New answers tagged

2

Question: Is it still theoretically possible for Kanye West to become the US president in 2021? While I don't see it happen realistically, I think it's possible in theory. To become US president a person needs to meet requirements set out in article II, section 1, clause 5 of the US constitution. Those are: be a natural-born U.S. citizen of the United ...


1

Were there any thaws in the post 2000 US-Russian relationship? Yes there were. Relations were relatively good when Putin was elected in 1999. From 2000-2010 the US and Russia continued to find ways to work together on a number of common issues. Security Terrorism - Putin is the First Foreign Leader to Call President Bush after 911 Crime Nuclear ...


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Realistically no. Theoretically given who is involved in the process, no. But I guess that is in the realm of “not realistically” still. So: Theoretically as in is there a mechanism by which this could happen? Yes. The same is true even if he is not on the ballot anywhere. The mechanism is three things happen: At least one elector votes for him. It would ...


0

They don't have a winner in the same way you do in sports, not yet anyway. That said, today with this form of political activism supported by apps from various politicians that function based on big data and award supporters with ranks for working to support a political campaign that has turned it into a game of sorts for many that started with Obama and his ...


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For Federal elections, all of them. Astronauts are covered under the same provisions as other US citizens residing outside the US. The Uniformed and Overseas Citizens Absentee Voting Act (UOCAVA), amended by the Military and Overseas Voter Empowerment Act (MOVE), requires that all states and territories allow US Citizens residing outside the US to register ...


3

What was asked: Why does having a college degree or not make a difference among white Americans? Stating the question that way seems to imply that having a degree changes who you are and what you believe. I don't think OP was implying that, although there are answers that have gone that direction. Instead I think what is being asked is: Out of all ...


-1

I served as national field director for the Bernie Write-In campaign in 2016 and he received (an all-time record) 575,000+ votes, good enough for sixth place in the general election. There is no reason he cannot receive Write-In votes in 2020, operating under something called the 'without his consent/against his will' Theory. This will, in fact, work just ...


4

Since ancient Greece, if not before. The Phynx in ancient Athens was a place dedicated to debate of issues based around the idea of isēgoría, that everyone should have the ability to speak on issues of the day. The whole point of debate is to convince people of your opinion, that there are perceived winners and losers in debates is perhaps the least ...


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Debates have always had winners. If the only purpose of debates were to describe the candidates' positions, they would just be campaign speeches. This is valuable, but it would be better served by a town hall style forum, where audience members ask questions directly. Debates give the candidates a chance to confront each other and demonstrate who is the ...


3

Well answer is that we do not know since all social "science" "research" will be thinly veiled "stupid people vote Republican". Why? Colleges staff are extremely left wing, especially in social "sciences". According to Fox News: A 2004 poll found that among sociology professors, 25 percent self-identified as "...


2

Question #1 What are the origins of the QAnon Conspiracy Theory? Answer I would recommend the Netflix documentary "Social Dilemma" as a good broad introduction on this topic. While it doesn't speak specifically about QAnon it discusses other Conspiracy Theories and Fake News scams (Pizzagate, Flat Earth Society) and the hand social media and ...


5

The main issue was that there was a disconnect between the media and what the polls said. Overall the polls predicted a close race within their margins of error. As it happened several key states flipped within that margin of error between poll numbers and actual results. Usually that margin of error is stipulated at 3% by most (decent) polls. The media ...


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The idea of a public debate between two big ideas goes way back. Consider the 1860 Oxford evolution debate. A number of people spoke, but the big guns were evolution supporter Thomas "Darwin's Bulldog" Huxley and Bishop Samual "Soapy Sam" Wilberforce. Today everyone remembers it for the soundbites (from Wikipedia): Wilberforce supposedly ...


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It depends on individual state laws. The National Association of Secretaries of State has produced this document (Oct '20) summarising the laws on electioneering activities within a certain distance of polling places in each state. The case linked in the question occurred in Virginia, and appears to fall under §24.2-604(A) of the Code of Virginia: During ...


4

Although an asterisk usually indicates that a poll is conducted by - or on behalf of - a partisan source, in the case of the RealClearPolitics tracker, this denotes that the polling includes figures for third-party candidates which have been truncated to provide the head-to-head two-party figure. For example, looking at the most recent Trump vs. Biden ...


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Since always. Wikipedia list winners for the first modern presidential debates between Kennedy and Nixon in the 1960s. Many observers have regarded Kennedy's win over Nixon in the first debate as a turning point in the election. Nixon regained his lost weight, wore television makeup, and appeared more forceful than in his initial appearance, winning the ...


3

The President denies science The current President denies science (on topics that matter in the current elections), and educated people may care more about that than less-educated people. This aspect applies specifically to the situation in the USA in 2020 and cannot be generalised to other times or places¹. The current American president (2017-2021) is ...


3

Legitimate advocacy is a slippery slope to bribery All politicans have support from some people and not others. It's not illegal for supporters to support you. In fact, courts have recognized that the First Amendment protects political donations, because giving money to a cause is a way of expressing an idea - I support this cause - and is in fact one of ...


1

The correlation between geography and political ideology in the U.S. at a state level predates the Revolutionary War that began in 1776. On the issues of the day, Southern states were conservative on the same categories of issues relative to Northern states in the first Congress (e.g. military spending) in 1789 as they are today. Support for the 19th ...


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There have been a lot of answers so far to this question, but most of them never refer to any evidence. One very simple hypothesis is the following. By the time people get to be 18, their personalities are fully crystallized. The college system in the US then acts to filter these people into two different broad categories, based on the intellectual and ...


4

At this stage in the 2016 cycle, the RealClearPolitics polling average gave Clinton a lead of 5.4 points over Trump nationally. This compares to a Biden lead of 7.9 today. You would be right to say that it is not a certainty that Biden would win. Modelling done by FiveThirtyEight currently give Biden an 87% chance of winning the election, and Trump a 12% ...


2

Why are right-wing politicians in the US typically pro-Israel? Short Answer Example of Politics making strange bedfellows. For Israel's part they welcome the support which has brought tangible political and economic benefits, and rather ignore the long term motivations of their benefactors. For the Evangelicals they believe supporting Israel brings them ...


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Because political spending has been ruled to be protected under the first amendment as free speech. Because of that unlimited spending is allowed. Citizens United versus FEC A 5-4 majority of the Supreme Court sided with Citizens United, ruling that corporations and other outside groups can spend unlimited money on elections.


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There are two issues here that are often lumped together, especially by observers from outside the US. Separating them makes the problem a bit clearer. The first issue is whether wearing a mask is something you should do. We're still getting mixed data about when and where masks are or aren't effective or necessary, so people naturally have different ...


2

the majority of non-college-degree white people support Trump's reelection, while the majority of college-degree white people don't This may be true but many college-educated Trump supporters simply won't admit to it because of the backlash they would receive. I suspect this may bias a lot of polls. Many lecturers in American colleges are radical Left, ...


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Question Is there any new evidence that mail-in balloting is “fraudulent in many cases”? Short Answer: No new evidence, no old evidence, Not in many cases, Not in any cases. Apologies for channelling my inner Dr Seuss. This is actually a decades long unsubstantiated assertion, by the Republican party. It is made in many elections and ...


2

Let's look at the fictitious jungle country of Wellsland. Wellsland has a total population of 5000. This population consists of two ethnicities, the Morlock and the Eloi. There are 1000 Morlock, and 4000 Eloi. There's also two political parties in Wellsland, the Meaties and the Fruities. The parties don't have equal support among the Morlock and the Eloi. ...


5

The United States is theorectically a meritocracy, where people rise to the level of their talents, and where there are no hereditary aristocracies, or permanent underclasses. In practice, however, American society is highly stratified, with less class mobility than Americans tend to assume. One of the most important markers of class status, particularly ...


0

The data from the 2016 wave of the Cooperative Congressional Election Study shows that the group which exhibited perhaps the most uncommon ticket-splitting behavior was non-white Republicans, with 31.1% voting for a split ticket, compared to 22.2% of white Republicans, 21.8% of non-white Democrats, and 23.6% of white Democrats. As one might expect, ...


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Having a college degree is a proxy for being smart. Pollsters cannot ask directly how capable someone is at critical thinking, rational analysis of arguments, understanding consequences of policy, or able to do simple fact checking on outright lies. However if you have a college degree it is more likely that you are at least capable of doing these things (...


3

From what I understand, electors gather in special meetings at the Statehouses of each relevant State. Is this correct? What is the actual physical process for the College being convened and voting? By law, the legislature of each state determines where the actual meeting takes place and the process for voting.1 A summary list of state laws is available ...


-7

A few relevant divisive points not made by other answers: Colleges wash away some of the institutional racism and sexism culturally infused into white Americans upbringings. Colleges additionally infuse students with just enough superficial modern economics to make the now confused student more susceptible to politicians who mostly abandon working class ...


3

The Electoral college does not meet in one place. However it meets separately in state capitols. This is because of travel distances in the early days of the US.


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Existing answers pretty much cover the ground well, but I will answer a specific assertion in your question that is not actually correct either: High school also teach similar topics as colleges, such as science, social science That is not correct, either qualitatively or quantitatively. One thing that most people discussing the topic usually fail to make ...


1

PACs and "Dark Money" are not mutually exclusive. This may be the source of some of your confusion. Per the Citizens United vs. FEC supreme court ruling, PACs do not have to divulge the source of their contributions in the same way that "normal" political campaigns do (as they were found to be "protected free speech"). Also, ...


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The experience of getting a degree exposes you to a wider circle of people. I'm white, male, and went to a school near where I grew up. The school and church had an intertwined population, and my social circle from the neighbourhood, school and church, all overlapped. There were a lot of people just like me, all white, all middle-lower class. Your friends-...


0

Both factions are convinced that the majority of right-minded people agree with them, if only they could be persuaded to turn out and vote! It's just that those pesky misguided fools who support the other lot seem to know their way to the polling station rather better! If MORE people voted WE'D win easily!


2

You have to understand that TSA is (at best) a bunch of civilians that took a training course one weekend. They're not the night-vision automatic-rifle wielding CPB narcotics teams tossing flash-bangs through windows or the USCG raiding a container ship in the middle of the ocean. One thing you have to consider here is that TSA is a fairly young agency under ...


3

One aspect that hasn't been mentioned is that the effectiveness of mask use isn't universal. In a densely populated urban environment, physically distancing yourself from other people is practically impossible. In a regional or rural environment, you might be able to walk, cycle or hang around in a park without coming within several meters / yards of anyone ...


1

Democrats outnumber Republicans, but conservatives outnumber liberals in the USA. How do we explain this? There are more conservative Democrats than liberal Republicans. https://news.gallup.com/poll/275792/remained-center-right-ideologically-2019.aspx


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The other answers detailed it well enough. In summary, the President is legally allowed to say pretty much whatever they want, however they want, as long as they don't abridge their detractor's First Amendment rights. However, the nuances of the President's interactions with others is solely a matter of opinion, destined to change throughout the ages. Those ...


2

Question: Did the connection of party and ideology lead to red states and blue states becoming a thing? Short Answer: Not exactly. I think Ideology has been broadly constant among the population on the major political threads, while the parties have changed. Ideology is traditionally the greatest determining factor in how folks vote. Not Party. There is ...


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Question: Four years after 2016 election, it hasn't changed that the majority of non-college-degree white people support Trump's reelection, while the majority of college-degree white people don't. Why does having a college degree or not make a difference among white Americans? Short Answer: There is a long standing tested and tried truism in American ...


10

ExxonMobil does in fact make political donations. Mostly, but not exclusively, to Republicans. They have a PAC for this purpose. They also make contributions directly rather than through the PAC. Here's their own web page describing the process. The only thing that would seem to be illegal is a direct exchange of money for favours. Indirect exchange of money ...


10

Immigration is a major cause for the difference in voting. The reason for this is that immigrants (in this case South/Central Americans) often have lower educational levels then in the USA. So a person who paves roads for a living has more chances of losing his job towards cheaper labor from immigrants then for example a doctor or a lawyer. But besides the ...


35

Yes, this would be illegal. If you're a public official, you can't offer an official act (like permits) in exchange for anything of value (like campaign donations). See 18 U.S. Code § 201. Bribery of public officials and witnesses: Whoever [...] being a public official, former public official, or person selected to be a public official, otherwise than as ...


5

Although there are many good answers already, I feel that one point is still missing. There have been some speech/threat/rumours/... (pick yours) to not recognise the result of the vote. Having a large turnout would reduce the validity of such claims (ok, there could still be discussions on cheating, and so on, but even that would be reduced). For a 30% ...


2

This is clearly a Free Speech or Freedom of the Press issue; both might apply to, I quote, ‘mass media organizations that discredit [the President]’. The wording of the First Amendment to the US Constitution is: Congress shall make no law respecting an establishment of religion, or prohibiting the free exercise thereof; or abridging the freedom of speech, ...


10

The "land war in Asia" is a reference to the German invasion of Russia in World War II, and the French invasion of Russia during the Napoleonic Wars, and the Japanese invasion of China during World War II, and the American invasion of Vietnam, and the British invasions of Afghanistan during the 1800s, and... Asia is a sinkhole for invaders. What ...


7

DC has two "shadow senators" and one "shadow representative" whose job is to represent its interests in Congress. It based this idea off of what various territories did as they approached statehood; they elected the people who would be their congressional delegation once they became states, and in the meantime those people advocated for ...


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