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8 votes

Voter turnout and confidence in results

A vote is not an opinion poll. Instead of extrapolating the behavior of a subset of people to everyone, it measures the behavior of all people. The conclusion from a vote is that set out by the rules, ...
ccprog's user avatar
  • 8,349
5 votes

Voter turnout and confidence in results

If the election results reflect a random, unbiased sample, a 95% confidence interval would say that the measure was supported by 54.7 - 4.11 (50.59%) to 54.7 + 4.11 (58.81%) of the total population. ...
Justin Cave's user avatar
  • 6,253
4 votes

Voter turnout and confidence in results

If no one else would vote for yay: 54.7 * 16.8 = 9.19% is the minimum votes for yay. If everyone else would vote for yay: 9.19+(100-16.8) = 92.39% is the maximum votes for yay. That doesn't say much. ...
whoisit's user avatar
  • 6,039
3 votes

Can US states add eligibility requirements to vote to block certain demographics or enact even tougher voter suppression measures?

They clearly can and frequently do The USA is peculiar compared to most democracies in how it handles voting and the rules related to voting. This is partly because the Constitution and federal law ...
matt_black's user avatar
  • 3,891
3 votes

Voter turnout and confidence in results

Is there a formula or a theorem to estimate what is the chance of 1400 or more out of all 2800 being nays when 213 out of 470 are nays? We can estimate that, of 2800, 2330 did choose not to vote. ...
SJuan76's user avatar
  • 31.9k
2 votes

Can US states add eligibility requirements to vote to block certain demographics or enact even tougher voter suppression measures?

So by constitutional law, the States are restricted from enacting voting laws that would prevent disenfranchisment to citizens born or naturalized (14th Amendment) based on race (15th amendment), sex (...
hszmv's user avatar
  • 16.1k
1 vote

Voter turnout and confidence in results

The consensus is that there was a bias in favor of yays showing up (e.g. voter suppression, I think). Therefore, we can assume that the sample is an unbiased representative of the population. These ...
against very long user names's user avatar

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