ...
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2answers
666 views

Which Country has the lowest minimum age limit to compete in Elections?

I studied from many sources about the minimum age limit for competing in the elections. Many countries have that in the range 25-35 (in India it's 25). Many organisations proposed to reduce this age, ...
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3answers
4k views

Sweden rape statistics 2016

There has been a lot of discussions around an increase in Sweden's rape crime and it has been suggested that it was due to loose immigration policy. I cannot find any of the data for rape in Sweden ...
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0answers
549 views

Tally of fake hate crimes?

Is there a tally of fake hate crimes in the United States, by year, with ideological identification? I'm defining a fake hate crime as an incident when one defaces, destroys or vandalizes a public ...
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2answers
3k views

Phenomenon where politically incorrect candidates do better in actual elections than in polls?

I've long hypothesised that a certain phenomenon may exist, and I wonder if there's any actual research on the subject. I'm asking for research, statistics, etc. on a macro level. However, I think it'...
6
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1answer
957 views

Were there any voting districts with no votes for Obama?

Various news accounts and chain emails note that 50+ voting districts in Philadelphia, which are almost entirely black and with registered Republicans in the single digits, recorded zero votes for ...
4
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1answer
3k views

Percentage of European terrorists who are refugees

What percentage of terrorists in the recent attacks in Europe have ever held the refugee immigration status in any EU country? I am primarily interested in the data for the last 3 years or so. Any ...
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3answers
1k views

What is the typical error in large vote counts?

Well the EU referendum happened in the UK and there was some talk about what happens if the result is a tie, or if it is very close. Apparently, there would not be a recount unless there was a ...
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2answers
55 views

Limit to utility of campaign funds

I'm looking for research on the utility of campaign money, specifically in USA elections. Is there a point at which more money doesn't significantly increase a candidates chance of winning? How would ...
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0answers
444 views

Percentage of mass murderers without a father [closed]

What percentage of US mass murderers do not have a father figure in their household? For this question, mass murder is The FBI defines mass murder as murdering four or more persons during an ...
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1answer
2k views

What are the statistics for mass shootings by skin color?

Someone told me that people of a certain skin tone commit mass shootings, but I was skeptical. By the way, a popular definition of mass shooting is 4 or more people killed by a gun. https://en....
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2answers
395 views

Us Income Inequality adjusted for cost of living differences on a per county/city basis

Inequality has been a big issue in the US. Generally when we talk about cost of living, it's adjusted on a per state basis, but this masks a lot of true living conditions. Northern Virginia just ...
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0answers
28 views

Quantification of media interest in particular political subjects

I know there is a field of quantitative political science, but I am wondering if there are any commercial or quasi-commercial (amateur) efforts to just tally up how many articles or notices are ...
2
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1answer
449 views

Can people be “double counted” in different countries' census?

Our census bureau defines the national "population" as the number of people in the country on census day. This includes citizens, foreign students and workers, and immigrants who do not yet have ...
10
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1answer
14k views

What are the crime rates by religion in USA?

Not looking for hate crimes. Looking for percentage of crimes per capita broken down by religion of the perpetrator. (Example: 1M Protestants in USA, 10k crimes by Protestants, rate of 0.01% per ...
6
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1answer
1k views

How does DW-Nominate determine whether a specific member of congress or vote is liberal or conservative?

The statistical methodology DW-Nominate is frequently seen as a more objective way of determining how liberal or conservative politicians are based on their voting record. Here's a few of many ...
4
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1answer
353 views

What percent of people killed by police in the US are unarmed?

The question title says it all. If possible, I'd prefer an answer that includes breakdowns by race, although I'm prepared to accept one that does not.
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2answers
479 views

Is there a correlation between protest size and public sympathy?

I wonder whether the scale of a political protest can be used as a proxy for public opinion on the protest issue. For example, a protest where 0.1% of the population attended. Can this be used to ...
5
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1answer
166 views

Are future people counted when considering how many people will be affected by a policy change?

When calculating the impact of policy, does the CBO/BLS/DHH or other government agency consider the number of future people who will be affected over the lifetime of the policy? Why/Why not? For ...
2
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1answer
74 views

Is there data that looks at income inequality by examining total income over each person's life?

There are many “info” graphics about income inequality in the United States. Measuring the combination of wealth and income that most humans care about is inherently tricky. If you measure wealth, ...
2
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1answer
92 views

What is an unpoliticized, transparent source (alternative to Gov't stats) for stats like Unemployment and Inflation?

The official government stats for Unemployment carry too much weight (value to the politicians) so there is a huge incentive to fudge them ( election related and just bureaucratic mistake) Is there ...
12
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1answer
167 views

Has anyone produced a time series of the Gini coefficient to current political party?

Has anyone ever done a global or regional time series of the Gini coefficient* mapped against the current ideological faction** in power? The more countries in the time series, the more informative ...
9
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2answers
1k views

What was the lowest known voter participation rate?

So, comments in this question mentioning extremes such as "nobody voted in election at all", led me to wonder: What was the election where the LEAST percentage of eligible voters participated? The ...
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0answers
46 views

Resource providing statistical data on the amount of law enacted?

Is there any statistical data about the amount of law enacted in the United States? For example, it would be very interesting to see how the number of laws over time has changed, how many laws there ...
2
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1answer
354 views

Why is the cost of food stamps 10 times higher than in 1938 in real dollars?

This article talked about the historic reasons why the food stamp program is part of the Farm Bill. It had an interesting statistic within it: FDR also supported creation of the first Food Stamp ...
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1answer
472 views

How is an employed person defined for OECD countries?

Employment rates are usually a measure of employed persons divided by the working age population. The working age population seems like a simple definition which is hard to misinterpret. However, ...