I have two theories in place: ## 1) Embarrassment One candidate is controversial / unpopular. Respondents are unlikely to admit to a surveyor about their true preference. At a voting station, there is privacy and true preference will take place. ## 2) Determination Supporters of the side that is slightly behind are more motivated to turnout and vote. As opposed to the leading side that may grow overconfident. ---- I'm not a doctor, not a lawyer, not an investment advisors, just some theories, common sense and critical thinking. **EDIT / UPDATE:** I wrote about two matters that I've discussed with my wife. No sources, no references, just pure intentions and sharing our experiences. It could be improved... I could spent endless research, references, sources... I'm at the source, one of my domains is "mostly doing" because I've learnt that talking about stuff doesn't move the needle.