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73 votes
Accepted

What are the arguments for California’s nonpartisan blanket (jungle) primaries?

It would seem a reasonable assumption that the Democratic-controlled California legislature would have implemented this system in order to help elect more Democrats. There are few things more ...
Winston Ewert's user avatar
66 votes
Accepted

Why do primaries contestants (usually) announce that they are "suspending" their campaign when they exit it?

There are a couple of reasons why candidates do this. Firstly, because the Federal Election Commission only considers a campaign as "closed down" for good after a winding down process is complete; ...
CDJB's user avatar
  • 108k
53 votes
Accepted

What benefit is there to pulling out of the presidential race before Super Tuesday?

At least in the case of Pete Buttigieg, his recent statements seem to make pretty clear that he's stopped to provide room for Biden to overtake Sanders. CNN coverage "When I ran for president we ...
Jontia's user avatar
  • 24.8k
47 votes
Accepted

How did Alaska "change its primary system recently" and was it "to dilute the possibility of a conservative or Trump-inspired challenger"?

Alaska Ballot Measure 2 made two big changes to elections, both of which are expected to reduce the power of the main parties: Party-run primary elections are replaced with non-partisan primary ...
divibisan's user avatar
  • 25.9k
44 votes
Accepted

Why are candidates expected to win their home state?

In their article, Localism in Presidential Elections: The Home State Advantage [1] published in the American Journal of Political Science, Lewis-Beck & Rice (1983) investigate the home state ...
CDJB's user avatar
  • 108k
41 votes

What benefit is there to pulling out of the presidential race before Super Tuesday?

Most of the answers are good ones, but they fail to acknowledge the political/tactical reason for dropping out BEFORE Super Tuesday. That reason? The 15% threshold. Democratic primary rules ...
Carduus's user avatar
  • 17.3k
39 votes

Why do betting odds give Michael Bloomberg 10% chance of winning the Democratic nomination?

The important thing to understand is that betting odds are not a prediction of an outcome. They are a simply a balancing act that aims to ensure the bookmaker will make a profit - no matter what the ...
Bilkokuya's user avatar
  • 515
37 votes
Accepted

Has a sitting US president ever been denied their party's nomination for a second term?

In terms of not achieving the nomination of their party due to losing the primary contests directly, no. However, there have been times when the incumbent president seeking re-election has pulled out ...
CDJB's user avatar
  • 108k
30 votes
Accepted

In the US, why does the government have the right to regulate how political parties hold their primaries?

A substantial factor were white primaries during the defining civil right struggles and the case law that followed from that. From a law paper on the topic "Developments in the State Regulation ...
got trolled too much this week's user avatar
28 votes

Given there is no primary on the democratic side, why isn't there a push to get Democrat voters to vote Trump out in the primary?

Joe W's answer is a good frame challenge that refutes the question's premise (i.e. that the Democrats aren't holding primaries), but I'd like to focus on the question itself: why hasn't there been a ...
F1Krazy's user avatar
  • 3,694
26 votes
Accepted

What would happen if every state had a law requiring it hold the nations first primary?

For the purposes of this answer I’ll only look at the rules for the democratic party (mostly because they were easier to find). In short, the DNC will not recognize any primary or caucus held before ...
Magnus Jørgensen's user avatar
24 votes

Why are candidates expected to win their home state?

I'd like to add an additional possible factor to CDJB's excellent answer. Assuming that the candidate actually holds (or held) office in their home state (such as being a current or former ...
Drubbels's user avatar
  • 1,058
23 votes
Accepted

What happens in a brokered convention? Why is the prospect of one seen as a threat to Sanders' presidential hopes?

First things first. In the U.S., each party writes its own rules for nominating candidates (and each state writes its own rules for how it's elections are run). This makes for a bizarre primary system ...
hszmv's user avatar
  • 16.1k
22 votes

What are the arguments for California’s nonpartisan blanket (jungle) primaries?

Why nonpartisan blanket primaries The seats where the Republicans do not have at least one candidate are generally the seats where the Republicans weren't going to win. Taking the example from the ...
Brythan's user avatar
  • 89.8k
22 votes

Why do betting odds give Michael Bloomberg 10% chance of winning the Democratic nomination?

Betting markets are not necessarily more accurate than polls. For example, during the Brexit referendum: The political betting markets were far less equivocal, showing a wide lead for remain. In the ...
got trolled too much this week's user avatar
22 votes
Accepted

Why don't presidential candidates announce their running mates before achieving their party's nomination?

It's an interesting question you're raising. In many cases, the V.P. candidate gets chosen from among the other competitors for the party's nomination of a candidate for President who most helped the ...
sanitycheck's user avatar
20 votes

What benefit is there to pulling out of the presidential race before Super Tuesday?

In addition to wanting to consolidate the "moderate" field, there is the fact that this is also a political favor to the rest of the field that may pay dividends later. Both Biden and Sanders will ...
Machavity's user avatar
  • 50.1k
19 votes

Has a sitting US president ever been denied their party's nomination for a second term?

No incumbent president has lost his primary race, but you have to keep in mind that primaries are a 20th century invention basically. The 1976 campaign season was the year in which primaries ...
got trolled too much this week's user avatar
17 votes
Accepted

Why is winning the NYC Democratic mayoral primary currently widely seen as tantamount to election?

The real question is why were there Republican mayors at all? In the last century, exactly four men have been elected Mayor of New York City as a Republican. It's worth noting that party politics in ...
Don Hosek's user avatar
  • 4,570
16 votes
Accepted

Why is the distinction between primary and caucus significant?

Background: In the United States, the nominees of the two major parties are determined in a series of state by state primaries or caucuses starting in January and spanning about six months, at which ...
ohwilleke's user avatar
  • 82.6k
14 votes

Could a Party Choose Not to Nominate an Incumbent?

Absolutely, it happens all the time. An incumbent losing to a challenger in their own party's primary election is sometimes called "getting primaried". Search for "getting primaried" or "primaried ...
BradC's user avatar
  • 6,542
14 votes

Why do betting odds give Michael Bloomberg 10% chance of winning the Democratic nomination?

What you are seeing are probabilities implied by people placing bets on a particular result, and reflects how much people who place bets expect to receive if they win. On BetFair exchange, if you ...
Joe C's user avatar
  • 28k
12 votes

Who voted for Arthur J. Jones the neo-Nazi Republican candidate for Illinois's 3rd congressional district?

Everyone Or to be more accurate, everyone who voted, as your own link suggests, Mr Jones was the ONLY candidate in the Republican primary. This Article from the New York Times may put it in more ...
SleepingGod's user avatar
  • 8,457
12 votes

What benefit is there to pulling out of the presidential race before Super Tuesday?

The benefit of dropping out is that senators don't want to be seen losing their home states. It is seen as very humiliating. However, that is not the full story. Both Amy Klobuchar and Elizabeth ...
Gaslight Deceive Subvert's user avatar
12 votes

How are Presidential candidates, who run for the party ticket in Primaries and Caucuses, shortlisted?

It varies from State to State, and even within a State, the rules might be different for different parties. Generally candidates will either petition (collect signatures), pay a filing fee, or be ...
James K's user avatar
  • 122k
12 votes

Given there is no primary on the democratic side, why isn't there a push to get Democrat voters to vote Trump out in the primary?

Question: Given there is no primary on the democratic side, there isn't there a push to get Democrat voters to vote Trump out in the primary? Short Answer Because the Democrats like their chances ...
JMS's user avatar
  • 4,959
12 votes

Why did Nikki Haley continue in the race for Republican nomination for so long?

She's said she's catering to Americans in general, since polls repeatedly show that most Americans are dismayed at the prospect of another Biden vs. Trump matchup. Nikki Haley has suggested a “...
Allure's user avatar
  • 35.7k
11 votes

How do parties really choose candidates in the US?

U.S. elections are complex, especially presidential ones, which have several layers of indirection. Because of the complexity of the question, I'm going to focus on the case of presidential elections. ...
sumelic's user avatar
  • 1,478

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