108

No such guarantee would be meaningful if the US administration and congress change their opinion. Whatever they write in law or sign, they can undo -- if not legally then in practice. The US had ratified a treaty with Panama about who had control over which part of the Canal zone, yet they deposed Noriega. The US had given security guarantees to Ukraine ...


71

For many countries, the decision to allow visa free travel is based on the likelihood of abuse of the immigration system. In the case of Mauritius, the judgement is that Mauritian citizens do not represent a significant risk of overstaying. Mauritius has a stable democratic government and a successful economy, so Mauritian citizens are happy to return home. ...


45

The U.S. is likely to become less involved in the Middle East and Asia. Japan will need to secure oil supplies. Peter Zeihan has given many speeches over the last decade about how demographics and fracking affect geopolitics. Many of these speeches are on YouTube. In these speeches, he argues: The U.S. established a world order in 1945. The U.S. paid ...


43

There are multiple reasons, both tactical and strategic. The main ones are: Geopolitics. Basically, Russia has no natural defensive perimeter of its core. Thus, its permanent strategy is to surround itself with satellite states which provide defense in depth and natural defensive perimeters of their own. This is elaborated extensively on in Statfor ...


30

I would summarize it the following way. Basically, Prometheism. Prometheism is an anti-Russian ideology invented in Poland during the 1910s and whose aim was the disintegration of the Russian Empire and, later, the Soviet Union. The Poles aimed to help any separatist movements inside Russia and to support anti-Russian attitude among Russian neighbours. ...


30

The reasons to contest land vary greatly, and one or more can be applicable in any given situation. Some land has strategic value. High ground, forward staging area, airplane landing ground, fleet base/port. Examples include Gibraltar, or Golan Heights, or Philippines. Falkand Islands were Royal Navy base in WWI and WWII. Crimea has Sevastopol. This gets ...


24

The point of sanctions isn't necessarily, or always, "to prevent" the things the sanctions are based on. More often than not, they can serve at least three other purposes: They are a necessary step to show that you're trying to resolve the situation peacefully. This way, if a military intervention happens later, the opponents (domestic or international) ...


23

The premise of this question is questionable. The Mauritian passport is not especially strong. The Wikipedia article quoted in the question is citing the Henley and Partners Visa Restrictions Index 2017 (PDF). While this is a reputable source, it uses consecutive numbers for rankings, even if many countries tied at previous ranking levels. It does indeed ...


22

The major misconception here is that, from the information I've been able to gather, the US was never formally at war with North Korea. It and the United Nations intervened in the Korean War on South Korea's behalf, to prevent the North from wiping it off the map. There is therefore no need for the US to sign a peace treaty with North Korea because a state ...


21

There were many preexisting diverging views on international law. The open disagreements about e.g. the NATO intervention in Kosovo don't constitute the main problem, because in such a case the disagreement is made explicit, everyone knows what the differing views are, problems can then be prevented. The main issue are the many cases where Russia believes ...


20

The American electorate is extremely divided over ideological lines at the moment. During the Cold War there were still divisions, but we could generally all agree that Americans were always better to deal with than the Soviets. Now that is not the case. A substantial portion of the President's base aren't at all upset (in some instances even gleeful) that ...


19

The most accurate answer would be: they do, despite they are not obliged to. The text of Budapest Memorandum says: The Russian Federation, the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland and the United States of America reaffirm their commitment to seek immediate United Nations Security Council action to provide assistance to Ukraine, as a ...


18

Why didn't the USA (west) take measures to stop China from became the new superpower while they can? Because, as your own subsequent question points out, China is (or, at least, in 1950s, was) a more acceptable superpower, unlike Russia; or for that matter a lot further from becoming a superpower, acceptable or not. Why is the US so aggressive against ...


18

I found this comment to be insightful But the House of Saud always had an almost literal killer counterargument, that they were probably better than any regime that would replace them. Often the world of foreign policy gives you no good options, just lots of variously bad ones. Accepting the Saudis’ help where they offered, and trying to gently nudge them ...


17

This fakeroversy was popularized most recently by a fictional organization, the Organization of Cartographers for Social Equality in the West Wing. Yes, it is clear that the prevalence of Mercator projections is directly related to the strength of European colonial tendencies. Ships were the dominant form of transportation at the time, and Mercator ...


17

Yes, such guarantees are called Mutually Assured Destruction. As long as a country can reasonably presume that an attack on foreign territory will result in severe annihilation of their own civilian population, they will do everything in their power to prevent such a conflict. As an example - the US never went into a direct war against the USSR and is ...


16

Sure. Everyone gets a perspective, so if, to you, that constitutes political censorship, then I can see how that argument gets made. But the flip side of that argument is true also. If the majority of those 200,000 accounts were bots meant to stifle speech from their political opponents, then the argument can be made that Twitter is trying to do something ...


15

Summary: The claims Anixx makes about this film presents a completely false version of the events of the colour-revolutions. This version of events is also completely different from the version of events presented by the French documentary. I've looked at some of the detailed claims you make based on the Russian version. It shows US intelligence officer'...


15

Why do you think they can or ever could? China has four times more population, vast natural resources, venerable ancient culture, and the Chinese are in no way less intelligent, resourceful or determined than Americans. The only way to stop China from realizing its human potential is to constantly create havoc and misery for them, preventing them from ...


15

Abe visiting Iran is not necessarily a sign that Japan is working against the United States. For all we know, the Donald Trump administration asked Abe to negotiate with Iran on their behalf. Think Progress: Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s visit to Iran on Wednesday marks the first time a leader from Japan has gone to Iran since the 1979 ...


14

First, all major geopolitical players plan for different possible scenarios. There would be nothing strange or aggressive in itself if Russia had plans to invade and support uprisings in Donbass and Crimea. I recall hearing about the US having plans for invasion of my own country (Sweden), you can't just stand there without a plan if an unlikely series of ...


13

As mentioned in comments, that is South Ossetia. Below is an image from Wikipedia of a map: Basically, South Ossetia declared independence from the Georgian Soviet Socialist Republic (known as Georgia today) in 1991. Currently, only 4 UN member states recognise South Ossetia, namely Russia, Nicaragua, Venezuela and Nauru.


13

This is a pretty broad question. If we ask more pointedly why Obama didn't intervene more in Ukraine... He told us that himself. As Jeffrey Goldberg, The Atlantic’s editor in chief, wrote in the Obama Doctrine: “Obama’s theory here is simple: Ukraine is a core Russian interest but not an American one, so Russia will always be able to maintain escalatory ...


12

No, it would not be viable. However, it isn't a stupid question. Some older plans, like the Allon Plan proposed shortly after the Six Day War, involved Jordan and Egypt annexing parts of the West Bank and Gaza, and this wikipedia article indicates that there are some supporters for a "Three-State Solution". However, such a solution is not feasible. Every ...


12

This appear to be highly unlikely for several reasons: The Black Sea is currently ice-free. If any NATO actions (NATO being a military and not a political organization) were to take place they could easily occur now as there little to prevent sea or land resupply of any military. If the questioner means the European Union, a political body, instead of NATO, ...


12

Any answer will be a bit speculative, because causation is very hard to prove. Changes in Iran's security and foreign policy since Trump repealed the nuclear deal include the following points: Iran restarted its nuclear military program, breaching a cap set in the nuclear Deal for the first time in July 2019 when it enriched uranium to 4.5%. Tensions ...


11

Russia intervened to make sure that Crimea would not become an integral part of an Ukraine that is firmly in the Western camp (possibly even part of NATO). They acted quite fast to preempt any possibility of provocations in Crimea leading to violence by Russian forces against civilians that would ultimately force Russia out of Crimea. Since Yanukovich's ...


11

As PointlessSpike indicated in a comment, there isn't much "legal" basis for separatism. In international law, the only principle that can be used is the Self Determination Right, which is recognised by the United Nations. In particular, that right states that nations based on respect for the principle of equal rights and fair equality of opportunity have ...


11

This article suggests multiple reasons behind US opposition of Nord Stream 2 project: Europe's energy independence Ukraine loss as less gas would transit it monitoring technology that could also be used for espionage Countering America’s Adversaries Through Sanctions Act: a clause requiring the administration to “prioritize the export of United States ...


11

The other answer seems to miss an important historical context here, also described on Wikipedia: The organization was founded to facilitate shared macroeconomic initiatives by its members in response to the collapse of the exchange rate 1971, during the time of the Nixon shock, the 1970s energy crisis and the ensuing recession. The G6 was formed in 1975 ...


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