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The charisma of a leader is important, but just subjective and insufficient to determine his success. If you consider the American electorate as a Gustave Lebon’s type of crowd, then, Trump’s personality would be enough... However, there are objective socio-economic conditions that may actually determine his popularity with a large group of the electorate (...


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The 2020 Election Was Not Depolarizing I disagree with your premise. The 2020 election was not a depolarizing election. Both 2016 and 2020 were incredibly polarized elections relative to prior years and any distinction between 2016 and 2020 is more or less trivial and misses the forest for the trees. While there were slight tweaks to the outcomes in some ...


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There is no one magic thing that caused 2016 to swing the way it did. There are a lot of smaller effects that added up to a Trump win. Trump out campaigned Hilary, and had a massive presence in those states especially. Trump was anti-establishment, and Hilary was about the most establishment candidate possible. Anti-establishment was in vogue at the time. ...


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Third-party primaries are generally funded by the parties themselves, as is the caucus and convention process prior to, or in lieu of, a primary, in the two major political parties. Typically, however, the third-party nomination process is also more of a caucus and convention process than it is a state run political primary process. Often, third-parties don'...


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You have missed a very important point here, which is that both the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections were less about politics than about the personalities of the candidates. In 2016, you had many voters who were unwilling to vote for a woman, and one without much in the way of credentials or personal appeal. Against her, you have someone with a familiar ...


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