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36 votes

How does the June 2024 Ukraine peace summit hope to achieve peace, if Russia is not invited?

For peace (or at least absence of open war) it is not necessary for parties to agree. It is only necessary that they no longer see war as worthwhile. One item that might very well be discussed at a ...
Guran's user avatar
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26 votes

How does the June 2024 Ukraine peace summit hope to achieve peace, if Russia is not invited?

The summit is an attempt to show solidarity and support of Ukraine. Currently, there are no terms Ukraine and Russia would both accept. They aren't even close. Russia would rather fight than leave ...
bharring's user avatar
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25 votes

Why is there increased fear of Russia's attack against Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia after the invasion of Ukraine started?

There were concerns that Russia might attack. You mention the "full-scale" Russian invasion of 2022. Consider the decisions on the 2016 NATO summit in response to initial Russian invasion. ...
o.m.'s user avatar
  • 111k
21 votes

Why is there increased fear of Russia's attack against Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia after the invasion of Ukraine started?

The fear is based on receiving more objective evidence that Russian leadership desires to expand its influence to more closely match the geographic reach previous Soviet and Russian empires. While ...
cjs's user avatar
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18 votes
Accepted

Why is there increased fear of Russia's attack against Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia after the invasion of Ukraine started?

This part of your question is wrong: "why was there no such fear before the full-scale invasion of Ukraine?" For especially Estonia then the situation has been feared long before the ...
Thomas Koelle's user avatar
17 votes

Has there ever been arms supply with restrictions attached prior to the current war in Ukraine?

As a legal technicality ever since the Leahy Law was passed in 1999, all foreign arms supplies by the US come with the stipulation that they will not be used to violate human rights. But the Leahy law ...
Schmerel's user avatar
  • 2,640
15 votes

Why has Russia made surprisingly little use of its Air Force in the Russo-Ukrainian war?

We can't really have a definitive answer to this until Putin and Shoigu publish their memoirs, or better--memos of their internal discussions, which however I don't think I'll live long enough to see ...
got trolled too much this week's user avatar
11 votes
Accepted

Why has Russia made surprisingly little use of its Air Force in the Russo-Ukrainian war?

British intelligence has argued that this is "due to the danger of a strike against Russian airfields and the "continued high threat" of Ukrainian air defenses[.]" See also here, ...
Timur Shtatland's user avatar
8 votes

Why is Europe (at least France and the UK) less dovish than the US administration on Ukraine striking Russian oil refineries?

Joe Biden currently faces a heavy re-election battle this year, and petrol prices are already on the rise. And nothing terrifies a sitting American president more than a surge in pump prices during an ...
Stančikas's user avatar
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8 votes

How does the June 2024 Ukraine peace summit hope to achieve peace, if Russia is not invited?

Ukraine has refrained from rejecting China’s efforts to assert itself as would-be peacemaker in Russia’s war against that country. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy welcomed some elements of the ...
Sayaman's user avatar
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8 votes
Accepted

How does the June 2024 Ukraine peace summit hope to achieve peace, if Russia is not invited?

The Swiss Federal Department of Foreign Affairs publishes a website about this summit, whose Q/A section writes: What led to Switzerland hosting the Summit on Peace in Ukraine? During President ...
meriton's user avatar
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8 votes

Are there notable Western politicians who endorse the idea that Ukraine can last until Russia runs out of tanks?

The linked article seens to have a singular aim: All Johnson has to do is bring to a vote an overwhelmingly popular bill that would send $60 billion in aid to Ukraine. Conversely, all of the ...
alamar's user avatar
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6 votes

Has there ever been arms supply with restrictions attached prior to the current war in Ukraine?

It seems rather common. For example, directly related to the war in Ukraine but due to prior agreements, some countries that were willing to send weapons to Ukraine found themselves waiting for ...
SJuan76's user avatar
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5 votes

How does the June 2024 Ukraine peace summit hope to achieve peace, if Russia is not invited?

Providing an international stage to the Ukrainian President is also a public way of showing the Ukrainian people (and the world) how much the west supports them. Without the backing of the west, ...
sfxedit's user avatar
  • 9,497
5 votes

Why has Russia made surprisingly little use of its Air Force in the Russo-Ukrainian war?

However, Russian aircraft have largely adjusted by avoiding the areas where Ukraine’s air defenses — many of which have been supplied by the West — are expected to engage them. Russian warplanes, ...
Sayaman's user avatar
  • 43.8k
5 votes

Why has Russia made surprisingly little use of its Air Force in the Russo-Ukrainian war?

Frame challenge: You could ask this question in the past tense, but it seems to me that its assumptions are no longer true. Russian Airspace Force made heavy use of FAB bombings during the winter ...
alamar's user avatar
  • 17.4k
5 votes

Why is there increased fear of Russia's attack against Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia after the invasion of Ukraine started?

First, most Western European armed forces are in a grave state of unreadiness and have limited abilities. Even significant forces such as Germany, France, and Great Britain talk big, and as their ...
Sayaman's user avatar
  • 43.8k
4 votes

Have any western governments asked Ukraine to commit to a specific deadline where the elections would have to be held anyway?

[Un]surprisingly, perhaps... WaPo reported last fall: Despite Russia’s war in Ukraine and a nationwide state of martial law, some Western politicians are pushing the government in Kyiv to hold ...
got trolled too much this week's user avatar
4 votes

Why does the USA ask NATO partners to donate Patriot missile systems to Ukraine and not donate them itself?

In the current package (May, 2024) there are missiles to resupply the existing Patriot batteries. But, as asked, no new standalone battery: The Pentagon says it will "rush" Patriot air ...
Italian Philosophers 4 Monica's user avatar
4 votes
Accepted

Are there notable Western politicians who endorse the idea that Ukraine can last until Russia runs out of tanks?

I think that the real argument, widely advanced, is that Ukraine can hold out until the war ends. This doesn't necessarily require every last Russian tank or artillery battery to be destroyed, any ...
ohwilleke's user avatar
  • 82.6k
4 votes

Is the US acknowledging that it's losing some leverage over Ukraine by cutting off aid?

Let's start with some facts: Ukraine needs external aid to win (or not lose) the war. Should be obvious. They're currently struggling while US aid is held up. The Europeans are unable / unwilling to ...
Allure's user avatar
  • 35.7k
3 votes

How can a military exercise on the Black Sea happen with a closed Bosporus?

They are probably using boats from Romania, Bulgaria, Turkey and Georgia. There are a couple of errors in your assumptions. Turkey has closed the Bosphorus to warships of the belligerents, except for ...
James K's user avatar
  • 122k
2 votes

Why is there increased fear of Russia's attack against Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia after the invasion of Ukraine started?

There has been an increased fear of Russia's attack against Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia, other neighboring countries, such as Poland, and other non-neighboring countries, such as the US, UK and France, ...
Timur Shtatland's user avatar
2 votes

Is the US acknowledging that it's losing some leverage over Ukraine by cutting off aid?

There's this quote from Ukrainian FM Kuleba doing the rounds on social media, essentially talking about a quid-pro-quo: more Patriots in exchange for less attacks on Russian oil infrastructure (which ...
ohwilleke's user avatar
  • 82.6k
1 vote

Is the US acknowledging that it's losing some leverage over Ukraine by cutting off aid?

From the press sources I observe (New York Times, The Guardian, Financial Times, Meduza, Novaya Gazeta EU) I am under impression that USA representatives are currently not making such statements. ...
Stančikas's user avatar
  • 22.6k
1 vote

Are there notable Western politicians who endorse the idea that Ukraine can last until Russia runs out of tanks?

In accordance with Reuters, International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) is saying this. It is a global think tank with a focus on international security, political risk, and military conflict....
Stančikas's user avatar
  • 22.6k
1 vote

Why is Europe (at least France and the UK) less dovish than the US administration on Ukraine striking Russian oil refineries?

This question is a good example of "politics within politics" playing out between the superpowers, fighting to protect their self-interests. (Superpowers are countries that can extend their ...
sfxedit's user avatar
  • 9,497
1 vote

How can a military exercise on the Black Sea happen with a closed Bosporus?

It seems that international naval presence from countries not bordering the Black Sea is actually reduced this year (and probably since 2022). [And even that of Turkey itself.] For example, in the ...
got trolled too much this week's user avatar

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