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Possibly this, or at least related to this human error at Edison (whose precinct-level data NYT aggregated in their own software): On Twitter and Facebook, thousands of users shared a false claim tha …

This is probably not the only reason, but it's been reported that (on its face) Florida law prohibits him from running for POTUS while being governor. However, in the past, the Florida legislature has …

It's seemingly quite rare, but it's been proposed sometimes, and is even presently in use at non-presidential level, as this 2021 paper notes: Re-election hurdles that are tighter than the majority r …

FWTW, roughly the same betting markets were giving Trump 70% in 2020, during the election night. Many of those who bet in these are not US citizens due to legal restrictions. (Although the restriction …

You're also missing something deeper in the Texas suit. They request various temporary measures, but then say: As permanent relief, Texas asks this Court to remand the allocation of electors to the l …

H Huang's comment is basically correct. Both Le Pen and Melenchon have fairly similar approaches to the hot topic of the day, the war-related inflation. E.g. (FT) The war has provided Le Pen with a m …

And what about the other examples, who tried but were not successful? FWTW, the unsuccessful ones were Herbert Hoover, Ulysses S. Grant, Van Buren, Fillmore, and Teddy Roosevelt, according to the Pe …

Why is Boris Nadezhdin permitted to be a candidate in the Russian presidential election? He is not: Russia's election commission has rejected anti-war challenger Boris Nadezhdin as a candidate in n …

I'm not entirely sure what 'stridency' refers to, but the 3 liberal justices' main complaint (in their concurring opinion) was that In a case involving no federal action whatsoever, the Court opines …

Well, Republicans did participate in open primary until 2010, and then they stopped. I wonder if there's any specific reasoning I'm not aware of. If someone searches enough, there might be a reason/ …

Contra to Machavity's answer, it seems the Bush-Gore legitimacy question was fairly polled at the time... although few such polls have web pages 20 years later. Gallup's poll(s) on that matter have th …

FWTW, at one point late last year he said it was mainly because Trump was running, but then sort-of 'backtracked' answering a hypothetical. “If Trump wasn’t running, I’m not sure I’d be running,” he …

I guess this Q could use a bit more context Former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi privately told President Joe Biden in a recent conversation that polling shows that the president cannot defeat Donald Tr …

According to the press reports, after his bad performance in the debate with Trump, private polling (commissioned by the Democrats) indicated that Biden was essentially wiped out in all 6 battleground …

Apparently some pollsters are trying to compensate: In its post-2020 report, AAPOR cited nonresponse bias as one of the potential reasons for the cycle's larger polling error, possibly because Democr …