49

The spin on Navalny For the question of why Navalny is labeled by western media as Putin's main opposition rival is an issue of framing. If you look at the two candidates who were ahead of Navalny last he was included in opinion polls on the link you provided - Zyuganov (now Grudinin) and Zhirinovsky, members of the Communist party and the populist-...


17

When reading about this, I cannot help but remember the party-state system within communist states. While currently there are six parties within the Russian Duma making Russia a multi-party system, United Russia clearly dominates the Russian politics. According to this article, Russian authorities recognize the de facto one party system: Dmitry Medvedev ...


17

From what I gather (mostly by observing Russian internet trolls, mind you, and by being a Russian internet troll myself), the main reasons are: Putin supporters claim very high, nearly unanimous level of, well, support for Putin. Those "minus two percent" may look insignificant enough, but keep in mind that Navalny's supporters are probably the most ...


15

Navalny is not as unknown in Russia as those polls may suggest. When he started his political career, he was gradually gaining popularity to the point he scored 27% in Moscow mayoral elections, 2013. Presumably, around this time Russian political establishment realized they are seeing a real competition emerging: criminal charges against Navalny, largely ...


13

Your confusion comes from the idea that Navalny is posting himself on his own phone that he somehow has in prison. In fact, his social media account is being run by his lawyers or supporters using messages passed by Navalny through his lawyers, who are allowed to visit him in prison. This is reported in most articles about his messages. For example The New ...


9

I'm not certain whether this question was intended to be argumentative, or merely ended up that way by misfortune, but either way it demands a somewhat argumentative answer. Apologies in advance... So, the answer to this question is precisely the same as the answer to the question: "Why should we raise a fuss if a neighbor murders his housemates?" ...


7

You may be over-relying on published polling numbers. It certainly seems Putin isn't relying on them as much as you are. I think you've correctly identified that he seems to see something you aren't seeing by looking at the polls. Gary Kasparov, chess grandmaster and founder of opposition group United Civil Front*, when asked about polling in Russia, has ...


6

What are the implications of the poisoning of Alexey Navalny with respect to the proliferation and use of banned chemical weapons? Implications emboldened below. Why Putin deliberately uses Novichok to poison his enemies, even though it often fails to kill them Russian President Vladimir Putin continues to use the infamous Novichok nerve agent to poison ...


5

According to a Swedish news release “I can confirm that we at FOI in Umeå have conducted an analysis on behalf of our German partners,” says Dr Åsa Scott, Head of the CBRN Protection and Security Division. Sampling, transport and analysis have been carried out under a strict chain of custody, following procedures in accordance with FOI’s status as an ...


4

Navalny has been barred from standing in the election due to a conviction on corruption charges, and because of his outstanding criminal record by Russian law this means he cannot run for president. After his first trial for these corruption charges the European Court of Human Rights ruled that his trial was unfair and demanded a retrial, following which ...


4

Here's my answer, but it's really just a collection of thoughts for someone with more knowledge to build on: What action, if any, will the signatories take The brazen way with which these agents have been deployed demonstrates the impotence of the OPCW. It is possible that it will be restructured, or superseded. Direct interference is unlikely, not least ...


4

I am not familiar with this person, nor the matter, but from a quick web search, I found one of the reasons for the rescission of his status was based on his past Nationalistic statements and support for that cause. The Past In one widely circulated video, Navalny compares Chechen rebels to "cockroaches" and suggests that a pistol is the best way ...


3

Here is an overview about the process the EU uses for sanctions. But keep in mind that sovereign states are not required to allow trade with each other (unless they signed treaties to that effect, and in theory they could withdraw from treaties). So it comes down to the political will of the EU, and the EU is the union of sovereign states. Some are more ...


2

A lot of this is speculation. For example very few people in the world know if Putin actually ordered Alexey Navalny poisoned (exactly one person knows for sure, if he didn't). If we assume that Putin actually did order the poisoning, then this article discusses the context. Points made: This isn't the first time a Russian dissident has been allegedly ...


1

However in this instance the poisoning happened on Russian territory to a Russian citizen with no ties to foreign countries, so its unclear why the international community expressed a similar level of dissatisfaction. It remains to be seen whether the level of dissatisfaction with the Navalny poisoning is indeed similar to the level with the Skripal ...


1

This was touched on in an article by AP: Navalny manages widely popular YouTube accounts. (Conspicuously however, the article does not go into detail about how popular those accounts are within Russia) Navalny has been campaigning with the aim not to get elected himself, but rather to defeat United Russia. He has done this by promoting candidates who are ...


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