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2

It simply means is that the party (House Democrats in this case) is split into two (or more) factions -- one is expected to vote for the $1 trillion infratructure bill, the other is not (they're not opposed to the bill in principle, they just want to wait for the Senate Democrats to pass the more progressive $3.5 trillion bill by reconciliation). Since the ...


3

What does AP mean by a "party split"? AP is using the term to talk about a divide in a party that prevents the party from passing legislation. In this case, "Some 50 members of the Congressional Progressive Caucus plan to vote against the bipartisan measure." Centrist want the measure to pass. The measure is a "$1 trillion public ...


12

The data for this question, and many you ask, is readily available from the MIT Election Lab, specifically here I used the "U.S. President 1976-2020" dataset. The correlation between the figures you ask is r=-.08, p=.6. If you remove Utah, which had a successful third party candidate in Evan McMullin in 2016 (receiving 21.5% of the vote), the ...


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