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In Policy, You Have To Choose The Error You're Going To Commit
In Logic, there are recognized two types of error:
Type I errors - The False Positive - is when you think something meets criteria that it does not.
Type II errors - The False Negative - is when you think something that meets the criteria, fails them.
No matter how well you think you've ...
68
Regardless of the pros and cons of Trump leaving the agreement for, valid or not, issues with JCPOA, this is eroding international trust in the US's capacity to agree to something and then to stick to that agreement.
i.e. governments which sign an agreement * with the US are not assured that the US will stick to its end of the bargain, thus making it less ...
answered Jul 28 at 2:37
Italian Philosophers 4 Monica
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(This is mostly a repost of my answer to the now deleted question.)
Iranian President Rouhani is a moderate (by Iranian standards) who took a risk signing the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) with the US, the EU, and others. Let's look at some background on the deal first:
From the Iranian standpoint, the deal made sense because it provided ...
37
Just as putting a tax on wealth means we first must measure it, basing stimulus payments on assets would also mean the same. The US federal government has extensive mechanisms for tracking income, employment status, and number of dependents. The federal government has few mechanisms with regard to tracking wealth; there is no wealth tax in the US.
There's no ...
30
The goal is to keep the existing cash flows for necessities running, and not shake up the market otherwise, basically putting the economy on pause because it would react in a chaotic way to the disturbance caused by the pandemic.
Generally, assets will be tied up in some non-liquid form like a house, and forcing a sale, especially on short notice, would mean ...
28
As of writing this, Donald J. Trump has been elected President of the United States once and has served a total of four years. He has not held the office as President or Acting President after another person was elected. Thus, according to the 22nd Amendment which reads (Section 1, inapplicable parts left out):
No person shall be elected to the office of ...
24
This claim doesn't appear to have come about as some sort of misinterpretation of a constitutional process or other legislative pathway, but as a predicted response to the publication of information he claims to possess which will supposedly make President Biden & Vice President Harris' positions untenable.
Lindell first made his August 13th prediction ...
21
The Act's constitutionality was challenged in 1947 in United Public Workers v. Mitchell, and again in 1973 in United States Civil Service Commission v. National Association of Letter Carriers. In both cases, the Supreme Court decided that although the restrictions imposed by the Act on the free speech of federal employees infringe on their first amendment ...
20
In addition to the answer from Italian Philosophers 4 Monica, the US entered a wide, international agreement. According to most experts, Iran largely stuck to their side of the deal until the US left. The deal wasn't all that ex-President Trump might have hoped for, but it was the international framework.
Then the US left and tried to make other countries go ...
19
Perhaps surprisingly there is no bar on felons running for President, several have (though none have won). It seems likely that even an incarcerated person can be elected President. However there is one judicial act that would prevent a Trump presidency.
He could be convicted of a capital crime and executed. The USA and several of the states still have ...
15
Whether it's justified or not is not really a question that can be answered objectively, but it's impossible for Speaker Pelosi to force Republicans to participate if they don't want to.
Initially, Congressional Democrats pushed to create an independent, bipartisan commission (modeled on the 9/11 Commission) to investigate. Such a commission would have been ...
15
When one party boycotts the panel - yes.
In the case of this particular commission, the minority party decided that they didn't want to advance any candidates at all. This is tacit permission for the commission to be populated according to the majority party's preferences.
Legislative bodies operate via negotiation, but if any part of the body decides to opt ...
14
There are several reasons that have been mentioned individually but they all tie together in the end.
Assets may not have liquidity.
What I mean by this is you may have a decent amount of money in assets such as your house, car, retirement funds and other such things. However none of those are readily available to be spent for day to day necessities. As an ...
14
Just so it's said, from the political science perspective Trump's actions were (as best anyone can tell) capricious and arbitrary. Trump didn't seem interested in whether the pact was working, what it might be accomplishing, what its greater goals might be, how much work went into it, or what Iran or our allies thought about it. He declared it 'bad' for ...
13
Because the Iran Nuclear Deal was a landmark act of diplomacy, the culmination of significant negotiation with one of the most politically-isolated nations in the world. It was applauded within Washington, D.C. by foreign-policy experts. The JPCOA wasn't a political issue; it was a success by several major counts.
To be certain, not every diplomat, think-...
12
Many (most?) cases the US Supreme Court hears are about what an act of Congress means. For instance, the 2020 case of Facebook v. Duguid was about whether Facebook's two-factor authentication violated the Telephone Consumer Protection Act of 1991's rules about autodialers. The law defines an "automatic telephone dialing system" as something that ...
9
Building of new public housing units has been banned in the US since 1999.
The Faircloth amendment was part of the Quality Housing and Work Responsibility Act of 1998, a Clinton-era response to growing public dissatisfaction with public housing. The provision curbed any increase in such units above 1999 levels.
Since then, the public housing supply has ...
8
Because the stimulus checks were intended to mitigate the lost income (and not assets) in the first place?
There are few dimensions of being rich or poor and for running your daily life it is the income what is important, not the assets.
What's more, a reasonable asset owner may (and is expected to) insure the important assets. Securing the income is harder.
...
8
The Supreme Court in the US (along with the court system in general) has two functions:
It interprets laws written by legislatures within specific cases, to settle disagreements about the meaning and scope of the law and ensure that the law is applied uniformly across cases
It interprets the US Constitution to ensure that laws written by legislatures fall ...
7
Article 21(1) of the Paris Climate Agreement specifies when it comes into force:
This Agreement shall enter into force on the thirtieth day after the date on
which at least 55 Parties to the Convention accounting in total for at least an
estimated 55 per cent of the total global greenhouse gas emissions have deposited
their ...
7
Yes - according to the California Secretary of State's website:
What does a recall ballot look like?
Recall ballots have two parts.
In the first part, voters would have the option to vote “yes” or “no”
to the question of whether to remove the Governor from office.
In the second part, the voter would have an opportunity to select a
replacement candidate. If ...
7
Since Senator Hagerty didn't name names, we can only guess, but my guess is that he is referring to the Health Misinformation Act of 2021 introduced a week earlier (22 July 2021) by Democratic Senators Amy Klobuchar and Ben Ray Luján. The proposed bill asks for an exclusion to the protections offered to websites by Section 230 of the Communications Act of ...
5
The list is, officially, eighteen positions long, illustrated here (with a typo).
It goes:
Vice President
Speaker of the House of Representatives
President Pro Tempore of the Senate
Secretary of State
Secretary of the Treasury
Secretary of Defense
Attorney General
Secretary of the Interior
Secretary of Agriculture
Secretary of Commerce
Secretary of Labor
...
5
Speaking from experience, trying to determine what assets a person has is a pretty long and arduous process (a great example would be the Medicaid look-back period, which does just that). I mean, we're talking about having to list all their property, bank accounts, investments, etc. To say that this is a major pain would be an understatement, not to mention ...
4
You seem to have missed an important point here. If you remember, at the time the stimulus bill passed, the stock market was in the midst of a steep decline, which some expected to become a major crash. The intent of the stimulus was not to be a welfare program (there were unemployment extensions and such for that). It was to get more money in circulation*...
4
William Walker and David Hammen have made good answers, but one element critical to the COVID-19 stimulus payments in the US that they leave out is the factor of time.
It was not simply a matter, in this particular case, of the administrative cost of applying an assets test. William is right that this is a factor in the design of policy generally, but it ...
4
As explained in another answer, most treaties do have a provision specifying that they become effective if “at least X parties” have deposited their instrument of ratification. Some require that all the parties ratify the treaty before it becomes effective.
Here the wording is significant, the actual condition is receiving a formal document at the ...
4
What do you mean by "judicial"?
If you mean "legal/Constitutional", then the answer is no. Jan lists the Constitutional requirements to become president, and Trump meets them all.
One could speculate that Mr Trump may be convicted of some crime. But (a) he has not been convicted of any crime, so that would be purely hypothetical, and in ...
4
The government is allowed to revoke the rights of citizens under certain circumstances. You have the right to bear arms in the US, but if you are found guilty of domestic abuse you can have your right to bear arms revoked. This happened to Charlie Sheen.
This is also one of the ways the death penalty is defended. Yes, you do have the right to live, but if ...
3
The article you refer to isn't a general discussion of strategy, it is completely about Sanders. I'd read it as a "hack-job"; it is intended to attack a particular candidate on a topic in which they (are perceived to be) weak.
This was written back in February 2020, with a large number of Democratic candidates still in the race. A big issue at the ...
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